NC PrimD: Public Policy Polling: Clinton with Strong Lead in North Carolina

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: North Carolina President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-03-12

Summary:

Clinton:	56%
Sanders:	37%
Other:	0%
Undecided:	7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

#marginunder20

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Much better then Virginia.

[Gass3268]

Much better then Virginia.

This is what the margin could have been in VA if Sanders had campaigned there. Then again Clinton has underpolled in the South this entire cycle.

[Averroës Nix]

Much better then Virginia.

This is what the margin could have been in VA if Sanders had campaigned there. Then again Clinton has underpolled in the South this entire cycle.

I expect Sanders to do fairly well in western North Carolina, and Raleigh-Durham might be his best major metro area in the South. (Huge amount of migration from northern states.) It won't be nearly enough to win, but unlike most other southern states, there's room for his campaign to limit Clinton's margin here.

It should be closer than Florida, where Democrats seems posed to vote for Clinton as if she were running against one of the Castro brothers. (And, no, I'm not talking about the American twins.)

[The Other Castro]

The early vote is pretty bad for Sanders, but I think the primary day vote will be tighter than people are expecting.

[IceSpear]

Much better then Virginia.

This is what the margin could have been in VA if Sanders had campaigned there. Then again Clinton has underpolled in the South this entire cycle.

Yeah, probably. If Bernie does very well from here on out but Hillary's lead is simply too big to overcome (as most people seem to expect), his decision to ignore half the Super Tuesday states could very well have been his fatal mistake in retrospect.

[Gass3268]

Much better then Virginia.

This is what the margin could have been in VA if Sanders had campaigned there. Then again Clinton has underpolled in the South this entire cycle.

Yeah, probably. If Bernie does very well from here on out but Hillary's lead is simply too big to overcome (as most people seem to expect), his decision to ignore half the Super Tuesday states could very well have been his fatal mistake in retrospect.

If Sanders had targeted a bit in the Upper South (W VA, NE TN, NW AR, NW TX) I think he could have made Clinton's delegate margins a bit more reasonable by actually winning a few congressional districts.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Much better then Virginia.

This is what the margin could have been in VA if Sanders had campaigned there. Then again Clinton has underpolled in the South this entire cycle.

Yeah, probably. If Bernie does very well from here on out but Hillary's lead is simply too big to overcome (as most people seem to expect), his decision to ignore half the Super Tuesday states could very well have been his fatal mistake in retrospect.

If Sanders had targeted a bit in the Upper South (W VA, NE TN, NW AR, NW TX) I think he could have made Clinton's delegate margins a bit more reasonable by actually winning a few congressional districts.

Yup - without question Sanders' biggest strategic error.

[Wiz in Wis]

Much better then Virginia.

This is what the margin could have been in VA if Sanders had campaigned there. Then again Clinton has underpolled in the South this entire cycle.

Yeah, probably. If Bernie does very well from here on out but Hillary's lead is simply too big to overcome (as most people seem to expect), his decision to ignore half the Super Tuesday states could very well have been his fatal mistake in retrospect.

If Sanders had targeted a bit in the Upper South (W VA, NE TN, NW AR, NW TX) I think he could have made Clinton's delegate margins a bit more reasonable by actually winning a few congressional districts.

Yup - without question Sanders' biggest strategic error.

This supposes that Sanders ever had a strategy. He's a "movement" candidate. Oddly, the fact that he clearly wrote off 6 states on Super Tuesday belies what a bunch of malarkey the whole "movement" thing is.

[Xing]

I suppose we'll know just how big of a mistake his ST strategy of only targeting the "winning states" was tomorrow night. If he does significantly better in NC and FL than the other Southern states, then he probably could've made the others closer as well with a bit more effort.

[RightBehind]

The South just isn't big on Bernie. So while I believe he can win the White House, the South will be dead weight.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

A bit of an under performance by Shillary?

[Averroës Nix]

Yeah, I don't think that delegate math was ever in the Sanders campaign's vocabulary. I can't believe that a campaign that's been so good at certain things would be so bad at it unless they didn't consider it a high priority.