Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 17, 2019, 04:27:04 am
News: 2020 U.S. Senate Predictions are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  WI- Emerson: Clinton and Cruz with small leads
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 Print
Author Topic: WI- Emerson: Clinton and Cruz with small leads  (Read 5892 times)
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,369
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 23, 2016, 03:14:02 pm »

http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_73d4ad9247704c9488a764acae6f7767.pdf

Democrats

Clinton       50
Sanders     44


Republicans

Cruz           36
TRUMP        35
Kasich        19 
Logged
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,693
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 23, 2016, 03:16:45 pm »

HAHAHA looks like we can throw Emerson polls out now.
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 23, 2016, 03:17:10 pm »

I expect Bernie to win WI in the end, but the fact that Hillary is keeping it competitive is great for her. This should be solid Bernie country.

As expected, Trump is in trouble. Luckily for him, he should be able to snag some CDs even if he loses overall.
Logged
yankeesfan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,150
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 23, 2016, 03:17:52 pm »

The only times Cruz has ever led in a reputable poll were in Iowa, Texas and Utah.

And now Wisconsin. Just in case anyone was wondering.  
Logged
President Johnson
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,374
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 23, 2016, 03:18:10 pm »

Junk poll.
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,419


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 23, 2016, 03:22:07 pm »


why? Minnesota is next door and trump got third place.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,295
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 23, 2016, 03:23:55 pm »


In a caucus he didn't compete in.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,593
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: March 23, 2016, 03:27:06 pm »

Wisconsin is a primary, so comparing it to Iowa or Minnesota is not very accurate. If anything, Illinois or Michigan would have to be the closest (but I don't think those are good either). I'm waiting for Marquette here, Emerson is complete trash.
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,419


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: March 23, 2016, 03:29:46 pm »

Wisconsin is a primary, so comparing it to Iowa or Minnesota is not very accurate. If anything, Illinois or Michigan would have to be the closest (but I don't think those are good either). I'm waiting for Marquette here, Emerson is complete trash.

MU had trump up 10 ten in late feb, but still only at 30.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,593
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: March 23, 2016, 03:30:34 pm »

Wisconsin is a primary, so comparing it to Iowa or Minnesota is not very accurate. If anything, Illinois or Michigan would have to be the closest (but I don't think those are good either). I'm waiting for Marquette here, Emerson is complete trash.

MU had trump up 10 ten in late feb, but still only at 30.

I'm aware of that.
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,767
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: March 23, 2016, 03:31:36 pm »

This poll was conducted before Clinton got destroyed in the Mormon corridor though. Wisconsinites actually take their cues from Mormons. You know the old saying, as Utah and Idaho go, so goes Wisconsin.
Logged
Ronnie
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,862
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: March 23, 2016, 03:32:28 pm »

What about this poll makes it junk?  It's a believable result to me.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,737
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: March 23, 2016, 03:34:52 pm »

Glorious news! I put money on Cruz just in time!
Logged
Fargobison
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,490



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: March 23, 2016, 03:35:51 pm »

This poll makes a lot of sense on the GOP side, about what I expected when I saw how people in the SE corner of the state view Trump.

I think Kasich's number will only collapse more. Voters will rally around the Trump slayer.

Logged
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,693
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: March 23, 2016, 03:38:20 pm »

This poll was conducted before Clinton got destroyed in the Mormon corridor though. Wisconsinites actually take their cues from Mormons. You know the old saying, as Utah and Idaho go, so goes Wisconsin.

Ugh your sarcasm is unbearable. Don't blame your bf for watching TYT, you would drive me to do the same damn thing.
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,419


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: March 23, 2016, 03:40:16 pm »

This poll makes a lot of sense on the GOP side, about what I expected when I saw how people in the SE corner of the state view Trump.

