The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread
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  The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread
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Author Topic: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread  (Read 211006 times)
Mr. Morden
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« Reply #550 on: December 20, 2016, 09:55:34 AM »

Cuomo again asked if he’s going to run for president, and deflects the question with “I’m running for governor”:

http://blog.timesunion.com/capitol/archives/270341/cuomo-on-2020-plans-im-running-for-governor-in-2018/

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Meanwhile, Michelle Obama reiterates that she’s not going to run for prez:

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/michelle-obama-oprah-winfrey-cbs-interview-not-run-barack-obama-2020-first-lady-donald-trump-a7486151.html
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Shadows
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« Reply #551 on: December 20, 2016, 12:23:09 PM »

I posted this in another thread -

   
Booker & Warren take committee assignments to boost foreign policy for 2020 run

Democratic Sens. Cory Booker and Elizabeth Warren, two rising stars in the party who are already talked about as presidential contenders in 2020, are taking committee assignments next year that will burnish their foreign policy credentials ahead of a potential national run.

Booker will join the Senate Foreign Relations Committee in 2017, giving the New Jersey Democrat a powerful perch on a panel that grapples with weighty matters such as authorizing war and leveling sanctions against foreign governments. The first-term senator will also have a front-row seat for the confirmation fight over Rex Tillerson, President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for secretary of state.

Warren will become the newest Democratic member of the Armed Services Committee, adding military credentials to a legislative portfolio heavy on domestic policy. That committee has a high-profile nomination fight as well: retired Gen. James Mattis, whom Trump will nominate to lead the Pentagon.

Source - Politico

The Sanders wing will be completely fractured because there will be another strong progressive in the primary surely as Warren is not acceptable universally & she is a weak candidate too IMO.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #552 on: December 20, 2016, 12:39:11 PM »

I posted this in another thread -

   
Booker & Warren take committee assignments to boost foreign policy for 2020 run


Already discussed in this thread last week:


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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #553 on: December 20, 2016, 01:42:16 PM »

Addendum to this list of early primary state visits this year: I guess, in addition to campaigning in NH, Warren also campaigned for both Clinton and Masto in Nevada in early November:

http://www.rgj.com/story/news/politics/2016/10/30/elizabeth-warren-campaign-wednesday-northern-nevada/93013968/

It's not totally clear that Nevada will still be an early caucus state in 2020, but it might be.
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Shadows
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« Reply #554 on: December 20, 2016, 01:55:51 PM »

Addendum to this list of early primary state visits this year: I guess, in addition to campaigning in NH, Warren also campaigned for both Clinton and Masto in Nevada in early November:

http://www.rgj.com/story/news/politics/2016/10/30/elizabeth-warren-campaign-wednesday-northern-nevada/93013968/

It's not totally clear that Nevada will still be an early caucus state in 2020, but it might be.


I think NH, NV, IW & SC are logical. 4 states from the North East, Mid-west, West coast & deep south - SC having large black population while NV has a solid hispanic population. 3 of the 4 states are purple or battleground states.

They will stick with NV. Logically I would prefer NC to SC as NC is a swing state & it makes sense for Dems to campaign more there.
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JustinTimeCuber
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« Reply #555 on: December 20, 2016, 04:51:34 PM »

Addendum to this list of early primary state visits this year: I guess, in addition to campaigning in NH, Warren also campaigned for both Clinton and Masto in Nevada in early November:

http://www.rgj.com/story/news/politics/2016/10/30/elizabeth-warren-campaign-wednesday-northern-nevada/93013968/

It's not totally clear that Nevada will still be an early caucus state in 2020, but it might be.


I think NH, NV, IW & SC are logical. 4 states from the North East, Mid-west, West coast & deep south - SC having large black population while NV has a solid hispanic population. 3 of the 4 states are purple or battleground states.

They will stick with NV. Logically I would prefer NC to SC as NC is a swing state & it makes sense for Dems to campaign more there.
Iowa is IA just fyi
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #556 on: December 20, 2016, 11:08:01 PM »

"Murphy Pours Cold Water on 'Draft Murphy' Movement"

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http://www.courant.com/politics/capitol-watch/hc-murphy-pours-cold-water-on-draft-murphy-movement-20161220-story.html
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Figueira
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« Reply #557 on: December 21, 2016, 10:48:08 AM »


I like Murphy a lot but I don't think he'd make a good candidate.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #558 on: December 21, 2016, 01:35:53 PM »


I think he'd make for a very good attack dog VP.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #559 on: December 21, 2016, 01:49:11 PM »

Hmmm...so if Murphy isn't actually interested in running for president, why did he campaign for Clinton in the New Hampshire primary, and then campaigned again in New Hampshire this fall for both Clinton and Hassan?  I guess it's just because New Hampshire's the nearest swing state for someone living in Connecticut?
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Figueira
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« Reply #560 on: December 21, 2016, 02:53:31 PM »

Hmmm...so if Murphy isn't actually interested in running for president, why did he campaign for Clinton in the New Hampshire primary, and then campaigned again in New Hampshire this fall for both Clinton and Hassan?  I guess it's just because New Hampshire's the nearest swing state for someone living in Connecticut?


