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| | | | |-+  OH-PPP: Clinton and Sanders lead all Republicans except Kasich
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Author Topic: OH-PPP: Clinton and Sanders lead all Republicans except Kasich  (Read 1398 times)
IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« on: March 10, 2016, 03:34:53 pm »

Clinton 44, Rubio 41
Clinton 45, Trump 40
Clinton 45, Cruz 40
Kasich 52, Clinton 37

Sanders 42, Rubio 38
Sanders 44, Trump 40
Sanders 44, Cruz 38
Kasich 54, Sanders 34

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/03/likely-portmanstrickland-race-starts-as-toss-up.html
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EliteLX
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« Reply #1 on: March 10, 2016, 03:39:36 pm »

Good lord John's constituents sure do like the guy to have margins like that in contrast with others.

Yet another reason he's most qualified out of the current GOP field.
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #2 on: March 10, 2016, 03:52:23 pm »

Two things:

Sanders and Clinton perform pretty much the same here, I had an expectation that he'd do a bit better than Sec. Clinton here.

Also, Kasich's very popular but might not be popular enough to win the state in the primary.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #3 on: March 10, 2016, 04:19:09 pm »

What a strong Favorite Son effect! For someone with a strong positive image in his state, it is worth typically 10%. Of course this is not typical. If the other Republican candidates are seen as extreme, incompetent, or otherwise objectionable, there may be more than a Favorite Son effect. 
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olowakandi
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« Reply #4 on: March 10, 2016, 04:24:11 pm »

Trump cant win OH, he really isnt electable
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5 on: March 10, 2016, 04:41:43 pm »

Trump cant win OH, he really isnt electable

That is what the poll show. Sanders just isn't well known in Ohio -- but Trump is well known in Ohio. Sanders can get to 50% of the vote far more easily than can Trump, Cruz, or Rubio. Kasich is a different story; he could win the state yet lose nationally. (But he seems to have some chance to win in Virginia, which he would also have to win. I simply have too few polls on Kasich, and that forces me to choose between giving a chance on someone that I know little about and giving no chance on something that I know all too well.

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Higgs
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« Reply #6 on: March 10, 2016, 05:04:41 pm »

Good lord John's constituents sure do like the guy to have margins like that in contrast with others.

Yet another reason he's most qualified out of the current GOP field.

And he'd make a great president too. It's a shame he has zero chance of becoming the nominee.
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« Reply #7 on: March 10, 2016, 05:08:11 pm »

This OH poll shows:  

Clinton 45, Trump 40

From the PA poll conducted a week ago:

Clinton (D): 45%
Trump (R): 40%

Maybe just coincidence or an outlier, but very interesting nonetheless. I don't expect PA to vote much to the left of the nation in 2016.
« Last Edit: March 10, 2016, 05:14:23 pm by TN volunteer »Logged
olowakandi
olawakandi
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« Reply #8 on: March 10, 2016, 05:16:47 pm »

This OH poll shows:  

Clinton 45, Trump 40

From the PA poll conducted a week ago:

Clinton (D): 45%
Trump (R): 40%

Maybe just coincidence or an outlier, but very interesting nonetheless. I don't expect PA to vote much to the left of the nation in 2016.

PA numbers sounds reasonable because in a neutral year, even AL Gore won state by four. But, Ohio numbers seem more far fetched, Pa is a D+2,state

In a neutral year, Pa is the bellweather.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: March 10, 2016, 07:24:41 pm »

Sanders and Clinton perform pretty much the same here, I had an expectation that he'd do a bit better than Sec. Clinton here.

Keep in mind that it's PPP.
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jfern
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« Reply #10 on: March 11, 2016, 05:04:00 pm »

Sanders and Clinton perform pretty much the same here, I had an expectation that he'd do a bit better than Sec. Clinton here.

PPP is rather biased. They have taken money from Hillary's SuperPAC and try their hardest to make Hillary look good.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #11 on: March 11, 2016, 05:15:21 pm »

In the Fall, we have to look at the Ohio and CO numbers more carefully, as it is now, OH numbers are meaningless. But, CO, Clinton was leading by 10, thats good news.
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