Clinton vs Trump
2012 swing states: 46-41 Clinton
Red states: 48-38 Trump
Blue states: 56-30 Clinton
This is interesting. I had noticed that the national polls have been typically more strongly Clinton than almost all the swing state polls (for at least this month) and was wondering if that was the result of some kind of skew in the weighting or if the safe states are overall looking to swing Dem. This suggests something to the effect of the latter.
For the record, here's how they assign the states:
Other misc stuff to note:
- Trump is only up 8 among whites, a similar margin to the Quinnipiac poll. Clinton has 39% in both polls.
- 89% of registered Dems selected Clinton, with 0% volunteering a third-party candidate.
- Registered Reps are split over whether Trump has the "right temperament" to be Pres.
- Contrary to the Reason (lol) article posted here, Johnson would pull support much more from Trump than Clinton-- 13% from GOP and 4% from DEM.
Of course, this may be a junk poll, but w/e
