NC: Survey USA: Trump +14, Clinton +23

[RI]

http://www.wral.com/wral-news-poll-trump-clinton-poised-to-win-nc/15499242/

Trump 41
Cruz 27
Rubio 14
Kasich 11

Clinton 57
Sanders 34

[Tender Branson]

Except for OH and MO, next Tuesday still looks incredibly bleak for Bernie.

IL might be a bit like MI, with the South voting Sanders - but it has far more Blacks than the Detroit area, so Clinton should win easily statewide.

[Gass3268]

Except for OH and MO, next Tuesday still looks incredibly bleak for Bernie.

IL might be a bit like MI, with the South voting Sanders - but it has far more Blacks than the Detroit area, so Clinton should win easily statewide.

Illinois only has 0.3% more African Americans than Michigan. Sanders issue is that Illinois has 11.4% more Hispanic Americans than Michigan does.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

I could see Clinton's lead cut a bit after tonight and a two man race on the GOP side.

[Shadows]

I think 45% will be a good thing for Sanders in NC - NC has huge Black Vote. Similarly target 45% in Florida.

Target wins in Ohio & Missouri & target an upset in Illinois(close to 50% as possible).

On the whole, even at best he will be down 20-30 more delegates after March 15th. But this will be the last, he can really go on a streak after that.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Guys, the fact that Michigan pollsters proved once again how craptacular they are doesn't mean that EVERY poll of EVERY state is way off.

[President Johnson]

If the numbers are real, that would be yuuuuuuuuuge. But I doubt The Donald is above 35% right now.

[Wiz in Wis]

Except for OH and MO, next Tuesday still looks incredibly bleak for Bernie.

IL might be a bit like MI, with the South voting Sanders - but it has far more Blacks than the Detroit area, so Clinton should win easily statewide.

Whites in Southern IL are also less liberal than MI whites. Chicagoland is also quite a bit wealthier. However, I doubt it's a more than 5 point Hillary win.

NC is going to end up a lot like VA.

[IceSpear]

Guys, the fact that Michigan pollsters proved once again how craptacular they are doesn't mean that EVERY poll of EVERY state is way off.

It's really starting to look like a North/South divide in polling error. Hillary was nearly uniformly underestimated in the South, and same with Bernie in the North. Sometimes it was just by a few points (IA/TX), sometimes by 20-30 points (MI/SC). Oklahoma is the only outlier.

So, that bodes well for her in NC/FL. Not so much in IL/OH, and who knows about MO.

[Ebsy]

There has sadly been no polling in Missouri at all.

[Smash255]

Except for OH and MO, next Tuesday still looks incredibly bleak for Bernie.

IL might be a bit like MI, with the South voting Sanders - but it has far more Blacks than the Detroit area, so Clinton should win easily statewide.

Whites in Southern IL are also less liberal than MI whites. Chicagoland is also quite a bit wealthier. However, I doubt it's a more than 5 point Hillary win.

NC is going to end up a lot like VA.

Triangle + Asheville will makes NC considerably more competitive than VA.  She will still win, but it isn't going to be 30 points

[Sorenroy]

Except for OH and MO, next Tuesday still looks incredibly bleak for Bernie.

IL might be a bit like MI, with the South voting Sanders - but it has far more Blacks than the Detroit area, so Clinton should win easily statewide.

Whites in Southern IL are also less liberal than MI whites. Chicagoland is also quite a bit wealthier. However, I doubt it's a more than 5 point Hillary win.

NC is going to end up a lot like VA.

Triangle + Asheville will makes NC considerably more competitive than VA.  She will still win, but it isn't going to be 30 points

As I posted here, the internals for the Sanders team seem to suggest that Congressional District 10&11 (basically Western North Carolina/the Asheville area) are locked up for Sanders to the point at which volunteers are being sent to Charlotte so they can actually work somewhere competitive to get a few more delegates.

[Xing]

Unless NC ends up like MI (which is doubtful), the question will be how much Clinton wins by here. If Sanders can keep her margin under 20, or better yet, 15, he can stop her from racking up too many more delegates.

[standwrand]

so Cruz will win

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

#OfficialPrediction

North Carolina

 57%

 42%