Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 17, 2019, 01:38:36 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  WI - Marquette University: Sanders up 4, Cruz up 10
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 Print
Author Topic: WI - Marquette University: Sanders up 4, Cruz up 10  (Read 7712 times)
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,794
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 30, 2016, 11:28:09 am »
« edited: March 30, 2016, 01:20:16 pm by Castro »

Democrats:
Sanders - 49
Clinton - 45

Republicans:
Cruz - 40
Trump - 30
Kasich - 21

https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2016/03/30/new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-cruz-sanders-ahead-in-wisconsin-presidential-primaries-bradley-leads-state-supreme-court-race/

https://t.co/eifW2aSx7L
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,667
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 30, 2016, 11:29:23 am »

Well, at least Sanders is up so he should be happy, but +4 isn't great at all for him here.

Trump on the other hand has no reason to be happy with this poll. Cruz might take all delegates with a 10% margin.
Logged
yankeesfan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,150
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 30, 2016, 11:29:26 am »

That link is getting slammed.  Huge poll for Cruz.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,427
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 30, 2016, 11:31:01 am »

49-45 is a five point difference? Time to refresh your math.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,812
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 30, 2016, 11:31:14 am »

YES!!!!! Cheesy
Logged
Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,175
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 30, 2016, 11:31:50 am »

YES!!!!! Cheesy
Logged
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,794
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 30, 2016, 11:31:59 am »

49-45 is a five point difference? Time to refresh your math.

I typed in the wrong number at first my bad.
Logged
Fargobison
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,493



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: March 30, 2016, 11:33:51 am »

YES!!!!! Cheesy
Logged
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,794
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: March 30, 2016, 11:36:31 am »

It seems the whole Cruz affair thing is either having no effect at all or actually backfiring on Trump.
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,461
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: March 30, 2016, 11:40:50 am »

Excellent poll for Cruz.  A big loss in Wisconsin would make Trump's path to a majority significantly harder (though not impossible by any means).
Logged
Seriously?
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,034
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: March 30, 2016, 11:46:11 am »

Democrats:
Sanders - 49
Clinton - 45

Republicans:
Cruz - 40
Trump - 30
Kasich - 21

https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/MLSP34Toplines.pdf

Link not working. Did they embargo it until 12:15 CST?
Logged
Fargobison
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,493



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: March 30, 2016, 11:47:28 am »

General Election numbers...

Hillary 47.1, Trump 36.6
Hillary 44.2, Cruz 44.2
Kasich 48.1, Hillary 39.2
Logged
Wiz in Wis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,509


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: March 30, 2016, 11:47:48 am »

Marquette is the gold standard in WI. If Bernie is only going to win by 4 (not at all out of line with the neighborhood). Then he will, at best, net 3-4 delegates. That's a crushing defeat in terms of math, but an okay image in terms of "momentum"

Cruz, on the other hand... this could be a big win for him. Would not guarantee that Trump loses first ballot hopes, but means that his path becomes very very narrow for that.
Logged
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,794
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: March 30, 2016, 11:48:19 am »

Democrats:
Sanders - 49
Clinton - 45

Republicans:
Cruz - 40
Trump - 30
Kasich - 21

https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/MLSP34Toplines.pdf

Link not working. Did they embargo it until 12:15 CST?

It seems they accidentally released it, but then took it down (should be back up in a few hours). People got the google cache of it though and I would post it here, but the link is too long and would mess up this site's formatting.
Logged
Vosem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,922
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.13, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: March 30, 2016, 11:49:25 am »

I'm going to have some cheese today to celebrate. Excellent, very high-energy poll!
Logged
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,794
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: March 30, 2016, 11:52:32 am »

Actually I found a compressed link so this should work:
https://t.co/eifW2aSx7L
Logged
Cruzcrew
Paleocon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 568
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: March 30, 2016, 11:53:43 am »

YES!!!!! Cheesy
Logged
Ronnie
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,846
United States
P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: March 30, 2016, 11:54:46 am »

Jesus, the convention is going to be a bloodbath.  Good result nonetheless.
Logged
A Perez
Full Member
***
Posts: 231
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: March 30, 2016, 12:03:30 pm »

How many delegates does Sanders win if he wins Wisconsin by 4%?
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,427
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: March 30, 2016, 12:08:15 pm »

This is an underwhelming performance for Sanders if true. Frankly I don't understand why the Clinton campaign doesn't contest the state more aggressively, a win in Wisconsin will completely discredit Sanders as a serious candidate, at least in the eyes of the media.
Logged
Wiz in Wis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,509


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: March 30, 2016, 12:12:50 pm »

How many delegates does Sanders win if he wins Wisconsin by 4%?

Hard to say, when Obama won in 08, he won by 18%, but only netted 10 delegates. A 4 point victory probably nets fewer than 4 delegates.
Logged
bilaps
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 617
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: March 30, 2016, 12:13:43 pm »

This is an underwhelming performance for Sanders if true. Frankly I don't understand why the Clinton campaign doesn't contest the state more aggressively, a win in Wisconsin will completely discredit Sanders as a serious candidate, at least in the eyes of the media.

Because Clinton campaign knows they are losing by bigger margin.
Logged
yankeesfan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,150
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: March 30, 2016, 12:17:50 pm »

A 10% margin for Cruz means that he could get close to all 42 of Wisconsin's delegates
Logged
swf541
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,144


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: March 30, 2016, 12:18:14 pm »

Wonder how concentrated Cruz's support is.
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,356


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: March 30, 2016, 12:20:04 pm »

This is an underwhelming performance for Sanders if true. Frankly I don't understand why the Clinton campaign doesn't contest the state more aggressively, a win in Wisconsin will completely discredit Sanders as a serious candidate, at least in the eyes of the media.

Well the harder that try the bigger deal it is if they lose.  Sanders it out spending them significantly and has 3 events in WI today alone. Clinton has no more events in WI before the primary. If it is close they can spin it as a win. 

I think they are looking more at NY and PA to be the knockout. Sanders has to win at least one to prove he is viable.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC