The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread

[The Other Castro]

Politico: "Trump laying the groundwork for 2020 reelection bid"

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http://www.politico.com/story/2017/01/donald-trump-campaign-reelection-233440

[The Other Castro]

Yep, pretty sure O'Malley is going to run, he is eager and patiently waiting. Do you think he would do better in 2020 if he does run?

He'd probably somehow do even worse, as there will be likely be more than 3 candidates left by Iowa this time (all of whom will be better candidates than him).

[The Other Castro]

Trump has already picked out two possible 2020 campaign slogans:

"Keep America Great" or "Keep America Great!"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/how-donald-trump-came-up-with-make-america-great-again/2017/01/17/fb6acf5e-dbf7-11e6-ad42-f3375f271c9c_story.html?postshare=831484737469175&tid=ss_tw&utm_term=.4e38abc925f8

[The Other Castro]

Did anyone really believe that Clinton would run again for anything?

[The Other Castro]

I'll believe him when he announces his intent to run for re-election to his senate seat in 2020

Can't he do both?

[The Other Castro]

Jennifer Epstein ‏@jeneps  6m6 minutes ago
 Julian Castro on 2020 run for Dem nomination, on MSNBC: "The truth is that I'm never going to take anything off the table"

[The Other Castro]

Mark Zuckerberg hits Trump on executive actions in new Facebook post.

https://www.facebook.com/zuck/posts/10103460278231481

[The Other Castro]

Speaking of Gillibrand, both she and Warren responded to Trump's refugee restrictions with tweetstorms today:

https://twitter.com/SenGillibrand
https://twitter.com/SenWarren

Booker, meanwhile, posted a video of his response, which involved a lot of hand gestures:

https://twitter.com/CoryBooker/status/825149036160229376

I wonder if there have been any studies of whether politicians start speaking with their hands more when they are preparing for presidential runs.

[The Other Castro]

Jason Kander trolling Trump a bit:

Jason Kander ‏@JasonKander  3h3 hours ago
With just 1,373 days until Americans vote in the 2020 election, responsible thing to do is wait until then to consider any #SCOTUS nominee.

[The Other Castro]

"Kasich to publish ‘Two Paths,’ a book offering a contrast to Trump’s America"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2017/01/31/kasich-to-publish-two-paths-a-book-offering-a-contrast-to-trumps-america/?utm_term=.3dd112d73bbc

[The Other Castro]

If the Natural Born Citizen clause were amended, Arnold may be interested:

"Hey Donald I have a great idea. Why don’t we switch jobs? You take over TV, because you’re such an expert in ratings, and I take over your job," said Schwarzenegger in a video. "And then people can finally sleep comfortable again. Hmm?"

http://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/in-the-know/317519-arnold-schwarzenegger-responds-to-trump-why-dont-we-switch-jobs

[The Other Castro]

Elizabeth Warren has hired a new national security adviser:

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https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2017/02/06/elizabeth-warren-hires-former-department-defense-official-national-security-aide/ZRbgXMuLz5rQG4JYI7drsL/story.html

[The Other Castro]

In case someone tries to use her Carson vote against her, Elizabeth Warren can now say that she fought so hard against Sessions' nomination that they literally had to vote to make her stop talking.

[The Other Castro]

I don't know why The Hill, editors at Wikipedia, and other sources are so intent on ruling out people as potential candidates.

[The Other Castro]

Chris Murphy reacts to the NY Post story that Bannon is doing oppo research on him:

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http://www.courant.com/politics/hc-chris-murphy-donald-trump-2020-20170213-story.html

[The Other Castro]

Kasich has a tentatively scheduled private meeting with Trump on Friday.

http://www.cnn.com/2017/02/20/politics/john-kasich-donald-trump/index.html

[The Other Castro]

Hickenlooper dodging the presidential question on CNN:

https://twitter.com/ErinBurnett/status/833869649280397312

[The Other Castro]

Big:

Bob Hardt ‏@bobhardt  26m26 minutes ago
Gillibrand pledges a full 6-year term if she's re-elected in 2018, adding Gov. Cuomo would "be a great candidate" for president. @ny1 7&10pm

[The Other Castro]

Big:

Bob Hardt ‏@bobhardt  26m26 minutes ago
Gillibrand pledges a full 6-year term if she's re-elected in 2018, adding Gov. Cuomo would "be a great candidate" for president. @ny1 7&10pm

Who become NY Gov. if Cuomo steps down to run?

Lt. Gov Kathy Hochul, assuming she's on the ticket again.

[The Other Castro]

Big:

Bob Hardt ‏@bobhardt  26m26 minutes ago
Gillibrand pledges a full 6-year term if she's re-elected in 2018, adding Gov. Cuomo would "be a great candidate" for president. @ny1 7&10pm

Here is the video:

https://twitter.com/RoadToCityHall/status/834187485261549573

Honestly, I am not really buying it.  It is not really so much a "pledge" as it is...she says she's running for reelection, and that that is her sole focus, and then the guy asks "You would serve your full term?" and she almost sheepishly responds "Yeah".  It doesn't seem like a premeditated Shermanesque commitment, like Franken and Kaine gave.

However, this does highlight the fact that all of the folks up in 2018 (Brown, Cuomo, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, Sanders, Warren, etc.) are going to have to come up with some clever answer to the "Are you committing to serving a full term if you are reelected?" question.

Yeah that video context changes the meaning behind the tweet a lot. Her saying this doesn't mean much. Side note, Gillibrand has a higher pitched voice than I imagined.

[The Other Castro]

Ed Klein is a well known idiot and liar.

[The Other Castro]

The whole Jeff Sessions situation going on is a direct result of a line of questioning from Al Franken. The White House statement also directly targets Al Franken.

[The Other Castro]

Gabriel Debenedetti‏ @gdebenedetti  1h1 hour ago
Who's heading back to Iowa for the third time since November 8 this weekend? Martin O'Malley.

[The Other Castro]

Senator Richard Blumenthal accidentally refers to Senator Chris Murphy as "President Murphy".

http://www.courant.com/politics/capitol-watch/hc-blumenthal-president-chris-murphy-story.html

[The Other Castro]

People always talk about Murphy here like he's a one issue Senator (gun control), when he's been focusing on a large variety of issues including but not limited to healthcare, Russia, immigration, and education. He's most widely known for his stances on gun control because Sandy Hook happened just after he was elected to the Senate.

Also, having worked for Blumenthal's office I have the sense that this is was just a casual slip up on Blumenthal's part. I wouldn't read anything into it.