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  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  PA - F&M: Trump 33, Kasich 30, Cruz 20; Clinton 52, Sanders 28 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA - F&M: Trump 33, Kasich 30, Cruz 20; Clinton 52, Sanders 28  (Read 3600 times)
marty
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« on: March 24, 2016, 12:57:26 am »

remember, kasich was born here.

also, how is this race so close when the region by region breakdown has trump kicking butt everywhere.
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marty
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« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2016, 01:00:04 am »

17% undecided, that should help kasich and cruz.
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marty
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« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2016, 01:11:21 am »

Could we see cruz pull a rubio here and tell his folks to vote kasich?
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marty
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« Reply #3 on: March 24, 2016, 01:20:41 am »

Closed primary for the Democrats, which helps Clinton. Also their are much more minorities in Pennsylvania then Ohio (were Clinton won easily)...Yeah Clinton should crush Sanders here by 15-20pts...

For the Republicans, I favor Trump but only slightly. Kasich has a shot here to (similar to Ohio etc).

If I were Kasich I would just campaign in Pennsylvania and a few other small northern states like Rhode Island. And completely forget about Wisconsin, as if Cruz wins their it increases chances of a brokered convention.

is this a closed primary for the gop? If so, that might help kasich because the voters in the coal and appalachian regions are less likely to be registered.
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marty
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« Reply #4 on: March 24, 2016, 01:44:35 am »

Hillary supporters honestly have intelligence issues - Very similar to Trump supporters. They don't go and check how credible a poll is  - They just come up with weird remarks.

AGE. What was your age on your last birthday?
2% 18-24
6% 25-34
10% 35-44
15% 45-54
27% 55-64
41% 65 and older

Now in Iowa & NH - 18-29 was around 18-19%(21% in Michigan), 18-34 was around 26% odd (Here it is 8%)

In Michigan under 44, was around 50% odd. Here is 18%.

If this is not a Junk poll, I don't know what is! 2% under 24? 8% under 35%?

F&M is a highly respected pollster in PA. They nailed both the presidential and Senate margins in 2012, and came very close to the final margin in the 2014 governor's race, so they must be doing something right.

You do bring up a good point with the age ranges though. Youth turnout was substantially lower than those examples you gave in certain states, plus PA is a pretty "old state" in general, so those could be factors. But even considering that the sample is too old. Either they got a really wonky sample, or the kids aren't paying attention yet. Tongue

icespear, so on the GOP side, only 17 delegates are at stake and the rest are unbound? Doesn't that sorta put a damper on this battle, considering even "momentum" has been utterly useless so far?
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marty
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« Reply #5 on: March 24, 2016, 02:06:34 am »

Is shadows bernie sanders campaign manager?
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