The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread

[Medal506]

President Ted Cruz
Vice President Scott Walker
Secretary of State John Bolton



Democratic Primary

Elizabeth Warren Nominee
Andrew Coumo
Cory Booker
Bernie Sanders
Donald J Trump
Martin O'Malley
Jim Webb



General Election

Electoral votes

Cruz 443 - Warren 95



Swing stages

California
Oregon
Washington
Hawaii 
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Delaware
Maryland
Florida
North Carolina
Arizona
Iowa
Wisconsin
Michigan
Virginia
West Virginia
Ohio
Indiana
Colorado
Nevada
New Hampshire

[Mike Thick]

Swing stages

California
Oregon
Washington
Hawaii 
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Delaware
Maryland
Florida
North Carolina
Arizona
Iowa
Wisconsin
Michigan
Virginia
West Virginia
Ohio
Indiana
Colorado
Nevada
New Hampshire

TN Volunteer would be proud.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Swing stages

California
Oregon
Washington
Hawaii 
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Delaware
Maryland
Florida
North Carolina
Arizona
Iowa
Wisconsin
Michigan
Virginia
West Virginia
Ohio
Indiana
Colorado
Nevada
New Hampshire

TN Volunteer would be proud.

Are we sure that this poster isn't him?

[Mike Thick]

Swing stages

California
Oregon
Washington
Hawaii 
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Delaware
Maryland
Florida
North Carolina
Arizona
Iowa
Wisconsin
Michigan
Virginia
West Virginia
Ohio
Indiana
Colorado
Nevada
New Hampshire

TN Volunteer would be proud.

Are we sure that this poster isn't him?

No. It wouldn't surprise me in the least, though.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I left blank the states that were unclear based on the rest, but I guess that Warren is just a Northeast candidate in this map.  Even all of the others would only get her to 90.

[Mr. Morden]

Guys, can we please leave your own personal predictions of who should run or what the electoral map will look like for other threads?  There are plenty of other threads for that.  This thread is for tracking news on what the prospective 2020 presidential candidates are doing.

The news today is that Mike Lee is looking to move into the Senate leadership:

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/lee-leadership-senate-221818

You must be logged in to read this quote.

I leave it to you to decipher whether that means Lee is more or less likely to run for president in a few years.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Guys, can we please leave your own personal predictions of who should run or what the electoral map will look like for other threads?  There are plenty of other threads for that.  This thread is for tracking news on what the prospective 2020 presidential candidates are doing.

The news today is that Mike Lee is looking to move into the Senate leadership:

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/lee-leadership-senate-221818

You must be logged in to read this quote.

I leave it to you to decipher whether that means Lee is more or less likely to run for president in a few years.

I wasn't making a prediction- I was just putting his into a map form.  Sorry, though!

[BuckeyeNut]

If a Republican wins, Julian Castro or Sherrod Brown can be possibilities

Sherrod Brown does not want to be President.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Rubio might as well run for POTUS again. Being demolished a second time in a longshot presidential bid is not as bad as being demolished by Putnam in the gubernatorial primary.

[Mr. Morden]

In yet another sign that Rubio is looking to run again, he's apparently planning to avoid taking any job on Wall Street because it would be a political liability for a future run:

http://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/2016/04/05/rubio-thinks-wall-st-is-kiss-death-for-second-run-at-white-house.html

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Mr. Morden]

Because I only started this thread a few weeks ago, I'm still catching up on news from months ago.  E.g., in February, Justin Amash sounded like someone with presidential ambitions:

http://rare.us/story/would-justin-amash-run-for-president/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[JohnathanOHughes]

If Hillary Clinton wins in 2016:
Democratic: Hillary Clinton/Thomas Perez
Republican: Marco Rubio/John Kasich x
[Republicans win in a landslide]

If Kasich wins in 2016:
Democratic: Elizabeth Warren/Andrew Cuomo
Republican: John Kasich/Marco Rubio x
[Kasich reelected in sizable victory]

-If Cruz or Trump wins nomination in 2016, they automatically loose to Hillary Clinton, they are not even within 8 points of her, but Kasich is 7 up in the latest poll.

[/]

Because I only started this thread a few weeks ago, I'm still catching up on news from months ago.  E.g., in February, Justin Amash sounded like someone with presidential ambitions:

http://rare.us/story/would-justin-amash-run-for-president/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

tbh I'd rather have Cruz than this guy

[Mike Thick]

Feel The Cotton!

(That's actually clever considering that cotton is a material you can feel #JokeExplainer)

Pick Cotton! The ads write themselves.

He'd do awful among black voters with that slogan...

[Mr. Morden]

Ryan not ruling out a run for president in 2020 or beyond:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-gop-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/04/will-paul-ryan-run-for-president-222189

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Classic Conservative]

Feel The Cotton!

(That's actually clever considering that cotton is a material you can feel #JokeExplainer)

Pick Cotton! The ads write themselves.

That's sounds like a slavery quote

[Mr. Morden]

Christie says it’s his intention to return to the private sector when his term ends, but says “you never say never” on a future run for president or VP:

http://nj1015.com/christie-its-time-for-me-to-make-some-money/

[sportydude]

Feel The Cotton!

Sounds like an ad slogan for a tampon.

[Mr. Morden]

Susana Martinez is using her PAC like someone with an eye on national office, whether that be the presidency or the vice presidency:

http://www.dailyjournal.net/view/story/366095d9fa6b4ebaa91c291c2c1f11a2/NM--New-Mexico-Governor-Fundraising

You must be logged in to read this quote.

In other Martinez news, she’s just gone hard after Trump, so I wouldn’t be expecting her to show up on his veep list in the near future:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/04/19/new-mexico-gov-susana-martinez-makes-sharp-critique-of-trump-at-rga-donor-event/

[morgieb]

Feel The Cotton!

Sounds like an ad slogan for a tampon.

TAMPON TOM FOR 2020

[beaver2.0]

Donald J Trump
Martin O'Malley
Jim Webb

I don't think Trump will run as a Democrat.  O'Malley and Webb are probably done, unless they get a Secretaryship and run on their successes in that.

[sportydude]

Can Tom Cotton run for both Senate and President?

[This account no longer in use.]

Can Tom Cotton run for both Senate and President?

The AR legislature passed a law recently specifically so that Cotton could.

[UWS]

On the other hand, it can depend on what happens in 2016. If Ted Cruz beats Donald Trump in a brokered convention, Trump could be so very angry that he could declare a third-party candidacy, thus splitting the conservative vote including in Arkansas. If happens like this we might witness the increase of a Democratic legislature in this state, which could put in danger the law you're talking about.

[Mr. Morden]

Rand Paul on whether he’ll run next time:

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/rand-back-senate-222281

You must be logged in to read this quote.