Bloomberg/Selzer National Poll: Clinton leads Trump and Cruz, trails Kasich

[Zache]

Clinton 54% Trump 36%
Clinton 51% Cruz 42%
Kasich 47% Clinton 43%

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-03-23/republicans-in-bloomberg-poll-not-sold-on-plan-to-stop-trump-im5c37sf

[Ebsy]

The GOP is staring into oblivion.

[Ebsy]

Some wonderful numbers:

The Republican Party:
Favorable: 33
Unfavorable: 60

Mitt Romney:
Favorable: 32
Unfavorable: 58

Donald Trump:
Favorable: 29
Unfavorable: 69

Ted Cruz:
Favorable: 32
Unfavorable: 55

The Democratic Party:
Favorable: 51
Unfavorable: 43

Hillary Clinton:
Favorable: 43
Unfavorable: 53

[IceSpear]

Impossible. I was told the Democratic Party was doomed unless we nominate Bernie Sanders.

[Wiz in Wis]

Impossible. I was told the Democratic Party was doomed unless we nominate Bernie Sanders.

But all those Bernie Bros are going to write him in... so, yeah.

[Liberalrocks]

I wonder what an 18 point Clinton win would look like on the electoral map?...

[Ronnie]

I wonder what an 18 point Clinton win would look like on the electoral map?...

She would sweep everything but the Deep South and WV, I think.

[/]

I wonder what an 18 point Clinton win would look like on the electoral map?...

58% D to 40% R General Election result swung uniformly from 2012:

Take away MS, add TX, and you've got a map.

[Wiz in Wis]

I wonder what an 18 point Clinton win would look like on the electoral map?...

58% D to 40% R General Election result swung uniformly from 2012:

Take away MS, add TX, and you've got a map.

Tempted to say she'd also win UT and AR

[Liberalrocks]

I wonder what an 18 point Clinton win would look like on the electoral map?...

58% D to 40% R General Election result swung uniformly from 2012:

Take away MS, add TX, and you've got a map.

Tempted to say she'd also win UT and AR

Agreed on Arkansas not sure about Utah that still may be a tough haul for a democrat regardless of which nominee.

[/]

I wonder what an 18 point Clinton win would look like on the electoral map?...

58% D to 40% R General Election result swung uniformly from 2012:

Take away MS, add TX, and you've got a map.

Tempted to say she'd also win UT and AR

Agreed on Arkansas not sure about Utah that still may be a tough haul for a democrat regardless of which nominee.

She's not winning Arkansas.

[EliteLX]

To all the satire Trump tools around this forum the past year trying to claim Marco, Jeb, and Kasich's electability would be crushed by Donald: you've yet again been proven as a bunch of scrubs. To every liberal and nutjob conservative who have tried giving this clown credit for the past year, you can all go fu[ck] yourself. It's a shame you've given the American people a lying corporatist corrupt poorly pandering broad and a nimwitted clown as your best options.

B..B..B...BUT IT'S A POLLING ERROR (X348739847)!

MUUH BAD POLLSTER.

MUUH REGISTERED VOTERS.

MUUH SAVIOR OF WHITE WORKING CLASS.

MUUH REAGAN DEMOCRATS.

MUH WE HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE!

MUUH BLACKS LOVE HIM.

MUUH MOST ELECTABLE GOP'er.

[Maxwell]

With those favorable ratings, Clinton is looking like a damn princess.

To all the satire Trump tools around this forum the past year trying to claim Marco, Jeb, and Kasich's electability would be crushed by Donald: you've yet again been proven as a bunch of scrubs. To every liberal and nutjob conservative who have tried giving this clown credit for the past year, you can all go fu[ck] yourself. It's a shame you've given the American people a lying corporatist corrupt poorly pandering broad and a nimwitted clown as your best options.

B..B..B...BUT IT'S A POLLING ERROR (X348739847)!

MUUH BAD POLLSTER.

MUUH REGISTERED VOTERS.

MUUH SAVIOR OF WHITE WORKING CLASS.

MUUH REAGAN DEMOCRATS.

MUH WE HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE!

MUUH BLACKS LOVE HIM.

MUUH MOST ELECTABLE GOP'er.

yawn. using the words "corporatist" unironically when you support either of Ted Cruz or John Kasich (don't know, don't care).

For the record - general election polls this far out are still a long shot. Doesn't mean I think Trump has a good shot (a better one than Ted! still), but writing this long diatribe this early is just asking to be made a fool of later on.

