FL/IL/OH-NBC/WSJ/Marist: D: Clinton leads; R: Kasich up in OH, Trump up in FL/IL (user search)
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  FL/IL/OH-NBC/WSJ/Marist: D: Clinton leads; R: Kasich up in OH, Trump up in FL/IL (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL/IL/OH-NBC/WSJ/Marist: D: Clinton leads; R: Kasich up in OH, Trump up in FL/IL  (Read 4154 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: March 13, 2016, 08:11:30 AM »
« edited: March 13, 2016, 08:14:36 AM by Mr. Morden »

NBC/WSJ/Marist polls of FL, IL, and OH:

http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/polls-trump-ahead-florida-illinois-kasich-leads-ohio-n537356












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Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,073
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« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2016, 08:20:54 AM »

Florida:

blacks:
Clinton 77%
Sanders 20%

Latinos:
Clinton 51%
Sanders 46%

Illinois:

blacks:
Clinton 67%
Sanders 28%

Latinos:
Sanders 64%
Clinton 30%

Ohio:

blacks:
Clinton 72%
Sanders 24%
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Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,073
United States


« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2016, 09:05:12 PM »

Crosstabs here:

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/313-trump-ahead-in-fl-il-kasich-up-in-oh-clinton-ahead-in-fl-il-and-oh/

Support by region:

Florida:
North/Panhandle: Trump +12 over Cruz
Orlando/Central Atlantic Coast: Trump +14 over Cruz
Tampa Bay area: Trump +17 over Cruz
Gulf Coast/mid-Florida: Trump +33 over Cruz
Miami/Gold Coast/Keys: Trump +11 over Rubio

Illinois:
Cook County: Trump +8 over Kasich
Collar Counties: Trump +5 over Cruz
North: Trump +12 over Cruz
Central and South: Trump +10 over Cruz

2nd choices among GOP primary voters:

Florida:
Cruz 28%
Rubio 25%
Kasich 21%
Trump 14%

Illinois:
Cruz 26%
Kasich 24%
Rubio 24%
Trump 13%

Ohio:
Kasich 26%
Rubio 26%
Cruz 23%
Trump 13%

Since Rubio is the most likely candidate to leave the race soon, looking at his voters’ second choices is interesting.  Again, no guarantee that this’ll be matched in the states that vote after he drops out, but it’s just for fun anyway.

In Florida, 2nd choice of Rubio voters:
Cruz 47%
Kasich 30%
Trump 16%

Unfortunately, that’s the only one of the three states where he has enough support to break down the second choices for his voters.
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Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,073
United States


« Reply #3 on: March 13, 2016, 09:12:34 PM »

Also of note…

2nd choices of Kasich supporters in Illinois:
Rubio 38%
Cruz 28%
Trump 20%

2nd choices of Kasich supporters in Ohio:
Rubio 40%
Cruz 24%
Trump 20%
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