MI: Stabenow leads Michigan poll; Granholm could face fight (user search)
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  MI: Stabenow leads Michigan poll; Granholm could face fight (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI: Stabenow leads Michigan poll; Granholm could face fight  (Read 3843 times)
Alcon
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« on: June 02, 2005, 03:04:57 PM »

Why does this article quote a 6-month-old EPIC/MRA poll? How useless.

Granholm could be in trouble, if the Michigan GOP can find a half-decent opponent, which they seem to be failing to do.
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Alcon
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« Reply #1 on: June 02, 2005, 03:16:44 PM »

Why does this article quote a 6-month-old EPIC/MRA poll? How useless.

Granholm could be in trouble, if the Michigan GOP can find a half-decent opponent, which they seem to be failing to do.

This poll is new, conducted from May 22-26 by EPIC/MRA.

http://www.freep.com/news/statewire/sw116623_20050602.htm

Fwiw, EPIC/MRA seems to be the Michigan polling firm that leans too far to the left, whereas the Detroit News/Mitchell Research one leans too far to the right.

They do, however, quote a six-month-old EPIC/MRA poll at the end to reference Granholm's re-elect numbers. Six-month-old information isn't really useful.
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Alcon
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Posts: 30,866
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« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2005, 08:22:08 PM »

EPIC/MRA isn't really that accurate in 2002 a few  days before the governor election they had granholm up by 9% she won by less the 4%  51-47.

What was the MoE? State races are hard to call. On state polls, I generally multiply the MoE by around 1.5 to find reasonable bounds.
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