1948 and 1968

[Democratic Hawk]

1) Had Strom Thurmond not ran as State's Rights candidate, who do you think would have won the four states he carried?

Alabama
Louisiana
Mississippi
South Carolina

2) Had George Wallace not ran as an American Independent, who do you think would have won the five states he carried?

Alabama
Arkansas
Georgia
Louisiana
Mississippi

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

1948 (pre-civil rights) - All states carried by Thurmond would have gone with Truman

1968 (post-civil rights) - All states carried carried by Wallace would have gone with Nixon with the possible exception of Arkansas; while, I believe that Wallace's candidacy helped Humphrey win Texas

Of course, Wallace's candidacy still had an impact beyond the South. Some large states, like California, Illinois and Ohio (all carried by Nixon) might (and it's big might) have been won by Humphrey in the absence of a Wallace candidacy

Dave