[Flake]

To all the satire Trump tools around this forum the past year trying to claim Marco, Jeb, and Kasich's electability would be crushed by Donald: you've yet again been proven as a bunch of scrubs. To every liberal and nutjob conservative who have tried giving this clown credit for the past year, you can all go fu[ck] yourself. It's a shame you've given the American people a lying corporatist corrupt poorly pandering broad and a nimwitted clown as your best options.

B..B..B...BUT IT'S A POLLING ERROR (X348739847)!

MUUH BAD POLLSTER.

MUUH REGISTERED VOTERS.

MUUH SAVIOR OF WHITE WORKING CLASS.

MUUH REAGAN DEMOCRATS.

MUH WE HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE!

MUUH BLACKS LOVE HIM.

MUUH MOST ELECTABLE GOP'er.

You have no one to thank but your party and its voters who are about to nominate him. Even your runner up is a crazy conservative who wants to ban muslims from immigrating into the United States and even monitoring them like animals. Crazy stuff.

[Free Bird]

None of you can seriously say that this poll isn't biased and expect to save face.

[Maxwell]

None of you can seriously say that this poll isn't biased and expect to save face.

Nobody is saying that, luckily.

I'm saying it's far out. These obviously aren't good numbers for Trump or Cruz.

And short-sighted TN Volunteer doesn't understand what plucking Kasich in the brokered convention would do to his favorables.

[Flake]

Nice to see that Clinton's poll numbers is going back into pre-2015 levels.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

To all the satire Trump tools around this forum the past year trying to claim Marco, Jeb, and Kasich's electability would be crushed by Donald: you've yet again been proven as a bunch of scrubs. To every liberal and nutjob conservative who have tried giving this clown credit for the past year, you can all go fu[ck] yourself. It's a shame you've given the American people a lying corporatist corrupt poorly pandering broad and a nimwitted clown as your best options.

B..B..B...BUT IT'S A POLLING ERROR (X348739847)!

MUUH BAD POLLSTER.

MUUH REGISTERED VOTERS.


Jeb gave way to Trump. Due to his flubs

McConnell is already gonna lose at least 5 seats in US Senate

But his obstruction is causing vulnerable House GOP in Latino districts to be even more vulnerable

Obamacare is working now. That's why Obama's approvals are above 50, younger workers are signing up.

No one can truely predict what Dem majority will look like at end. But. HILLARY will get 51% like Obama did

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

This poll has Bernie beating Trump 58-34. Those who said that nominating Bernie could result in a worse defeat than McGovern had were correct. They just weren't correct about who would have the 24 point loss.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

This poll has Bernie beating Trump 58-34. Those who said that nominating Bernie could result in a worse defeat than McGovern had were correct. They just weren't correct about who would have the 24 point loss.

At what point will you stop citing hypothetical elections and address real person vote elections that Sanders is actually losing?

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

It's amazing how unlikable a Trump v. Clinton race would be. Have we ever had a race where neither side was liked by a majority of Americans?

[Landslide Lyndon]

It's amazing how unlikable a Trump v. Clinton race would be. Have we ever had a race where neither side was liked by a majority of Americans?

1992?

[Flake]

I wonder what an 18 point Clinton win would look like on the electoral map?...

I used the fivethirtyeight tool to see how the map would look like (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-swing-the-election/) and I set it to this:

College educated whites: 54% D, 76% Turnout
Non college educated whites: 63% R, 58% Turnout
Blacks: 93% D, 64% Turnout
Hispanics: 85% D, 60% Turnout
Asians/Others: 80% D, 58% Turnout

It comes up to 58% Clinton - 40.2% Trump

The map looks like this:

445-93

http://i.imgur.com/1FqEdzS.png

[Mr. Morden]

It's amazing how unlikable a Trump v. Clinton race would be. Have we ever had a race where neither side was liked by a majority of Americans?

1992?

While he struggled quite a bit early in the year, Clinton had net positive favorability after the Democratic convention in the summer, and retained that through election day:

[Landslide Lyndon]

It's amazing how unlikable a Trump v. Clinton race would be. Have we ever had a race where neither side was liked by a majority of Americans?

1992?

While he struggled quite a bit early in the year, Clinton had net positive favorability after the Democratic convention in the summer, and retained that through election day:

I thought we were talking about the same point in the cycle as now.
Who knows what happens after a few months, perhaps Hillary's favorables will rise after the end of the primary when the Berniebots will return to the fold.