MI-NBC News/Marist: Sanders destroys Trump/Cruz, Clinton leads too (user search)
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  MI-NBC News/Marist: Sanders destroys Trump/Cruz, Clinton leads too (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI-NBC News/Marist: Sanders destroys Trump/Cruz, Clinton leads too  (Read 5256 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: March 06, 2016, 10:24:15 PM »

Bernie just mentioned his 22 point lead in the debate.

You've been posting on this forum for 12 years and you still cannot understand that early polls mean nothing.

Obama did similarly to what the March polls showed.

Uh, per RCP, McCain was leading in March...
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2016, 10:29:02 PM »

Bernie just mentioned his 22 point lead in the debate.

You've been posting on this forum for 12 years and you still cannot understand that early polls mean nothing.

Obama did similarly to what the March polls showed.

Uh, per RCP, McCain was leading in March...

Only briefly. Obama led for most of March and most of 2008. The idea that March polls don't matter is ridiculous.

The fact that McCain led at any point proves they're worthless.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: March 09, 2016, 11:28:14 AM »

I did have a theory that increased polarization may have led to increased value of early general election polls. Once polls came out that started showing Utah being more likely to vote Democratic than Minnesota, and other similarly ridiculous things, I was clearly wrong.

That said, even back then I didn't believe the polls. I just thought they may not be totally useless. Big difference. If you're so inclined Morden, you can dig through my posts from 2014 about how I predicted Hillary would win by 5-6 points even when she was leading by 20+. Wink
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