The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread

[Since I'm the mad scientist proclaimed by myself]

I don't get why people are talking up Newsom. Is he going to announce his presidential run in his inaugural address for Governor?

...and even if he was elected Governor in, say, 2014, and had enough experience on the job to mount a national campaign, he's still DLC trash who would get ripped to shreds in the primary.

I often hear this, but what exactly is wrong with him? Honest question, I'm not defending him, just curious.

muh neoliberal DLCer. Not a true progressive^tm.

[Mr. Morden]

Biden’s post-VP plans:

http://www.startribune.com/apnewsbreak-biden-plans-university-of-delaware-partnership/409700435/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

In other news, Biden hearts early primary state South Carolina:

http://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/article124446934.html

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Figueira]

I don't get why people are talking up Newsom. Is he going to announce his presidential run in his inaugural address for Governor?

...and even if he was elected Governor in, say, 2014, and had enough experience on the job to mount a national campaign, he's still DLC trash who would get ripped to shreds in the primary.

I often hear this, but what exactly is wrong with him? Honest question, I'm not defending him, just curious.

muh neoliberal DLCer. Not a true progressive^tm.

I think there are some legitimate reasons to dislike Newsom, but I forget what they are.

[kyc0705]

And now Mark Zuckerberg....

http://www.newsweek.com/mark-zuckerberg-president-2020-facebook-white-house-538386?rx=us

You must be logged in to read this quote.

With $49.3 Billion and direct control of one of the largest social media platforms, he'd certainly have some advantages. Maybe he would run as an Independent, since he's apparently donated money to Booker, Schumer, and Pelosi, but also Boehner, Ryan, Rubio, and Hatch. He certainly has the money necessary to self-fund an Indy run.

I don't know if I would vote for Zuckerberg, but it would be interesting to see what his campaign would look like. He'd also get bonus points from me for being able to mount a prominent third-party campaign.

[Mr. Morden]

Dan Malloy has been reelected as chair of the DGA:

http://www.courant.com/politics/hc-malloy-dga-chair-again-20161205-story.html

I don’t know if Malloy actually has presidential ambitions, but DGA chair is a job that gives you an excuse to travel around the country raising money, and many past DGA and RGA chairs have gone on to run for president.

Malloy has made several trips to both Iowa and New Hampshire in the past year and a half. 

More Malloy talk here:

http://www.courant.com/politics/hc-malloy-third-term-20161213-story.html

Apparently, he actually might try running for a third term for governor.  Granted, his job approval is in the 20s, so this seems like a rather risky gambit.

Also talking national issues...

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[The Other Castro]

Malloy isn't going to run for anything anytime soon. If he runs for Governor again, which I really doubt he will, he would probably face a primary challenge. If he survived that, he'd probably hand the state to a Republican.

[arjavrawal]

My best guess is that Malloy loses to..maybe Ned Lamont? George Jepsen? Perhaps even Nancy Wyman. But if he somehow squeaks by a primary challenge, he loses to a Republican in 2018 for sure. Third time the charm for Foley?

[Mr. Morden]

Here’s a lengthy story on Tulsi Gabbard:

http://www.midweek.com/tulsi/

At the end of the story, it says that she and her husband (they were married in 2015) want to have children.  Presumably this may impact the chances of her running for national office in 2020.  Also:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

And now Mark Zuckerberg....

http://www.newsweek.com/mark-zuckerberg-president-2020-facebook-white-house-538386?rx=us

You must be logged in to read this quote.

25? I'd be ashamed to post something like this.

[Mr. Morden]

Here are some events over the next few months to watch for possible appearances by 2020 presidential candidates:

Jan. 21: Iowa’s Inaugural ball in DC: http://www.iowasociety.com
This has been attended by aspiring presidential candidates in the past.  However, since Trump is the guy being inaugurated, looks like this may only draw Republicans, as all of the featured guests are Iowa Republicans.  So probably no 2020 Dems this time.  But maybe Amash or Cruz will show up…

Feb. 22-25: CPAC: http://cpac.conservative.org
Presumably only for Republicans.  And again, Trump will presumably draw few if any high profile primary challenges when/if he runs for reelection, so maybe not so exciting this time.

Feb. 23-26: Winter DNC meeting in Atlanta: http://demrulz.org/news/dnc-elections-feb-2017-faqs
This is when the DNC will elect its new chair, and fill other positions.  It’s possible some high profile Dems, maybe including 2020ers, will show up to speak.

March 2017 (exact date TBD): Gridiron Club Dinner
Aspiring presidential candidates are often invited to this.  Last year, Nikki Haley, Joe Biden, and both Castro brothers were all there.

