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Author Topic: WI-Marquette: Feingold +3  (Read 1603 times)
Joni Ernst 20∞
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« on: March 30, 2016, 11:55:52 am »

Russ Feingold (D): 47.3%
Ron Johnson (R, inc.): 44.3%

https://t.co/eifW2aSx7L
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Castro
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« Reply #1 on: March 30, 2016, 11:58:19 am »

Yikes.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: March 30, 2016, 12:02:05 pm »

If Johnson survives, all the other republicans probably do too, and Nevada should fall.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #3 on: March 30, 2016, 12:20:50 pm »

This was always gonna be close, just like Balwin race, and I expect Feingold to win 51/47 like Baldwin.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #4 on: March 30, 2016, 12:31:56 pm »

Could be function of likely voter screen on Primary voters. Big shift considering literally nothing important has happened since last Marquette poll released.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #5 on: March 30, 2016, 12:49:37 pm »

I have my suspicions about this Marquette poll.
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henster
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« Reply #6 on: March 30, 2016, 12:59:57 pm »

The 'Merrick' effect lol, sorry voters do not care about the SCOTUS vacancy.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #7 on: March 30, 2016, 01:03:08 pm »

These wild swings of Marquette are completely inexplicable.

The 'Merrick' effect lol, sorry voters do not care about the SCOTUS vacancy.

Why are Berniebots behaving like dicks in every thread?
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« Reply #8 on: March 30, 2016, 01:16:25 pm »

These wild swings of Marquette are completely inexplicable.

The 'Merrick' effect lol, sorry voters do not care about the SCOTUS vacancy.

Why are Berniebots behaving like dicks in every thread?

I support Bernia and I agree, also I am quite skeptical of this poll as well.  Everyone remembers how well the last "Gold Standard" poll turned out....
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: March 30, 2016, 01:27:48 pm »

Not a great result for Feingold, but... (decimals)
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« Reply #10 on: March 30, 2016, 01:30:57 pm »

I'm pretty sure this is just a function of this being primarily a primary poll and that Feingold is actually up by significantly more. Johnson will need a very big game-changer to win here.

Can we get Reid Ribble to challenge Johnson? He seems like a competent politician and a sane, honorable fellow. 
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #11 on: March 30, 2016, 01:34:23 pm »

New Poll: Wisconsin Senator by Marquette Law School on 2016-03-28

Summary: D: 47%, R: 44%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #12 on: March 30, 2016, 01:34:32 pm »

Can we get Reid Ribble to challenge Johnson? He seems like a competent politician and a sane, honorable fellow.  

If Johnson loses in a Republican primary, this seat is 98% gone for Republicans.  
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« Reply #13 on: March 30, 2016, 01:45:05 pm »

It's probably Republicans coming home for Johnson... 44% is the floor for a Republican in a statewide race in WI.
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Jim Webb 2016
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« Reply #14 on: March 30, 2016, 01:54:29 pm »

They used a primary likely voter screen for this poll. With the Right going crazy trying to stop Trump, doesn't surprise me that this tightened.
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« Reply #15 on: March 30, 2016, 01:56:42 pm »

Can we get Reid Ribble to challenge Johnson? He seems like a competent politician and a sane, honorable fellow.  

If Johnson loses in a Republican primary, this seat is 98% gone for Republicans.  

Why? This poll is skewed because of the primary voter screen (and even then, Johnson loses), but pretty much all other polls have shown that Johnson is weaker than Generic R. How is it more gone if we replace him than not?
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #16 on: March 30, 2016, 02:06:52 pm »

but pretty much all other polls have shown that Johnson is weaker than Generic R

[Citation needed]
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olowakandi
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« Reply #17 on: March 30, 2016, 03:21:09 pm »

It's probably Republicans coming home for Johnson... 44% is the floor for a Republican in a statewide race in WI.

No, Tammy Baldwin won 51/47, and Johnson still havent lead in a poll. Its a tossup
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #18 on: March 30, 2016, 04:07:34 pm »

Meh, I'll wait for the next one to confirm the tightening before I get worried. This happened before actually.

Marquette   9/24 - 9/28   803 RV   50   36   Feingold +14
Marquette   8/13 - 8/16   803 RV   47   42   Feingold +5
Marquette   4/7 - 4/10   803 RV   54   38   Feingold +16
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #19 on: March 30, 2016, 04:13:37 pm »

Among registered voters its 47-42 Feingold.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #20 on: March 30, 2016, 04:53:08 pm »

Garland helps Feingold due to Jewish roots. But, the race will be close. Franken as well, has also met with Garland.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #21 on: March 31, 2016, 07:32:04 am »

If Clinton sinks Feingold here, I will be pissed. Hopefully we won't have to worry about that with Trump as the nominee as he seems to be a bad fit for the state as well but who knows...
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morgieb
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« Reply #22 on: March 31, 2016, 07:54:56 am »

If Clinton sinks Feingold here, I will be pissed. Hopefully we won't have to worry about that with Trump as the nominee as he seems to be a bad fit for the state as well but who knows...
I don't see Republicans winning here either upballot or downballot unless it's a very bad night for the Dems overall. And Cruz and Trump I don't think are the people that can cause a bad night....
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God-Emperor Schultz
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« Reply #23 on: March 31, 2016, 10:56:06 am »

Garland helps Feingold due to Jewish roots. But, the race will be close. Franken as well, has also met with Garland.

I don't think that's how it works.
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Young Texan
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« Reply #24 on: March 31, 2016, 01:39:39 pm »

If Kasich and Clinton go to the general I could see this race getting even more competitive.
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