Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)
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Author Topic: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)  (Read 52584 times)
Gass3268
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« Reply #850 on: March 05, 2016, 10:21:45 PM »

That should be the ballgame.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #851 on: March 05, 2016, 10:21:55 PM »
42-38 in LA now
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Ronnie
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« Reply #852 on: March 05, 2016, 10:22:22 PM »
Louisville just in.  Trump carries it narrowly.
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The Free North
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« Reply #853 on: March 05, 2016, 10:22:49 PM »
Oh man this is getting tight in both races.

Around 4% difference in both, Trump holds on to narrowing leads! HYPEEEEEEE!
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« Reply #854 on: March 05, 2016, 10:23:15 PM »
The difference between Kasich and Rubio is that Kasich has a very good chance of winning Ohio while Rubio has almost no chance of winning Florida. Also I doubt Kasich will have another shot running for the Presidency while Rubio is probably looking at either 2020 or 2024.
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cinyc
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« Reply #855 on: March 05, 2016, 10:23:22 PM »

Trump 30.1, Cruz 28.6, Rubio 23.5, Kasich 16.4 there.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #856 on: March 05, 2016, 10:23:25 PM »
Quote from: GLPman on March 05, 2016, 10:15:07 PM
Does Cruz have better chance of winning Louisiana or Kentucky?

Nope
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win win
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« Reply #857 on: March 05, 2016, 10:23:42 PM »
New Orleans, which largely favors Trump hasn't been counted yet.
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #858 on: March 05, 2016, 10:23:52 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2016, 10:28:59 PM by Kalimantan »
Quote from: (CT) The Free North on March 05, 2016, 10:15:50 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 10:10:00 PM
Anyone else think LA might have been a premie call?

Possibly. Twitter has been all over this. The networks called the state after a few initial results and the fact that Early/Abstentee votes showed Trump with a huge lead.

Election day voting has HEAVILY tilted Cruz while both Rubio and Trump have seen their support drop relative to early voting. While this signals (what the rest of the day showed us already) a Cruz surge, it also means that we may not know who actually won until quite late tonight.

Cruz doing very well in the Texas bordering parishes, but they are largely in. Baton Rouge looks a tie, Orleans still to come and the biggest parish, Trump has cleaned up in all its bordering parishes and I'd expect him to do the same in the city.

and with Jefferson county now in in KY, thats sealed that state for Trump
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #859 on: March 05, 2016, 10:24:03 PM »
Trump lead collapses to 5 points. I'm sure news organizations are getting a little nervous about the call.

Quote from: dxu8888 on March 05, 2016, 10:23:42 PM
New Orleans, which largely favors Trump hasn't been counted yet.

No, that'll probably be Rubio's only county if he has one, but looking at the vote it looks like Cruz may split the anti-Trump vote just because Rubio is so weak. But it won't be one of Trump's best counties.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #860 on: March 05, 2016, 10:24:18 PM »
Ugh, looks like Trump won KY... Sad
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Gass3268
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« Reply #861 on: March 05, 2016, 10:24:40 PM »
DDHQ called KY for Trump.
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The Free North
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« Reply #862 on: March 05, 2016, 10:25:16 PM »
The Lexington results in KY may have sealed it for Trump. Looks like the rest of the state wont be enough to overcome Trumps lead.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #863 on: March 05, 2016, 10:25:43 PM »
538 saying that networks should rescind Louisiana call
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« Reply #864 on: March 05, 2016, 10:25:54 PM »
Cruz now well ahead in East Baton Rouge Parish. Could get a bit closer than the networks expected depending on what happens in Orleans.
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #865 on: March 05, 2016, 10:25:59 PM »
Beautiful result in Kentucky!  Looks like TRUMP won both of the biggest states tonight. Smiley
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #866 on: March 05, 2016, 10:26:26 PM »
4 points now...
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RI
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« Reply #867 on: March 05, 2016, 10:26:33 PM »
Margin in LA seems to have stabilized.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #868 on: March 05, 2016, 10:26:39 PM »
Cruz is doing well in EBR, so even if Trump wins it's very narrow.
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« Reply #869 on: March 05, 2016, 10:27:04 PM »
Orleans is looking very poor for Cruz though.
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The Free North
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« Reply #870 on: March 05, 2016, 10:27:39 PM »
Quote from: Unbiased on March 05, 2016, 10:25:54 PM
Cruz now well ahead in East Baton Rouge Parish. Could get a bit closer than the networks expected depending on what happens in Orleans.

Exactly. Most of the vote out is in Orleans Parish which Trump had a small lead in (over Rubio). Cruz will need to close that gap or its over.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #871 on: March 05, 2016, 10:28:58 PM »
Earlier Trump seemed to be waiting to speak so he can declare wins in two states, now maybe he should get on stage while he still has one.
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« Reply #872 on: March 05, 2016, 10:29:13 PM »
Trump is now leading in Ouachita (Monroe) where he was losing to Cruz before.
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Vosem
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« Reply #873 on: March 05, 2016, 10:29:44 PM »
Orleans Parish has so little counted that Rubio is still in second place there based on early votes. The Election Day votes will clearly be more favorable for Cruz. St. Bernard and Jefferson are good for trump but they're also mostly in.

What's relevant is that trump's statewide lead is narrow and he will be far from 50% in all congressional districts except maybe the 1st. trump has failed to get a majority of delegates from LA, which he needs to do if he wants nomination. The poor man must be sweating buckets after his defeat tonight -- and we know his body is fragile and can only take so much stress.
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The Free North
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« Reply #874 on: March 05, 2016, 10:30:38 PM »
Trump lead now down to 4.1% per LA SOS website. Around 900 precincts left.

http://staticresults.sos.louisiana.gov/03052016/03052016_Statewide.html
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