April 2017 (exact date TBD): Shaheen-McIntyre fundraising dinner in NH: http://www.nh1.com/news/2020-watch-nhdp-to-hold-shaheen-mcintyre-dinner-in-april/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Mr. Morden]

Btw, since I just posted a Tulsi Gabbard article a few posts ago, I might as well mention that I did find that Gabbard did make at least one Iowa visit within the last two years: She was there in July 2015 for the Polk County Democrat Women’s Event:

https://www.facebook.com/events/795882000509435/

[Mr. Morden]

Surprising no one, Warren announces that she's running for reelection in 2018:

http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2017/01/06/elizabeth-warren-announces-she-running-for-election-massachusetts/e7916Kf6ncAFajK7JD7SMO/story.html?event=event25

As the story notes, this doesn't really make her less likely to run for president in 2020, as sitting Senators run for president all the time.  It's easy enough to become an absentee Senator and spend all your time campaigning rather than legislating.

[RogueBeaver]

Kerry doesn't rule out a run.

[Mr. Morden]

Kerry doesn't rule out a run.

Hey, he'll "only" be 76 on election day 2020.  Younger than both Biden and Sanders! 

[Mr. Morden]

Sunday morning talk show watch: Booker will be on Face the Nation tomorrow:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_NEWS_SHOWS?SITE=AP

[The Other Castro]

At this point, it's pretty obvious Cory Booker is going to run for President in 2020.

[houseonaboat]

At this point, it's pretty obvious Cory Booker is going to run for President in 2020.

How so? Every Senator's trying to get on the Sunday morning circuit; by that standard, Chris Murphy will also be running

[Mr. Morden]

http://www.cnn.com/2017/01/08/politics/hillary-clinton-new-york-neera-tanden/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[The Other Castro]

At this point, it's pretty obvious Cory Booker is going to run for President in 2020.

How so? Every Senator's trying to get on the Sunday morning circuit; by that standard, Chris Murphy will also be running

Booker has made other moves indicating it as well, and has been openly coy about a run in a very candidate-like manner, while Murphy's people have been dismissive on an occasion.

[Mr. Morden]

I don’t think has been mentioned here yet, but this story mentions that when Castro leaves his post at HUD this month, and goes back to San Antonio, he’s going to work on writing his memoir:

http://iowapublicradio.org/post/huds-castro-worries-housing-rule-could-be-rolled-back#stream/0

So we have that to look forward to.  Digging into the internet memory hole, it looks like he signed a book deal way back in 2012:

http://articles.latimes.com/2012/nov/14/entertainment/la-et-jc-julian-castro-gets-a-book-deal-20121114

In April 2014, the NYT said that his book was scheduled to come out in 2015:

https://www.nytimes.com/2014/04/16/us/politics/texas-twins-campaign-but-they-arent-sure-for-what.html?_r=0

but that was just before he was picked by Obama to lead HUD.  So I guess the book never came out?  Because I can’t find it on Amazon.  I guess HUD derailed his book plans for a while, but maybe we’ll get it later this year.

[RogueBeaver]

Booker will testify against Sessions at Judiciary, apparently the first time a senator has testified against a fellow sitting senator for Cabinet.

[Progressive]

http://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/09/nyregion/new-york-governor-andrew-cuomo.html

Andrew Cuomo Raises His Profile, Stirring Talk of a 2020 Run


I think it's pretty clear Gov. Cuomo is running, too.

[Pandaguineapig]

Booker will testify against Sessions at Judiciary, apparently the first time a senator has testified against a fellow sitting senator for Cabinet.

https://mobile.twitter.com/RandyEBarnett/status/818680894177296384

Booker's virtue signalling not the far left is probably a sign that he is in

[Fusionmunster]

Booker will testify against Sessions at Judiciary, apparently the first time a senator has testified against a fellow sitting senator for Cabinet.

https://mobile.twitter.com/RandyEBarnett/status/818680894177296384

Booker's virtue signalling not the far left is probably a sign that he is in

I shouldn't have to explain the difference in power between senator from Alabama and Attorney General.

[Pandaguineapig]

Booker will testify against Sessions at Judiciary, apparently the first time a senator has testified against a fellow sitting senator for Cabinet.

https://mobile.twitter.com/RandyEBarnett/status/818680894177296384

Booker's virtue signalling not the far left is probably a sign that he is in

I shouldn't have to explain the difference in power between senator from Alabama and Attorney General.

Give me a break, liberals would be doing the same pant-sh*tting if he nominated a moderate