IL PrimD: Public Policy Polling: Clinton and Sanders Close in Illinois
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  IL PrimD: Public Policy Polling: Clinton and Sanders Close in Illinois
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Author Topic: IL PrimD: Public Policy Polling: Clinton and Sanders Close in Illinois  (Read 1547 times)
ElectionAtlas
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« on: March 14, 2016, 06:36:56 AM »

New Poll: Illinois President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-03-12

Summary:
Clinton:
48%
Sanders:
45%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2016, 07:40:22 AM »

This is almost outside the margin of error. Tuesday's gonna be a fun night.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2016, 07:47:05 AM »

I like those trends in IL, OH and MO ...
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2016, 09:40:39 AM »

From what I'm reading, Illinois is an open primary and Sanders leads 69-18 (51%!) amongst self-identified Independents. From what I've read, Illinois is an open primary state, which could bode well for Sanders if there is high turnout.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
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« Reply #4 on: March 14, 2016, 09:42:32 AM »

From what I'm reading, Illinois is an open primary and Sanders leads 69-18 (51%!) amongst self-identified Independents. From what I've read, Illinois is an open primary state, which could bode well for Sanders if there is high turnout.

So what I'm understanding is that Sanders does better in states where voters who usually don't support the Democratic Nominee in the GE get to vote in the primary? Amazing
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #5 on: March 14, 2016, 09:46:28 AM »

Will Cook County save Hillary or will it look like the 2010 Senate race?
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bilaps
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« Reply #6 on: March 14, 2016, 11:17:18 AM »

Why is IL closer than OH? In several polls this seems to be the case. Maybe Rahm effect?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #7 on: March 14, 2016, 11:18:32 AM »

Why is IL closer than OH? In several polls this seems to be the case. Maybe Rahm effect?

I would have said not a chance a few days ago, but now it looks somewhat likely.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #8 on: March 14, 2016, 11:31:32 AM »

I'm going to bet that Cook County and the Collar counties will win this for Clinton. One thing that has been underestimated about the northern states is that the more conservative and rural area will turnout in droves for Sanders. Downstate is why he is even able to compete.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #9 on: March 14, 2016, 11:34:51 AM »

Why is IL closer than OH? In several polls this seems to be the case. Maybe Rahm effect?

Given how unreliable polls have been as of late, perhaps the best interpretation is to wait until the results are in. In any case, a "Rahm" effect would be pretty hard to distinguish.
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bilaps
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« Reply #10 on: March 14, 2016, 11:44:15 AM »

Why is IL closer than OH? In several polls this seems to be the case. Maybe Rahm effect?

Given how unreliable polls have been as of late, perhaps the best interpretation is to wait until the results are in. In any case, a "Rahm" effect would be pretty hard to distinguish.

If Bernie gets higher percentage of black vote than in Michigan it could be a hint.
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Xing
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« Reply #11 on: March 14, 2016, 12:48:35 PM »

Tomorrow night is going to be very interesting...
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Oak Hills
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« Reply #12 on: March 14, 2016, 05:19:16 PM »

From what I'm reading, Illinois is an open primary and Sanders leads 69-18 (51%!) amongst self-identified Independents. From what I've read, Illinois is an open primary state, which could bode well for Sanders if there is high turnout.

So what I'm understanding is that Sanders does better in states where voters who usually don't support the Democratic Nominee in the GE get to vote in the primary? Amazing

You know as well as I do that most of the "independents" voting in those states are Democrats in all but name.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #13 on: March 14, 2016, 05:22:16 PM »

You guys realize that having Sanders win MO and IL will make the primary map look really ugly due to the result in Iowa, right?
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Xing
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« Reply #14 on: March 14, 2016, 05:23:07 PM »

You guys realize that having Sanders win MO and IL will make the primary map look really ugly due to the result in Iowa, right?

Well, the map in 2008 looked pretty weird because of South Dakota.
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RightBehind
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« Reply #15 on: March 14, 2016, 05:24:01 PM »

I went door knocking today for Bernie and phone banking. Some aren't voting for him. Others are. Then there was one or two persuaded to go his way.
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