Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) (user search)
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  Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET)  (Read 57109 times)
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« on: March 15, 2016, 05:30:50 PM »
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 15, 2016, 05:28:59 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 15, 2016, 05:26:23 PM
I still think Trump will win every state except Ohio

Agreed, and I don't think he's dead in Ohio either.  Exit polls have a bad habit of being wrong this cycle.

Losing by 30% by late deciders is nothing to scoff at, even if an exit poll.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2016, 05:33:36 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on March 15, 2016, 05:31:46 PM
Quote from: marty on March 15, 2016, 05:30:50 PM
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 15, 2016, 05:28:59 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 15, 2016, 05:26:23 PM
I still think Trump will win every state except Ohio

Agreed, and I don't think he's dead in Ohio either.  Exit polls have a bad habit of being wrong this cycle.

Losing by 30% by late deciders is nothing to scoff at, even if an exit poll.

late deciders have been very anti-Trump in every state, though.

54-28 is by far the largest margin we have seen. By far. It usually was around a twelve point deficit for trump among late deciders. This is more than double tha.t
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2016, 05:46:23 PM »
Quote from: Broken System on March 15, 2016, 05:45:26 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on March 15, 2016, 05:41:35 PM
How is 'working class' defined, and how much of the electorate is it?

I believe that it actually means no college education, based off of one article I am reading on previous states' exit polls who have used this wording.

trump only winning by 12 among those with no degree seems fairly low.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2016, 05:49:14 PM »
lmao trump won late deciders in florida
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2016, 05:53:45 PM »
ohio exit

kasich 45
trump 38
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #5 on: March 15, 2016, 06:24:43 PM »
rubio at 70% in miami
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #6 on: March 15, 2016, 06:44:44 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on March 15, 2016, 06:43:27 PM
Trump winning NC early vote in some parts of the state Cruz really needs.

cruz does well on election day. We'll see.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #7 on: March 15, 2016, 07:07:11 PM »

What? He is underperforming everywhere but florida.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #8 on: March 15, 2016, 07:13:18 PM »
Do trump fans on here not realize that everyime he massively under-performs in  a proportional state, hen costs himself delegates?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #9 on: March 15, 2016, 09:30:21 PM »
Quote from: Unbiased on March 15, 2016, 09:27:45 PM
Practically does Trump even have to get 1237 to win on the first ballot. There will be a number of unpledged delegates from various places going to the convention. I don't know how many but if he is over 1150 could they be enough to give him a win anyway?

highly highly doubtful trump gets many unpledged.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #10 on: March 15, 2016, 09:33:47 PM »
Why is there NEVER any talk in these results thread about trump pissing away delegates by massively underperforming some of these proportional primaries?

NC, for example. Polls had him up 20. He won by 4. That's like ten delegates gone.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #11 on: March 15, 2016, 09:38:46 PM »
Quote from: New Canadaland on March 15, 2016, 09:38:08 PM
NJ is one of his top 3 states, RI is up there too. Look at MA. Trump is not weak in the northeast.

Are those primaries open or closed?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #12 on: March 15, 2016, 09:39:50 PM »
Who was the last republican to lose both texas and ohio and win the nomination?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #13 on: March 15, 2016, 09:42:31 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on March 15, 2016, 09:41:25 PM
Quote from: marty on March 15, 2016, 09:39:50 PM
Who was the last republican to lose both texas and ohio and win the nomination?

You could also ask, "Who was the last Republican to win Florida and lose the nomination?"

Basically, this cycle throws all conventional wisdom out the window.  Don't try to draw conclusions from the past.

Oh I wasn't drawing conclusions I am genuinely curious.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #14 on: March 15, 2016, 09:47:21 PM »
Please cruz win MO so some of the bullish trump posters on here can be silenced for at least ten minutes.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #15 on: March 15, 2016, 09:49:53 PM »
I have a question.

Turmp is at 30% favorablity rating among americans.

Why is every single results thread we have on here basically posters that are so pro trump?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #16 on: March 15, 2016, 10:02:51 PM »
It is so obvious that 90% of the people in this thread are trollish trump fans.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #17 on: March 15, 2016, 10:06:57 PM »
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 15, 2016, 10:06:15 PM
Quote from: marty on March 15, 2016, 10:02:51 PM
It is so obvious that 90% of the people in this thread are trollish trump fans.

What's wrong with being a Trump fan?

I guess I'm just bitter that you guys are completely changing a party that I identify with.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #18 on: March 15, 2016, 10:09:46 PM »
Quote from: muon2 on March 15, 2016, 10:08:49 PM
In IL Kasich still leads for 7 delegates and Cruz for 9 delegates, that leaves 53 for Trump.

Is that good or bad for trump?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #19 on: March 15, 2016, 10:40:56 PM »
I don't think trump fans realize how god damn lucky they are that rubio was still in the race tonight.

Gave trump missouri and NC.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #20 on: March 15, 2016, 11:27:38 PM »
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 15, 2016, 11:27:11 PM
St Louis City is all in and Trump still has a 2,400 vote lead.
so is that it?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #21 on: March 15, 2016, 11:35:27 PM »
Are there recounts in MO?
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