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Author Topic: NY-Emerson: Trump slowly closing the gap  (Read 1919 times)
Joni Ernst 20∞
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« on: March 17, 2016, 08:21:24 pm »

Hillary Clinton (D): 55%
Donald Trump (R): 36%

Hillary Clinton (D): 61%
Ted Cruz (R): 30%

Bernie Sanders (D): 53%
Donald Trump (R): 36%

http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_e6ef41f2113347feaedca7d88762c6f3.pdf
« Last Edit: March 20, 2016, 04:04:07 pm by TN volunteer »Logged

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« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2016, 08:33:19 pm »

Oh ya, he's gonna win Vermont too.
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Sic semper tyrannis.
Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2016, 09:30:23 pm »

Oh ya, he's gonna win Vermont too.

Uh no, but he will come closer to winning NY than winning NH.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2016, 09:48:02 pm »

Oh ya, he's gonna win Vermont too.

Uh no, but he will come closer to winning NY than winning NH.

Seriously stop this sh**te
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I feel liberal and around conservatives and conservative around liberals. Seems I canít win.
ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #4 on: March 18, 2016, 01:12:30 am »

Yea this whole poll seems a bit off. Land lines only? lol
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #5 on: March 18, 2016, 03:47:33 am »

The Trumpster won't win NY. He will/would lose by a 60-35% margin, if not more. End of story.
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #6 on: March 18, 2016, 04:06:06 am »

The Trumpster won't win NY. He will/would lose by a 60-35% margin, if not more. End of story.
uh...are you seriously suggesting he won't win his home state?
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http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=244197.0
Different states!
Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #7 on: March 18, 2016, 04:13:28 am »

The Trumpster won't win NY. He will/would lose by a 60-35% margin, if not more. End of story.
uh...are you seriously suggesting he won't win his home state?

Just like Mitt won his home state, right? Btw, it's also Hillary's homestate. NY is an overwhelming blue state, no GOPer will come anything close to win in a presidential election.
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TimTurner
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« Reply #8 on: March 18, 2016, 04:28:28 am »

The Trumpster won't win NY. He will/would lose by a 60-35% margin, if not more. End of story.
uh...are you seriously suggesting he won't win his home state?

Just like Mitt won his home state, right? Btw, it's also Hillary's homestate. NY is an overwhelming blue state, no GOPer will come anything close to win in a presidential election.
Oh. I thought you were talking about the R primary, not the general.
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Vote Lib Dem on May 7 - keep Clegg as deputy PM

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=244197.0
Different states!
Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #9 on: March 18, 2016, 05:31:43 am »

The Trumpster won't win NY. He will/would lose by a 60-35% margin, if not more. End of story.
uh...are you seriously suggesting he won't win his home state?

Just like Mitt won his home state, right? Btw, it's also Hillary's homestate. NY is an overwhelming blue state, no GOPer will come anything close to win in a presidential election.
Oh. I thought you were talking about the R primary, not the general.

Yes, I was talking about the GE. No doubt the Trumpster will win the NY primary.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #10 on: March 18, 2016, 09:47:07 am »

New Poll: New York President by Emerson College on 2016-03-16

Summary: D: 55%, R: 36%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #11 on: March 19, 2016, 07:27:13 pm »

Oh ya, he's gonna win Vermont too.

Uh no, but he will come closer to winning NY than winning NH.

Seriously stop this sh**te

lol.

There is no evidence to suggest that NH is more likely to flip than NY. Both states are hella inelastic and safe D.
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« Reply #12 on: March 19, 2016, 09:06:54 pm »

Oh ya, he's gonna win Vermont too.

Uh no, but he will come closer to winning NY than winning NH.

Seriously stop this sh**te

lol.

There is no evidence to suggest that NH is more likely to flip than NY. Both states are hella inelastic and safe D.

Actually, there is plenty of evidence, but it's probably not worth trying to convince you, lol. Do you honestly think the margin in NH will be more lopsided than in NY though? Is there any evidence NH will suddenly go from being 2 or 3 percent more Democratic than the PV to more than 25 percent?
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #13 on: March 19, 2016, 09:45:35 pm »

Actually, there is plenty of evidence, but it's probably not worth trying to convince you, lol. Do you honestly think the margin in NH will be more lopsided than in NY though? Is there any evidence NH will suddenly go from being 2 or 3 percent more Democratic than the PV to more than 25 percent?

It would probably be close, but margins don't matter in this case. Whether Clinton wins NH by 5 (her worst case scenario) or 30 (her best scenario) points, she is assured of capturing NH's 4 electoral votes either way. Anyothing other than a 6-point win in NH means Clinton is in BIG trouble nationally. If she loses the state, she will have to deal with a humiliating McGovern/Goldwater/Mondale-style defeat.
« Last Edit: March 19, 2016, 09:50:12 pm by TN volunteer »Logged

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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #14 on: March 20, 2016, 04:02:10 pm »

Oh ya, he's gonna win Vermont too.

Uh no, but he will come closer to winning NY than winning NH.

Reported for trolling.
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Clarence Boddicker
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« Reply #15 on: March 21, 2016, 05:13:23 am »

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