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  NY - Emerson: Clinton-71 Sanders-23
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Author Topic: NY - Emerson: Clinton-71 Sanders-23  (Read 2541 times)
dfwlibertylover
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« on: March 17, 2016, 06:36:16 pm »

http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_e6ef41f2113347feaedca7d88762c6f3.pdf

New Emerson poll out of New York:

Clinton-71
Sanders-23
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Crumpets
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« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2016, 06:37:59 pm »

"SO YOU'RE TELLING ME THERE'S A CHANCE!"

- TYT, r/sandersforpresent, etc.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2016, 06:38:02 pm »

So the GOP numbers are:

Trump 64
Cruz 12
Rubio 4
Kasich 1

Uhh... What? The sample size is tiny, but still.
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Icefire9
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« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2016, 06:39:17 pm »

No.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #4 on: March 17, 2016, 06:39:46 pm »

Also, when was this conducted? Things might have changed after Tuesday... Smiley
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #5 on: March 17, 2016, 06:42:03 pm »

The 14th through the 16th
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #6 on: March 17, 2016, 06:42:55 pm »

I kind of don't believe these numbers based off the sample size. They just look off to me.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #7 on: March 17, 2016, 06:47:10 pm »

Probably inflating the margins a bit, but Clinton and Trump will obviously win in a landslide here.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #8 on: March 17, 2016, 06:59:39 pm »

Bernie winning NY was always a pipe dream. It's a closed primary, and the only primaries in which he's won registered Democrats are Vermont and New Hampshire (in the latter by a slim margin.) She's going to completely crush it in NYC unlike in 08 when Obama gave her competition there, which will easily make up (and more) for whatever she loses Upstate. She's not going to crack 70, but I'd be pretty shocked if she fell below 60.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: March 17, 2016, 07:17:56 pm »

Clinton will definitely win New York, but this does seem too high. What CD's do you think Sanders will win? CD-21 seems like a certainty. Maybe CD-20, CD-23, and CD-24? 
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RBH
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« Reply #10 on: March 17, 2016, 07:35:56 pm »

NY doesn't have a Rahm Emanuel, right?

I think Teachout only got to 34% vs Andrew Cuomo.
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Holmes
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« Reply #11 on: March 17, 2016, 07:38:02 pm »

I said god damn.
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Icefire9
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« Reply #12 on: March 17, 2016, 07:41:31 pm »

"SO YOU'RE TELLING ME THERE'S A CHANCE!"

- TYT, r/sandersforpresent, etc.
TYT has given up the ghost, but r/sandersforpresident will likely descend into ninja-delegate madness until the day of the convention.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #13 on: March 17, 2016, 07:46:20 pm »

Also, for old times sake:

#Clintonunder80

Dominating!
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #14 on: March 17, 2016, 07:47:22 pm »

"SO YOU'RE TELLING ME THERE'S A CHANCE!"

- TYT, r/sandersforpresent, etc.
TYT has given up the ghost, but r/sandersforpresident will likely descend into ninja-delegate madness until the day of the convention.

The same thing Reddit did for Ron Paul. Truly an awful site.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #15 on: March 17, 2016, 07:50:03 pm »

Clinton will definitely win New York, but this does seem too high. What CD's do you think Sanders will win? CD-21 seems like a certainty. Maybe CD-20, CD-23, and CD-24? 
I wouldnt be surprised if the counties he wins (I assume he will win counties) would have been previously carried by Teachout.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #16 on: March 17, 2016, 07:50:20 pm »

Also, for old times sake:

#Clintonunder80

Dominating!

lol, good times.

#2008redux
#DemshateHillary
#Hillarycollapsing
#Ready4Warren
#AnythingCanHappenInPolitics
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RBH
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« Reply #17 on: March 17, 2016, 08:12:51 pm »

it's all relatively mild until HA Goodman starts posting conspiracy theories ala Larry Johnson/No Quarter did about Obama in 08.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #18 on: March 17, 2016, 08:22:39 pm »

lol
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○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
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« Reply #19 on: March 17, 2016, 08:48:44 pm »

If it was a poll of people I know in NY, then the two numbers would be reversed.

But anyways, Emerson has been known to have leads of like 30 points more than any other pollster.
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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #20 on: March 17, 2016, 09:36:54 pm »

This is a landline-only poll, according to Emerson's methodology statement.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #21 on: March 17, 2016, 09:38:49 pm »

This is a landline-only poll, according to Emerson's methodology statement.

So this is a poll of olds.
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Ted Bessell
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« Reply #22 on: March 17, 2016, 10:05:09 pm »

It also says Trump is at 64%.
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Ljube
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« Reply #23 on: March 17, 2016, 11:25:41 pm »

TRUMP needs an overwhelming victory in New York to secure the nomination.
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #24 on: March 18, 2016, 12:04:00 am »

"SO YOU'RE TELLING ME THERE'S A CHANCE!"

- TYT, r/sandersforpresent, etc.

Didn't all those maps where Bernie wins rely on him winning New York?  Clinton could easily put up another 100-150 delegate gap here.  I've seen some Cruz maps that were the same way.

Obviously this is Clinton and Trump's actual home state, they'll both win in landslides.

Also, for old times sake:

#Clintonunder80

Dominating!

Oh man, the good old days...
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