National: WashPo/ABC - Trump 34, Cruz 25, Rubio 18, Kasich 13
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  National: WashPo/ABC - Trump 34, Cruz 25, Rubio 18, Kasich 13
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Author Topic: National: WashPo/ABC - Trump 34, Cruz 25, Rubio 18, Kasich 13  (Read 1040 times)
yankeesfan
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« on: March 08, 2016, 09:24:25 AM »
« edited: March 08, 2016, 09:27:14 AM by yankeesfan »

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-trump-leads-gop-race-nationally-but-with-weaker-hold-on-the-party/2016/03/07/890cc8d0-e496-11e5-bc08-3e03a5b41910_story.html

Trump 34 (-3 since January)
Cruz 25 (+4)
Rubio 18 (+7)
Kasich 13 (+11)

Trump 41
Cruz 54

Trump 45
Rubio 51

March 3-6

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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #1 on: March 08, 2016, 09:38:26 AM »

Favorables

Clinton 46-52
Rubio 39-45
Cruz 35-51
Trump 30-67
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: March 08, 2016, 09:47:28 AM »




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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: March 08, 2016, 09:54:19 AM »

“If Trump has the most delegates going into the Republican Convention but not enough to win a majority on the first ballot, do you think he should win the nomination, or do you think the convention should pick someone else instead?”

pick Trump 53%
pick someone else 42%

Though of course, many of those “pick Trump” people already support him anyway.  Among those whose first choice in the primary is *not* Trump, if you give them this hypothetical about a Trump plurality, it’s:

pick Trump 30%
pick someone else 63%
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #4 on: March 08, 2016, 10:38:53 AM »

Those are some pretty interesting numbers.

34% - Diehard Trump supporters.
17% - Would be a alright with Trump as nominee, but aren't crazy about him.
7% - Don't like Trump, but aren't sure about stealing the nomination from him.
42% - Team: stop Trump at all costs.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #5 on: March 08, 2016, 11:32:01 AM »

Not sure about the numbers on either side of this poll.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: March 08, 2016, 11:50:44 AM »

Clinton 49% (-6)
Sanders 42% (+6)

That's surprising.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: March 08, 2016, 11:58:00 AM »

Favorables

Clinton 46-52
Rubio 39-45
Cruz 35-51
Trump 30-67

b-b-b-b-ut I thought her HORRIBLE favorability numbers made her unelectable!
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: March 08, 2016, 12:46:09 PM »

I just discovered that this poll is of registered voters, not likely voters. Who on earth releases a poll of 600 RVs during primary season?
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win win
dxu8888
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« Reply #9 on: March 08, 2016, 12:46:18 PM »

WashPo is biased against Trump. This poll is unscientific because half of the surveyed are democrats. Democrats don't vote in Republican primaries.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #10 on: March 08, 2016, 01:17:56 PM »

A poll showing Rubio and Sanders surging would've looked OK a month ago.
Now it looks like crap.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #11 on: March 08, 2016, 03:19:16 PM »

Here's the pdf

http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1176a1The2016Primaries.pdf
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Alcon
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« Reply #12 on: March 08, 2016, 03:26:38 PM »

WashPo is biased against Trump. This poll is unscientific because half of the surveyed are democrats. Democrats don't vote in Republican primaries.

That doesn't make it "unscientific" and it's not even a problem.  It means the favorability ratings are for the overall electorate, which they clearly indicate.  The primary poll is of "Republican and Republican-leaning independents."  This is totally standard methodology.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: March 08, 2016, 04:35:13 PM »

Quote
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That explains the Cruz move to try to knock Rubio out in Florida. But what if Kasich ends up with more of Rubio's support following an OH win
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #14 on: March 08, 2016, 05:11:48 PM »

A 30-67 favorability and somehow people still think Trump is electable? In the words of Jeb Bush, give me a break.

Interesting numbers on the convention. I don't think the poll accurately represents Rubio's numbers, given his recent collapse, but this is turning out to be more and more competitive for the R side. There's a serious chance of a hotly contested convention.
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Oak Hills
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« Reply #15 on: March 08, 2016, 07:17:06 PM »

Those are some pretty interesting numbers.

34% - Diehard Trump supporters.
17% - Would be a alright with Trump as nominee, but aren't crazy about him.
7% - Don't like Trump, but aren't sure about stealing the nomination from him.
42% - Team: stop Trump at all costs.

It's kind of hard to steal something from someone when it isn't theirs to begin with. The non-Trump delegates have every right to stop Trump at the convention if they can outvote the Trump delegates.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #16 on: March 08, 2016, 07:30:53 PM »

Clinton 49% (-6)
Sanders 42% (+6)

That's surprising.

Another national poll showing Sanders within single digits nationally.
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