I think Kasich's number will only collapse more. Voters will rally around the Trump slayer.



another thing: poll is 10% undecided. If those break like they usually do, it will be a 2-4 point cruz victory.
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,767
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: March 23, 2016, 03:42:51 pm »

This poll was conducted before Clinton got destroyed in the Mormon corridor though. Wisconsinites actually take their cues from Mormons. You know the old saying, as Utah and Idaho go, so goes Wisconsin.

Ugh your sarcasm is unbearable. Don't blame your bf for watching TYT, you would drive me to do the same damn thing.

It's husband, not boyfriend.
Logged
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,693
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: March 23, 2016, 03:43:50 pm »

This poll was conducted before Clinton got destroyed in the Mormon corridor though. Wisconsinites actually take their cues from Mormons. You know the old saying, as Utah and Idaho go, so goes Wisconsin.

Ugh your sarcasm is unbearable. Don't blame your bf for watching TYT, you would drive me to do the same damn thing.

It's husband, not boyfriend.
 

Good job.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 38,047
Samoa


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: March 23, 2016, 03:45:10 pm »

The only CD Trump has in lockdown in Wisconsin is WI-07 (the northern part). Cruz has in lockdown the area around Oshkosh (WI-06). The rest are pretty close, although Cruz has a clear lead in WI-05, and Trump in WI-01 (Paul Ryan's CD).
Logged
BundouYMB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 914


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: March 23, 2016, 03:45:55 pm »
« Edited: March 23, 2016, 03:49:02 pm by BundouYMB »

Keep in mind that Marquette had Clinton up 1 in their last poll, in late February, so I don't find these numbers that unbelievable (although given Emerson isn't very trustworthy I'll take it with a pinch of salt.) I definitely believe the race has moved further in Clinton's direction since then (national polling average has moved in her favor at the very least.)

Also, while Clinton's obviously way weaker with whites across the board than other races the meme that all whites vote like Idaho and Utah really needs to die. Clinton won whites in Ohio, and I see no reason she can't do it here too.

Edit: And Clinton won Iowa too, obviously.
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,419


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: March 23, 2016, 03:46:24 pm »

Could one thing trump has going against him in WI is that unlike in the south, white WI workers are more likely to be unionized and therefore more likely to be democratic voters supporting sanders?
Logged
/
darthebearnc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,378
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: March 23, 2016, 03:46:33 pm »

#iowaflashbacks
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,593
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: March 23, 2016, 03:48:49 pm »

Keep in mind that Marquette had Clinton up 1 in their last poll, in late February, so I don't find these numbers that unbelievable (although given Emerson isn't very trustworthy I'll take it with a pinch of salt.) I definitely believe the race has moved further in Clinton's direction since then (national polling average has moved in her favor at the very least.)

Also, while Clinton's obviously way weaker with whites across the board than other races the meme that all whites vote like Idaho and Utah really needs to die. Clinton won whites in Ohio, and I see no reason she can't do it here too.

I have to disagree. Look at North Carolina, look at Michigan, Missouri, etc. If anything, its been Sanders that improved, I don't think he would've lost Iowa with his current campaign.

Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,770
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: March 23, 2016, 03:50:07 pm »

TRUMP has only have had leads in MO & Ga polls.
Logged
BundouYMB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 914


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: March 23, 2016, 03:54:03 pm »

Keep in mind that Marquette had Clinton up 1 in their last poll, in late February, so I don't find these numbers that unbelievable (although given Emerson isn't very trustworthy I'll take it with a pinch of salt.) I definitely believe the race has moved further in Clinton's direction since then (national polling average has moved in her favor at the very least.)

Also, while Clinton's obviously way weaker with whites across the board than other races the meme that all whites vote like Idaho and Utah really needs to die. Clinton won whites in Ohio, and I see no reason she can't do it here too.

Really? Look at North Carolina, look at Michigan, Missouri, etc. If anything, its been Sanders that improved, I don't think he would've lost Iowa with his current campaign.

When that Marquette poll came out, almost exactly a month ago, Clinton led 47.6-42.0 in the RCP average. Today she leads 51.3-41.7.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC