The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread

[Hindsight was 2020]

I think Julian Castro would be the wise choice vs Trump. He is young, well spoken, and has a good record of job creation as mayor

[Hindsight was 2020]

[/quote]Doesn't need to be somebody famous or nationally prominent. A mayor or state legislator would do. Whoever is young and fresh and will get democrats as excited as Barack Obama did in 2008. After criticizing Obama for lack of experience, Republicans have now effectively ceded that issue for a generation, and none of the democratic names currently being floated inspire me at all.
[/quote]

*cough* Julian Castro *cough*

[Hindsight was 2020]

Agreed. Castro will not do. We need a great orator with an inspiring story who makes people believe anything is possible if we come together as a nation. That's not Castro. Dems need to start thinking outside of the box or we will be in minority for a long time.

A) Trump is the walking apocalypse let's not act like we need freakin FDR to beat him in 2020 if he is as bad as early signs point and B) Castro was a poor kid raised by a single mom who went on to be a successful job creating mayor in a red state during the recession and as HUD has helped fight housing discrimination against gay and trans people. I can see that selling to the base especially aganist Cheeto Mussolini

[Hindsight was 2020]

Agreed. Castro will not do. We need a great orator with an inspiring story who makes people believe anything is possible if we come together as a nation. That's not Castro. Dems need to start thinking outside of the box or we will be in minority for a long time.

A) Trump is the walking apocalypse let's not act like we need freakin FDR to beat him in 2020 if he is as bad as early signs point and B) Castro was a poor kid raised by a single mom who went on to be a successful job creating mayor in a red state during the recession and as HUD has helped fight housing discrimination against gay and trans people. I can see that selling to the base especially aganist Cheeto Mussolini

Don't forget we live in a post-truth era. Reality is not reality, perception is reality. And Democrats are so disadvantaged by the electoral map (more voters, but concentrated in too few states) that we really do need an FDR who can appeal to and inspire all Americas. Hillary couldn't win with 2 million more votes. I want someone who can win by at least 5 million votes.

Cory Booker, Elizabeth Warren, Julian Castro, Amy Klobuchar, etc. aren't going to do it. We need the second coming of Barack Obama.

I think your seriously over reading this election Trump barely beat a person who is under investigation by the FBI and has been at the center of 30 years worth of conspiracy theories

[Hindsight was 2020]

Agreed. Castro will not do. We need a great orator with an inspiring story who makes people believe anything is possible if we come together as a nation. That's not Castro. Dems need to start thinking outside of the box or we will be in minority for a long time.

A) Trump is the walking apocalypse let's not act like we need freakin FDR to beat him in 2020 if he is as bad as early signs point and B) Castro was a poor kid raised by a single mom who went on to be a successful job creating mayor in a red state during the recession and as HUD has helped fight housing discrimination against gay and trans people. I can see that selling to the base especially aganist Cheeto Mussolini

Don't forget we live in a post-truth era. Reality is not reality, perception is reality. And Democrats are so disadvantaged by the electoral map (more voters, but concentrated in too few states) that we really do need an FDR who can appeal to and inspire all Americas. Hillary couldn't win with 2 million more votes. I want someone who can win by at least 5 million votes.

Cory Booker, Elizabeth Warren, Julian Castro, Amy Klobuchar, etc. aren't going to do it. We need the second coming of Barack Obama.

I think your seriously over reading this election Trump barely beat a person who is under investigation by the FBI and has been at the center of 30 years worth of conspiracy theories

No, George W. Bush barely beat Al Gore. Donald Trump comfortably defeated Hillary and will have the advantage of incumbency in 4 years.

I guarantee incumbency will not be an advantage for him in 4 years the only ways he could win against someone like Castro in 2020 is either a)against all odds and science the economy is doing better than now or b) white "identity politics" really is what got him elected in which case we could have bigger problems as a nation than Trump

[Hindsight was 2020]

I like Al but he comes off as a better VP than top ticket

[Hindsight was 2020]

Latest on Julian Castro:

http://www.expressnews.com/news/news_columnists/gilbert_garcia/article/Castro-in-holding-pattern-while-rumors-swirl-10643379.php

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Im with the go big guys Castro I think could be the perfect counter to Trump. He is young, came from a poor background, and as the article pointed out has WAY more experience prior to office than the man he would run against

[Hindsight was 2020]

Franken says he will not run for president in 2020:

https://www.yahoo.com/tv/sen-al-franken-rejects-2020-presidential-run-exclusive-221600004.html

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He would make a good vp for someone like Castro or Booker

[Hindsight was 2020]

Now that Ben is taking over HUD it should be watched closely as any story of HUD doing worse or better than now will be the fueling decision for Julian Castro

[Hindsight was 2020]

Trump has already picked out two possible 2020 campaign slogans:

"Keep America Great" or "Keep America Great!"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/how-donald-trump-came-up-with-make-america-great-again/2017/01/17/fb6acf5e-dbf7-11e6-ad42-f3375f271c9c_story.html?postshare=831484737469175&tid=ss_tw&utm_term=.4e38abc925f8

OMG I called it XD

[Hindsight was 2020]

Julian Castro says he won’t run for anything in 2018:

http://www.kens5.com/news/politics/julian-castro-returns-to-san-antonio-says-hes-not-running-in-2018/392251043

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More here:

https://www.texastribune.org/2017/01/24/castro-brothers-confront-trump-era/

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Running for Governor would be a mistake since Abbott is literally the most popular politician in Texas. Senate would still be a great challenge for Castro but out of the two, Senate is more likely to be won by him.

What about becoming mayor of SA again?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Kerry doesn't rule out a run.

While I highly doubt he would run again, bumping this just to note that he's now writing a book:

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/02/john-kerry-book-memoir-234515

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A lot of great hindsight is 2020 jokes but he will be 77 not happening

[Hindsight was 2020]

A platform on gun control is last thing Ds need in winning back the Midwest. Truth is gun control was a never at the forefront in either of Obama's campaigns, and he was quiet on the issue after Aurora which happened in the middle of the '12 campaign. And Murphy's big issue is guns...

Right now we have no idea if Murphy did run what his platform would be 

[Hindsight was 2020]

Anyone else noticed that Corey Booker has totally dissapeared?

I like Cory but please stay that way the Bernie wing hates him so much he is an almost guarrented Trump reelection

[Hindsight was 2020]

Julian Castro says that a 2020 presidential run is on the table:

http://www.expressnews.com/news/news_columnists/brian_chasnoff/article/Castro-has-his-voice-back-10970274.php

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Not surprising

[Hindsight was 2020]

Big news on the Dem. tea leaves front: We have our first cattle call of the 2020 primary season, and it's a big one.  The Center for American Progress is putting on a Democratic version of CPAC, in the form of its "Ideas Conference".  It'll be held on May 16th, and it's attracting many of the likely 2020 Dems to attend:

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/03/democratic-party-realignment-cpac-235806

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The confirmed speakers so far:

Booker
Bullock
Garcetti
Gillibrand
Harris
Murphy
Warren

But more are expected to join the list.  In any case, all of those folks now get bumped up a couple of points on my "likelihood to run" meter.

You know this is the second DNC retreat that Bullock is going too. Seems like he might be building in-party ties for a presidential run

[Hindsight was 2020]

NY Post: "Cuomo takes key step toward launching presidential campaign"

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http://nypost.com/2017/03/11/cuomo-takes-key-step-toward-launching-presidential-campaign/

Cuomo is gonna crash an burn so badly in Iowa.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Hartford Courant story on Murphy’s newly raised profile, and how he’s using it to raise big $ (by the standards of a Senator in Connecticut):

http://www.courant.com/politics/hc-chris-murphy-trump-fundraising-20170315-story.html

That comment section is cancer

[Hindsight was 2020]

Bill Maher brought up a possible presidential run with Sheldon Whitehouse, who shut it down pretty quickly.

He also keeps pushing Gavin whom I like but even against Trump woukd look bad as only being governor for like a year before running

[Hindsight was 2020]

Castro is not the right person to counter Trump. Maybe he'd be good in a future election, but not 2020.

Says the guy whose name is "Castro2020". 

(Though yes, we've been over this before, re: your username.)

In any case, would be fun if someone did the statistics on potential candidates from past years who said something equivalent to "I won't take that off the table" when they're asked if they'll run for president in the next election.  It's got to be a very high %age of such people who actually end up running.  If you've pretty much already decided to run, then you say "maybe".  If you're not sure, then you deflect the question or give a denial. 

Hindsight is a cruel mistress.

I'm a guy

[Hindsight was 2020]

Not sure if this really falls under 2020 running but Steve Bullock did an interview for Dave Weigel  that will drop soon where he was critical of Jeff Session's an the war on drugs https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/852228479152267271

[Hindsight was 2020]

Apparently big dem donors are talking to Eric Garcetti https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/04/30/us/politics/democrats-2020.html?smprod=nytcore-iphone&smid=nytcore-iphone-share&_r=0&referer=https://t.co/aEAUaXtvHC

[Hindsight was 2020]

Bullock pens op ed. https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/05/05/opinion/steve-bullock-democrats-montana.html?

I seriously think he might eye the prez seat over the senate

[Hindsight was 2020]

Bullock pens op ed. https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/05/05/opinion/steve-bullock-democrats-montana.html?

I seriously think he might eye the prez seat over the senate

Bullock is the Governor, Tester is running for Senate.

People say Bullock in 2020 will run for the other Senate seat

[Hindsight was 2020]

In a Politico piece about Chris Murphy's Twitter skills, he's asked about 2020:

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http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/05/08/chris-murphy-global-politico-215110

It's funny but Murph is defiantly the dark horse we could be calling president in 2020