Boston Primary Results by Ward (2008 & 2016)
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  Boston Primary Results by Ward (2008 & 2016)
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Author Topic: Boston Primary Results by Ward (2008 & 2016)  (Read 753 times)
TheDeadFlagBlues
Junior Chimp
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« on: March 11, 2016, 07:08:04 PM »
« edited: March 11, 2016, 07:17:00 PM by TheDeadFlagBlues »

Racial Data
Ward 1 (East Boston): White 37.2%, Black 3.2%, Hispanic 52.9%, Asian 3.5%, Other 3.1%
Ward 2 (Charlestown): White 75.8%, Black 4.6%, Hispanic 9.7%, Asian 8.2%, Other 1.6%
Ward 3 (Waterfront/Financial District): White 69.7%, Black 4.8%, Hispanic 5.6%, Asian 18.2%, Other 1.9%
Ward 4 (Fenway/Kenmore): White 66.4%, Black 9.0%, Hispanic 9.3%, Asian 12.4%, Other 2.8%
Ward 5 (Back Bay/Beacon Hill): White 72.9%, Black 3.0%, Hispanic 5.9%, Asian 15.7%, Other 2.4%
Ward 6 (South Boston): White 84.7%, Black 2.8%, Hispanic 6.9%, Asian 4.0%, Other 1.5%
Ward 7 (South Boston): White 69.8%, Black 7.5%, Hispanic 13.1%, Asian 7.1%, Other 2.3%
Ward 8 (South End/ Lower Roxbury): White 20%, Black 35.7%, Hispanic 25.4%, Asian 7.0%, Other 11.2%
Ward 9 (South End/Lower Roxbury): White 32.4%, Black 30.1%, Hispanic 26.2%, Asian 8.2%, Other 3.0%
Ward 10 (Mission Hill): White 41.9%, Black 17.2%, Hispanic 26.2%, Asian 12.0%, Other 2.6%
Ward 11 (Egleston Square): White 30.6%, Black 30.0%, Hispanic 33.3%, Asian 2.9%, Other 2.9%
Ward 12 (Roxbury): White 2.8%, Black 66.4%, Hispanic 25.5%, Asian 0.9%, Other 3.9%
Ward 13 (Columbia Point): White 29.4%, Black 26.5%, Hispanic 19.3%, Asian 12.1%, Other 12.4%
Ward 14 (Mattapan): White 1.6%, Black 68.8%, Hispanic 24.4%, Asian 0.8%, Other 4.2%
Ward 15 (Dorchester): White 8.3%, Black 42.3%, Hispanic 19.8%, Asian 12.4%, Other 17.0%
Ward 16 (Dorchester): White 48.0%, Black 22.0%, Hispanic 8.1%, Asian 16.9%, Other 4.8%
Ward 17 (Dorchester): White 14.4%, Black 62.3%, Hispanic 13.2%, Asian 4.3%, Other 5.5%
Ward 18 (Hyde Park/Southern Mattapan): White 22.8%, Black 52.3%, Hispanic 19.9%, Asian 1.6%, Other 3.0%
Ward 19 (Jamaica Plain): White 60%, Black 12.8%, Hispanic 19.6%, Asian 4.2%, Other 3.1%
Ward 20 (West Roxbury/Roslindale): White 76.4%, Black 6.9%, Hispanic 8.9%, Asian 5.8%, Other 2.0%
Ward 21 (Allston/Brighton): White 66.9%, Black 4.1%, Hispanic 8.3%, Asian 17.3%, Other 3.3%
Ward 22 (Allston/Brighton): White 64.2%, Black 4.9%, Hispanic 12.0%, Asian 14.1%, Other 4.7%

2016 Democratic Primary

Ward 1 (East Boston): Hillary Clinton 49.7%, Bernie Sanders 47.5%
Ward 2 (Charlestown): Hillary Clinton 58.0%, Bernie Sanders 39.5%
Ward 3 (Waterfront/Financial District): Hillary Clinton 63.8%, Bernie Sanders 34.9%
Ward 4 (Fenway/Kenmore): Hillary Clinton 60.9%, Bernie Sanders 38.6%
Ward 5 (Black Bay/Beacon Hill): Hillary Clinton 63.5%, Bernie Sanders 35.8%
Ward 6 (South Boston): Hillary Clinton 51.3%, Bernie Sanders 44.7%
Ward 7 (South Boston): Hillary Clinton 50.3%, Bernie Sanders 45.2%
Ward 8 (South End/Lower Roxbury): Hillary Clinton 66.6%, Bernie Sanders 32.4%
Ward 9 (South End/Lower Roxbury): Hillary Clinton 68%, Bernie Sanders 31%
Ward 10 (Mission Hill): Hillary Clinton 50.5%, Bernie Sanders 48.6%
Ward 11 (Egleston Square): Hillary Clinton 50%, Bernie Sanders 49.4%
Ward 12 (Roxbury): Hillary Clinton 70.5%, Bernie Sanders 28.8%
Ward 13 (Columbia Point): Hillary Clinton 52.9%, Bernie Sanders 45%
Ward 14 (Mattapan): Hillary Clinton 74.9%, Bernie Sanders 24.4%
Ward 15 (Dorchester): Hillary Clinton 67.7%, Bernie Sanders 31.5%
Ward 16 (Dorchester): Hillary Clinton 51.9%, Bernie Sanders 43.9%
Ward 17 (Dorchester): Hillary Clinton 68.5%, Bernie Sanders 30.5%
Ward 18 (Hyde Park/Southern Mattapan): Hillary Clinton 65.9%, Bernie Sanders 32.7%
Ward 19 (Jamaica Plain): Hillary Clinton 52%, Bernie Sanders 47.3%
Ward 20 (West Roxbury/Roslindale): Hillary Clinton 52.4%, Bernie Sanders 45.2%
Ward 21 (Allston/Brighton): Hillary Clinton 39.8%, Bernie Sanders 59.2%
Ward 22 (Allston/Brighton): Hillary Clinton 39.6%, Bernie Sanders 59%

Based on these results, I think it's hard to argue that race is the most salient variable that determines one's support for Bernie Sanders. Some of Hillary Clinton's strongest wards are affluent white neighborhoods and some of Sanders' strongest wards are rapidly gentrifying neighborhoods. Further, based on these results, I think we can say, with a high degree of confidence, that Sanders' strongest neighborhoods in New York City will not be those filled with "creative class" types but rather neighborhoods filled with pioneer gentrifiers or lower middle class/working class ethnic types in Queens.
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King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: March 11, 2016, 07:45:55 PM »

Based on these results, I think it's hard to argue that race is the most salient variable that determines one's support for Bernie Sanders. Some of Hillary Clinton's strongest wards are affluent white neighborhoods and some of Sanders' strongest wards are rapidly gentrifying neighborhoods. Further, based on these results,I think we can say, with a high degree of confidence, that Sanders' strongest neighborhoods in New York City will not be those filled with "creative class" types but rather neighborhoods filled with pioneer gentrifiers or lower middle class/working class ethnic types in Queens.

Not really a surprise to me.  I would expect areas that are a bit gentrified and "hipster" to be heavily for Sanders, but wealthier, more established areas where gentrification is long complete to be weak for Sanders.

This is true in Canada where the social democratic NDP does well in these sorts of neighborhoods in Toronto, Vancouver and elsewhere.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #2 on: March 12, 2016, 02:27:40 PM »

Do you have the full results, possibly in spreadsheet format? I'm actually pretty curious about that.
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