MI-Mitchell/FOX 2 Detroit: Clinton+18
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 18, 2024, 02:58:57 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  MI-Mitchell/FOX 2 Detroit: Clinton+18
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: MI-Mitchell/FOX 2 Detroit: Clinton+18  (Read 1565 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: March 05, 2016, 11:29:13 AM »

A Clinton win of any size in Michigan dooms Sanders' campaign.

Under 10 but mostly within 5 would be great for him!

Sanders is down 197 delegates, any loss for him is terrible. He literally can not afford to loose anywhere.

The reality of the delegate math has yet to sink in. I guess the Bernie people are counting on winning California by 50 points.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: March 05, 2016, 11:50:54 AM »

A <10% loss for Bernie here wouldn't be "good" for him, but it wouldn't be terrible in that the delegate gap wouldn't dramatically increase. If Sanders can win the West by huge margins, losing some of these states by small margins won't doom him. An 18-point loss is definitely bad for him, though.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,456
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: March 05, 2016, 11:52:16 AM »

It's obviously not about winning the nomination now. It is about winning states/delegates and continuing to push Clinton to the left. He can't win here because of the black vote but maybe he can give her a bit of a scare.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,747
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: March 05, 2016, 11:54:56 AM »

Crappy pollsters (which Michigan have a lot of) tend to have strong swings in small windows of time. There's probably a swing towards Sanders going on but a better pollster would be needed to verify.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.028 seconds with 12 queries.