Yeah, it could be that he was just doing it out of a desire to help Clinton and Hassan get elected (also note thst Ayotte was famous for strongly opposing gun control, Murphy's thing, unlike the other vulnerable Northeastern Republican Senator, Pat Toomey, who is relatively moderate on the issue).

Or maybe Murphy really is thinking of running.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #561 on: December 22, 2016, 12:09:19 PM »

So I think Wikipedia is being led astray again on what counts as a “denial”.  Here’s an excerpt from a Dec. 4th story that Wikipedia is using to claim that Gillibrand has already ruled out a 2020 presidential run:

http://observer.com/2016/12/kirsten-gillibrand-wants-more-federal-funds-to-protect-mosques-and-synagogues/

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The text of the story says “she said today she’s definitely not running”.  But the actual quote they give says nothing of the kind.  She says she’s running for reelection for Senate, but that hardly precludes her also running for president in 2020.  This is just the standard “non-denial” line that all the candidates give.  Yet the article takes that to be a real denial, and Wikipedia takes them seriously.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #562 on: December 22, 2016, 12:19:54 PM »

Here are Biden’s post-VP plans:

http://thehill.com/homenews/311297-biden-heading-to-university-of-pennsylvania-report

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #563 on: December 22, 2016, 03:04:02 PM »

A good chance that this is just be for his mayoral reelection race, but looks like de Blasio (like Cuomo!) is hiring an aide with presidential campaign level experience:

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/16/nyregion/mayor-shakes-up-media-operation-again.html

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #564 on: December 23, 2016, 12:08:55 PM »

Here is a recap of Kander's speech before Progress Iowa:

http://iowastartingline.com/2016/12/21/in-iowa-jason-kander-pitches-path-forward-for-democrats/
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #565 on: December 23, 2016, 01:48:40 PM »

Warren's former chief of staff is being named the DSCC executive director:

http://www.masslive.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/12/former_us_sen_elizabeth_warren.html

Will be interesting to see to what extent Warren herself gets involved in the 2018 midterms, beyond her own reelection race.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #566 on: December 23, 2016, 02:47:03 PM »

Tim Egan from NYT casts Montana's Steve Bullock as a good dark horse candidate against Trump.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/23/opinion/red-state-hope-for-democratic-blues.html?ribbon-ad-idx=3&src=trending&module=Ribbon&version=origin&region=Header&action=click&contentCollection=Trending&pgtype=article&_r=0
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #567 on: December 25, 2016, 09:25:27 AM »

Klobuchar says she’s running for reelection for her Senate seat in 2018, ruling out a run for governor that year:

http://www.startribune.com/klobuchar-will-run-again-for-senate-rules-herself-out-for-governor-s-race/408163356/

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If Klobuchar had run for governor, it probably would have meant no presidential run in 2020, since she would have had to start campaigning for president just a few months after taking on her new job as governor.  But since she’s just going to continue on with her existing job as Senator, a 2020 presidential run would seem to be very much on the table.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #568 on: December 25, 2016, 03:09:55 PM »

Yet another non-denial from Gillibrand:

http://www.timesunion.com/local/article/U-S-Sen-Gillibrand-will-push-agenda-despite-10817816.php

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #569 on: December 25, 2016, 03:15:48 PM »

This is from about a month ago, but it doesn’t look like it was posted here.  Gavin Newsom doesn’t sound enthusiastic about a presidential run:

http://www.recode.net/2016/11/15/13642138/gavin-newsom-california-governor-president-job

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #570 on: December 25, 2016, 03:26:19 PM »

More Cuomo talk:

http://townhall.com/tipsheet/jasonhopkins/2016/12/14/is-gov-andrew-cuomo-angling-for-a-2020-presidential-run-n2259793

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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #571 on: December 25, 2016, 09:16:30 PM »


Oh, Christ. At least he and Booker will split the Wall Street vote.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #572 on: December 26, 2016, 05:20:11 PM »

This is probably not about 2020, but I figured it was worth mentioning:

http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/311838-clinton-thanks-supporters-in-year-end-message

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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #573 on: December 26, 2016, 07:45:14 PM »

Maybe she could try to run for governor of NY - She'd have a decent shot at beating Cuomo, and would be safe in the general.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #574 on: December 28, 2016, 10:00:55 AM »
« Edited: December 28, 2016, 10:04:25 AM by Mr. Morden »

Klobuchar is touring former Soviet republics this week, on a trip with John McCain and Lindsey Graham:

http://www.businessinsider.com/ap-mccain-permanent-us-troops-in-estonia-rather-than-rotation-2016-12?r=UK&IR=T

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