^^^ Just to follow-up with the math above, this is a scenario from RCP's PV/EV calculator (built around 2008/2012 performance by state). In this, I give Trump 80% of the undecided white vote remaining, which results in Trump winning 54% of the white vote; Clinton 46% (it's a two-way model). I then decrease non-white support for Democrats by a modest one point and leave turnout rates exactly where they were.
If you tweak black numbers to more closely resemble non-Obama candidates (both support and turnout), then GA & MO flip back into the R column - but both of those races are won by Trump by less than 2 points. That still leaves a 358-180 Clinton PV victory and a 11.6-point win in the PV.
Wow you really think turnout is gonna be that high?
