CA - NSON Opinion Strategy: Trump up 16

[Ronnie]

Conducted March 9-10, MoE +/- 5%

Trump 38%
Cruz 22%
Kasich 20%
Rubio 10%
Undecided 10%

capoliticalreviewcom.c.presscdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/16-CA-GOP-Presidential-Primary-Poll-March.pdf

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

BUT MUH CRUZ ADVANTAGE

[Skye]

Wow, that's a big number for Kasich. I wonder if he'll last until then.

[RI]

Wow, that's a big number for Kasich. I wonder if he'll last until then.

If he wins Ohio, I don't see him dropping during the primaries.

[Ronnie]

Is CA winner take all, or winner take congressional district?  If it's the latter, I might need to register Republican and vote for Kasich...I wouldn't allow Trump to get his grubby hands on my CD's delegates.

[RI]

Is CA winner take all, or winner take congressional district?  If it's the latter, I might need to register Republican and vote for Kasich...I wouldn't allow Trump to get his grubby hands on my CD's delegates.

Almost entirely WTA by CD.

[Seriously?]

Is CA winner take all, or winner take congressional district?  If it's the latter, I might need to register Republican and vote for Kasich...I wouldn't allow Trump to get his grubby hands on my CD's delegates.

Both. WTA by CD (54x3 delegates) and 13 WTA statewide.

But that primary is in June, it probably won't matter. It will likely be uncontested. (At least historically).

[Matty]

Poll is useless this far out.

[Ronnie]

Is CA winner take all, or winner take congressional district?  If it's the latter, I might need to register Republican and vote for Kasich...I wouldn't allow Trump to get his grubby hands on my CD's delegates.

Both. WTA by CD (54x3 delegates) and 13 WTA statewide.

But by that primary is in June, it probably won't matter. It will likely be uncontested. (At least historically).

Why would it be?  Assuming Trump wins in Florida and loses in OH, whether or not he gets the magic 1237 number will most likely be down to the wire.  He will fight for every delegate, as he should.

[Seriously?]

Is CA winner take all, or winner take congressional district?  If it's the latter, I might need to register Republican and vote for Kasich...I wouldn't allow Trump to get his grubby hands on my CD's delegates.

Both. WTA by CD (54x3 delegates) and 13 WTA statewide.

But by that primary is in June, it probably won't matter. It will likely be uncontested. (At least historically).

Why would it be?  Assuming Trump wins in Florida and loses in OH, whether or not he gets the magic 1237 number will most likely be down to the wire.  He will fight for every delegate, as he should.

At some point they'll be cutting deals probably. Or at least that's how it has been historically.

[pbrower2a]

Wow, that's a big number for Kasich. I wonder if he'll last until then.

Kasich is a good match for the culture of California Republicans.

[IceSpear]

The California GOP basically made immigration their Waterloo. It would seem to be a natural fit for Trump.

[Sir Mohamed]

This looks more realistic

[Oak Hills]

Is CA winner take all, or winner take congressional district?  If it's the latter, I might need to register Republican and vote for Kasich...I wouldn't allow Trump to get his grubby hands on my CD's delegates.

Both. WTA by CD (54x3 delegates) and 13 WTA statewide.

But by that primary is in June, it probably won't matter. It will likely be uncontested. (At least historically).

Why would it be?  Assuming Trump wins in Florida and loses in OH, whether or not he gets the magic 1237 number will most likely be down to the wire.  He will fight for every delegate, as he should.

At some point they'll be cutting deals probably. Or at least that's how it has been historically.

Recent history hasn't generally been a very good guide this election cycle.