OH-PPP: Clinton and Sanders lead all Republicans except Kasich (user search)
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  OH-PPP: Clinton and Sanders lead all Republicans except Kasich (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH-PPP: Clinton and Sanders lead all Republicans except Kasich  (Read 2278 times)
pbrower2a
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« on: March 10, 2016, 04:19:09 PM »

What a strong Favorite Son effect! For someone with a strong positive image in his state, it is worth typically 10%. Of course this is not typical. If the other Republican candidates are seen as extreme, incompetent, or otherwise objectionable, there may be more than a Favorite Son effect. 
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pbrower2a
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Posts: 26,859
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 10, 2016, 04:41:43 PM »

Trump cant win OH, he really isnt electable

That is what the poll show. Sanders just isn't well known in Ohio -- but Trump is well known in Ohio. Sanders can get to 50% of the vote far more easily than can Trump, Cruz, or Rubio. Kasich is a different story; he could win the state yet lose nationally. (But he seems to have some chance to win in Virginia, which he would also have to win. I simply have too few polls on Kasich, and that forces me to choose between giving a chance on someone that I know little about and giving no chance on something that I know all too well.

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