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  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  PA - F&M: Trump 33, Kasich 30, Cruz 20; Clinton 52, Sanders 28 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA - F&M: Trump 33, Kasich 30, Cruz 20; Clinton 52, Sanders 28  (Read 3594 times)
P123
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 331


Political Matrix
E: 3.64, S: 3.20

« on: March 24, 2016, 01:19:29 am »

Closed primary for the Democrats, which helps Clinton. Also their are much more minorities in Pennsylvania then Ohio (were Clinton won easily)...Yeah Clinton should crush Sanders here by 15-20pts...

For the Republicans, I favor Trump but only slightly. Kasich has a shot here to (similar to Ohio etc).

If I were Kasich I would just campaign in Pennsylvania and a few other small northern states like Rhode Island. And completely forget about Wisconsin, as if Cruz wins their it increases chances of a brokered convention.
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P123
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 331


Political Matrix
E: 3.64, S: 3.20

« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2016, 01:33:54 am »

Closed primary for the Democrats, which helps Clinton. Also their are much more minorities in Pennsylvania then Ohio (were Clinton won easily)...Yeah Clinton should crush Sanders here by 15-20pts...

For the Republicans, I favor Trump but only slightly. Kasich has a shot here to (similar to Ohio etc).

If I were Kasich I would just campaign in Pennsylvania and a few other small northern states like Rhode Island. And completely forget about Wisconsin, as if Cruz wins their it increases chances of a brokered convention.

is this a closed primary for the gop? If so, that might help kasich because the voters in the coal and appalachian regions are less likely to be registered.

It's closed on both sides.

Yeah Kasich could win Pennsylvania, but I still favor Trump.

Clinton will obviously blow Sanders out, proabably worse then Ohio. Clinton has vastly more strength among Pennsylvania/Ohio White Democrats versus other states.

I believe Ohio is the only other state besides Arkansas were she won the white vote.
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P123
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 331


Political Matrix
E: 3.64, S: 3.20

« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2016, 06:19:52 am »

Closed primary for the Democrats, which helps Clinton. Also their are much more minorities in Pennsylvania then Ohio (were Clinton won easily)...Yeah Clinton should crush Sanders here by 15-20pts...

For the Republicans, I favor Trump but only slightly. Kasich has a shot here to (similar to Ohio etc).

If I were Kasich I would just campaign in Pennsylvania and a few other small northern states like Rhode Island. And completely forget about Wisconsin, as if Cruz wins their it increases chances of a brokered convention.

Yup.

I believe Ohio is the only other state besides Arkansas were she won the white vote.

She won the white vote in every Southern state except Oklahoma, as well as Arizona most likely.

Your right.

Clintons % of whites by southern state.

Arkansas:60%
Alabama:58%
Georgia:58%
Virginia:57%
Texas:57%
Tennessee:57%
South Carolina:54%
Missouri:45%
North Carolina:43%

Virginia was a slaughter, ing sh**t.
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