The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread

[UWS]

On the other hand, it can depend on what happens in 2016. If Ted Cruz beats Donald Trump in a brokered convention, Trump could be so very angry that he could declare a third-party candidacy, thus splitting the conservative vote including in Arkansas. If happens like this we might witness the increase of a Democratic legislature in this state, which could put in danger the law you're talking about.

[UWS]

What if the Arkansas legislature goes to a Democratic majority in November because of Trump?

[UWS]

No it's not impossible at all. There are many examples in history :

-In 1952, General Dwight D. Eisenhower was never elected in office but easily won the presidency.

-In 1968, former vice-president Richard Nixon was out office but succesfully ran for President and won on November 1968.

-In 1980, former California governor Ronald Reagan was out of office but easily won the Republican nomination and beat President Jimmy Carter by a landslide.

-In 2012, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney was out of political office but became a successful presidential candidateby winning the Republican nomination.

So Rubio can be a successful presidential candidate in 2020 even without being in office. If there's really a recession under Hillary Clinton's term, the Republicans will know that to win the White House in order to grow the economy and get America back on track, they need to win more Hispanic votes and Marco Rubio is the best positionned to do so. In addition, if he plans to run for president again in 2020 while being a private citizen in the next 4 years, I think Rubio could work for a think tank to bring up some alternatives to Clinton's bad policies, then campaign and fundraise for Republican mid-term candidates in 2018 (like Romney did in 2010 before running for President in 2012) which is likely to lead to a Republican supermajority. Then Rubio will surely be viable enough to run for President in 2020.

[UWS]

I think he only said that to keep votes and not be portrayed as opportunistic.

[UWS]

Did you know that Ryan voted NO on passage of the Bush Administration national energy policy in the 2000s? I'm asking myself why?

http://www.ontheissues.org/House/Paul_Ryan.htm#Energy_+_Oil

[UWS]

Uncle Joe, make up your f**king mind or shut up. Thnx.

He's bitter. He thinks he would've won if he'd run.

I agree!

He would have played Barack Obama's popularity card, which means lower unemployement cut in half (from approximately 8 % in November 2008 to less than 5 % in November 2016) and a stronger economy, Osama Bin Laden killed, ISIS' territory reduced, etc.

[UWS]

"Kasich to publish ‘Two Paths,’ a book offering a contrast to Trump’s America"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2017/01/31/kasich-to-publish-two-paths-a-book-offering-a-contrast-to-trumps-america/?utm_term=.3dd112d73bbc

There aren't enough Republicans that would support him. Trump has locked up GOP support completely and it would be foolish if he ran in 2020.

He will be 68 years old in 2020 so I think he will no longer have anything to lose.

[UWS]

I'm fairly sure The Rock is a Republican

I want him to primary Trump.

Yes, the Rock is a Republican. Remember, he spoke at the 2000 Republican National Convention in Philadelphia.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vUepX_AAmuw

[UWS]

Rubio says "I'm not thinking about running":

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/rubio-knocks-down-speculation-about-2020-gop-presidential-primary/2332830

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2024 is safer than 2020.

Marco Rubio for President 2024!