The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread

[UWS]

"Kasich to publish ‘Two Paths,’ a book offering a contrast to Trump’s America"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2017/01/31/kasich-to-publish-two-paths-a-book-offering-a-contrast-to-trumps-america/?utm_term=.3dd112d73bbc

There aren't enough Republicans that would support him. Trump has locked up GOP support completely and it would be foolish if he ran in 2020.

He will be 68 years old in 2020 so I think he will no longer have anything to lose.

[Mr. Morden]

Get ready for the Biden Foundation:

http://www.ctvnews.ca/world/joe-biden-launches-non-profit-foundation-to-promote-equal-rights-1.3266010

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In other news, Sanders will be debating Ted Cruz on CNN next Tuesday over Obamacare:

http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/bernie-sanders-ted-cruz-cnn-debate-obamacare

[Mr. Morden]

Sheryl Sandberg on the 2020 rumors:

http://www.politico.com/states/california/story/2017/01/buzz-about-facebooks-sheryl-sandberg-will-she-lean-in-on-white-house-bid-109218

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[Mr. Morden]

Kerry doesn't rule out a run.

While I highly doubt he would run again, bumping this just to note that he's now writing a book:

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/02/john-kerry-book-memoir-234515

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[Hindsight was 2020]

Kerry doesn't rule out a run.

While I highly doubt he would run again, bumping this just to note that he's now writing a book:

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/02/john-kerry-book-memoir-234515

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A lot of great hindsight is 2020 jokes but he will be 77 not happening

[Mr. Morden]

Politico reports that Nancy Pelosi and Joni Ernst will speak at the Gridiron Club dinner this year:

http://www.politico.com/tipsheets/playbook/2017/02/the-backstory-how-trump-got-to-yes-on-gorusch-playbook-exclusive-petraeus-warns-us-scaramucci-under-fire-biden-launches-foundation-bday-caas-michael-kives-218503

While this is an event that often draws folks with presidential ambition, I am not expecting either Pelosi or Ernst to be running in 2020.  Pelosi is even older than Bernie Sanders, and Ernst is highly unlikely to launch a primary challenge against Trump.  Though, as chronicled in this thread, Ernst was doing several national events last year that suggested she might have presidential ambitions.  So maybe she’ll be looking at running in 2024.

[The Other Castro]

If the Natural Born Citizen clause were amended, Arnold may be interested:

"Hey Donald I have a great idea. Why don’t we switch jobs? You take over TV, because you’re such an expert in ratings, and I take over your job," said Schwarzenegger in a video. "And then people can finally sleep comfortable again. Hmm?"

http://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/in-the-know/317519-arnold-schwarzenegger-responds-to-trump-why-dont-we-switch-jobs

[Blackacre]

Politico reports that Nancy Pelosi and Joni Ernst will speak at the Gridiron Club dinner this year:

http://www.politico.com/tipsheets/playbook/2017/02/the-backstory-how-trump-got-to-yes-on-gorusch-playbook-exclusive-petraeus-warns-us-scaramucci-under-fire-biden-launches-foundation-bday-caas-michael-kives-218503

While this is an event that often draws folks with presidential ambition, I am not expecting either Pelosi or Ernst to be running in 2020.  Pelosi is even older than Bernie Sanders, and Ernst is highly unlikely to launch a primary challenge against Trump.  Though, as chronicled in this thread, Ernst was doing several national events last year that suggested she might have presidential ambitions.  So maybe she’ll be looking at running in 2024.

What are you talking about? Ernst is running in 2020

For reelex

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

If the Natural Born Citizen clause were amended, Arnold may be interested:

"Hey Donald I have a great idea. Why don’t we switch jobs? You take over TV, because you’re such an expert in ratings, and I take over your job," said Schwarzenegger in a video. "And then people can finally sleep comfortable again. Hmm?"

http://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/in-the-know/317519-arnold-schwarzenegger-responds-to-trump-why-dont-we-switch-jobs

Trump may have an absolutely terrible approval rating in California, but it's not as bad as Arnold's when he was last in office at 20%.

[justfollowingtheelections]

Not saying he'll be the nominee, but I'm starting to think Jay Inslee runs.

He's been giving his opinion on national issues much more often since November. Feels like he's trying to become more of a figure in the party, specifically the left flank.

This Inslee?  A figure on the left?  Hahahahaha the guy is a punk and a sell-out
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=abSBqWLtR5I

[Mr. Morden]

New NYT story on Gillibrand:

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/03/nyregion/kirsten-gillibrand-anti-trump-left.html?_r=0

[publicunofficial]

Not saying he'll be the nominee, but I'm starting to think Jay Inslee runs.

He's been giving his opinion on national issues much more often since November. Feels like he's trying to become more of a figure in the party, specifically the left flank.

This Inslee?  A figure on the left?  Hahahahaha the guy is a punk and a sell-out
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=abSBqWLtR5I

Please warn me before you make me click on a Jimmy Dore vid.

[Phony Moderate]

Not saying he'll be the nominee, but I'm starting to think Jay Inslee runs.

He's been giving his opinion on national issues much more often since November. Feels like he's trying to become more of a figure in the party, specifically the left flank.

This Inslee?  A figure on the left?  Hahahahaha the guy is a punk and a sell-out
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=abSBqWLtR5I

Please warn me before you make me click on a Jimmy Dore vid.

I like Dore. He manages to give a sh**t while clearly not giving a sh**t, if you catch my drift.

[Mr. Morden]

Sunday morning talk show watch:

Amy Klobuchar’s moving up in the world.  On most weeks, she’s not prominent enough to merit a Sunday morning talk show invite, but she’ll be on ABC’s “This Week” on Sunday, while Bernie Sanders will be on CNN’s “State of the Union”:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_NEWS_SHOWS?SITE=AP

[henster]

Klobuchar has been disappointing on dealing with the cabinet nominee's so far. She sits on the Judiciary committee and had a chance to really grill Sessions but was largely cordial and uneventful. She has 4 years to turn it around but she seems like the go along to get along person which Ds don't want right now.

[justfollowingtheelections]

Sunday morning talk show watch:

Amy Klobuchar’s moving up in the world.  On most weeks, she’s not prominent enough to merit a Sunday morning talk show invite, but she’ll be on ABC’s “This Week” on Sunday, while Bernie Sanders will be on CNN’s “State of the Union”:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_NEWS_SHOWS?SITE=AP

She has always been very bipartisan and cordial.  She would be a great VP pick, especially if a Democrat wins the 2018 gubernatorial election in Minnesota.

[Mr. Morden]

Julian Castro, speaking in Chicago:

https://www.chicagomaroon.com/article/2017/2/3/former-hud-castro/

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[Mr. Morden]

"Kasich to publish ‘Two Paths,’ a book offering a contrast to Trump’s America"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2017/01/31/kasich-to-publish-two-paths-a-book-offering-a-contrast-to-trumps-america/?utm_term=.3dd112d73bbc

Also of note in Kasich-world: Kasich allegedly "punishing" Hamilton County GOP for siding with Trump in the state party GOP chair fight:

http://www.cincinnati.com/story/news/politics-extra/2017/02/03/kasich-punishing-local-gop-backing-trump/97446558/

[Mr. Morden]

Klobuchar's again asked if she has presidential or vice presidential ambitions, and again gives a non-denial:

http://www.virginiamn.com/opinion/columnists/a-comfortable-klobuchar-even-as-higher-office-calls/article_f6257058-eb51-11e6-b1a8-735503761fde.html

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EDIT: Also, here's the video of Klobuchar's appearance on "This Week":

https://twitter.com/amyklobuchar/status/828297772164067328

[Mr. Morden]

Going back to Julian Castro...also thought I'd mention that he's been very active on Twitter since leaving HUD.  Not really writing that much original content himself, but retweeting people and articles critical of Trump.

[Mr. Morden]

Hickenlooper is visiting Cuba:

http://in.reuters.com/article/cuba-usa-colorado-idINKBN15K0OY

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[Mr. Morden]

Booker makes another 2020 denial, but I still think the wording leaves some room for interpretation:

link

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So he says “I have no intention”, framing it as “irresponsible” for anyone to be thinking about the question right now….which of course doesn’t mean that he’s not going to get that intention some time within the next two and a half years.

Then he says “Right now I've ruled it out completely.  I don’t want to think about it.”  Which sounds like he’s again saying that “ruling it out” might be something temporary.  That he can revisit it when there is an appropriate time to “think about it”.

Compare that to the seemingly more definitive statement that came out of Franken’s office when they were asked about him running in 2020:

“Sen. Franken is not going to run for President in 2020.”

Now that’s a simple declarative statement that uses the future tense to make it clear what you mean.  Maybe it’s a smoke screen, or maybe Franken will change his mind, but it’s not like Booker’s denial, which uses enough weasel words to muddy the waters.

[The Other Castro]

Elizabeth Warren has hired a new national security adviser:

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https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2017/02/06/elizabeth-warren-hires-former-department-defense-official-national-security-aide/ZRbgXMuLz5rQG4JYI7drsL/story.html

[Mr. Morden]

Warren’s new book is coming out on April 18th (one week before Kasich’s book comes out):

http://www.wboc.com/story/34447453/sen-warren-book-on-middle-class-coming-in-april

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So I pose the same question I had for Kasich: Will her book tour include any stops in Iowa or New Hampshire? 

[The Other Castro]

In case someone tries to use her Carson vote against her, Elizabeth Warren can now say that she fought so hard against Sessions' nomination that they literally had to vote to make her stop talking.