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  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  NY-Quinnipiac: D: Clinton 54% Sanders 42%; R: Trump 56% Cruz 20% Kasich 19%
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Author Topic: NY-Quinnipiac: D: Clinton 54% Sanders 42%; R: Trump 56% Cruz 20% Kasich 19%  (Read 2666 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: March 31, 2016, 05:01:51 am »

Quinnipiac poll of New York, conducted March 22-29:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2337

Dems

Clinton 54%
Sanders 42%

GOP

Trump 56%
Cruz 20%
Kasich 19%
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President Griffin
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1 on: March 31, 2016, 05:04:39 am »
« Edited: March 31, 2016, 05:07:22 am by President Griffin »

Clinton/Trump
53/33 (+20)

Clinton/Cruz
53/32 (+21)

Clinton/Kasich
46/41 (+5)



Sanders/Trump
56/32 (+24)

Sanders/Cruz 56/28
(+28)

Sanders/Kasich 47/37
(+10)
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: March 31, 2016, 05:08:01 am »

On the Dem. side:

whites:
Clinton 48%
Sanders 47%

blacks:
Clinton 66%
Sanders 31%

fav/unfav % among their own party:

Sanders 74/9% for +65%
Clinton 78/18% for +60%

Kasich 59/14% for +45%
Trump 68/27% for +41%
Cruz 49/40% for +9%
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #3 on: March 31, 2016, 05:17:17 am »

And it's QU...
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: March 31, 2016, 05:19:39 am »


LMAO!!!
Abraham Lincoln would struggle to break 40% in New York nowadays.
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jfern
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« Reply #5 on: March 31, 2016, 05:21:22 am »

A net favorability of -4 for Hillary in her home state, one of the most Democratic in the country.

Compare to that Bernie's net 70 approval in Vermont, the highest of any Senator.
https://morningconsult.com/2015/11/bernie-sanders-is-the-most-popular-senator-in-america/
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Volrath50
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« Reply #6 on: March 31, 2016, 05:25:24 am »


LMAO!!!
Abraham Lincoln would struggle to break 40% in New York nowadays.

In general, it's pretty clear Kasich's numbers are inflated just about everywhere. He entered the election pretty much unknown outside Ohio, and hasn't really had any serious focus on himself yet.
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jfern
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« Reply #7 on: March 31, 2016, 05:31:56 am »

While the primary doesn't have a breakdown by region, it's probably a safe bet that she's not doing so well upstate. She has a 34-61 favorable rating (net -27) there while Bernie has a 51-33 favorable rating (net 18) for an amazing 45 point difference in the net favorable ratings.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: March 31, 2016, 05:36:08 am »

Well, this is certainly starting to close up...

Btw, I got polled by Yougov for the CBS Battleground Tracker yesterday, so I imagine that they'll have a new poll out on Sunday.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: March 31, 2016, 05:46:34 am »

Well, this is certainly starting to close up...

Btw, I got polled by Yougov for the CBS Battleground Tracker yesterday, so I imagine that they'll have a new poll out on Sunday.

Did they ask anything of note other than just the presidential horserace question?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: March 31, 2016, 06:24:54 am »

Well, this is certainly starting to close up...

Btw, I got polled by Yougov for the CBS Battleground Tracker yesterday, so I imagine that they'll have a new poll out on Sunday.

Did they ask anything of note other than just the presidential horserace question?


There were a few other questions about who I found trustworthy, who I thought was prepared to be President, who I thought was likely to win the nomination, etc. Nothing too exciting.
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« Reply #11 on: March 31, 2016, 07:20:09 am »

Damn that junky Emmerson poll for getting my hopes up.  This is more realistic.
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Shadows
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« Reply #12 on: March 31, 2016, 07:21:36 am »

Well, this is certainly starting to close up...

Btw, I got polled by Yougov for the CBS Battleground Tracker yesterday, so I imagine that they'll have a new poll out on Sunday.

Did they ask anything of note other than just the presidential horserace question?


There were a few other questions about who I found trustworthy, who I thought was prepared to be President, who I thought was likely to win the nomination, etc. Nothing too exciting.

You said Hillary everytime Tongue
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: March 31, 2016, 07:54:44 am »
« Edited: March 31, 2016, 08:05:14 am by Gass3268 »

What a nice poll! Senator Sanders surges by 36 points in less than two weeks!
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #14 on: March 31, 2016, 08:14:32 am »

New Poll: New York President by Quinnipiac University on 2016-03-29

Summary:
Trump:
56%
Cruz:
20%
Kasich:
19%
Other:
1%
Undecided:
4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Dave Leip
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« Reply #15 on: March 31, 2016, 08:16:00 am »

New Poll: New York President by Quinnipiac University on 2016-03-29

Summary:
Clinton:
54%
Sanders:
42%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #16 on: March 31, 2016, 08:55:48 am »

What a nice poll! Senator Sanders surges by 36 points in less than two weeks!

Yes... if you comparing between polls from the same pollster, then that's useful information, but comparing QU to Emerson? That's just dumb.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #17 on: March 31, 2016, 09:00:21 am »

Quinnipiac has underestimated her before(I'm looking at you Ohio), would not be surprised if they're doing it again.
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Holmes
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« Reply #18 on: March 31, 2016, 09:20:37 am »

What is it about Quinnipiac's likely voter screen that tends to underestimate Clinton? And in her home state too.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #19 on: March 31, 2016, 09:22:59 am »

Looks about right.

I expect Sanders to end up between 40-47% in NY.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #20 on: March 31, 2016, 09:39:46 am »

What is it about Quinnipiac's likely voter screen that tends to underestimate Clinton? And in her home state too.

They are not just pro-Sanders, they are also wildly pro-TRUMP. They showed him tied with Kasich in Ohio just one day before losing by double digits.
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Mr. George Pistofferson
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« Reply #21 on: March 31, 2016, 09:40:50 am »

What is it about Quinnipiac's likely voter screen that tends to underestimate Clinton? And in her home state too.

They are not just pro-Sanders, they are also wildly pro-TRUMP. They showed him tied with Kasich in Ohio just one day before losing by double digits.

To be fair, Kasich margin barely meet a "double digits" requirement.
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Holmes
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« Reply #22 on: March 31, 2016, 09:41:40 am »

I mean, I'm getting South Carolina flashbacks with this poll. Seeing her "just" up 35% with blacks and tied among whites looks a lot like it did in South Carolina polling.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #23 on: March 31, 2016, 09:42:26 am »

What is it about Quinnipiac's likely voter screen that tends to underestimate Clinton? And in her home state too.

They are not just pro-Sanders, they are also wildly pro-TRUMP. They showed him tied with Kasich in Ohio just one day before losing by double digits.

I think they may have a problem compensating for closed primaries. Voter interest != Voter ability to vote.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #24 on: March 31, 2016, 09:50:51 am »

What is it about Quinnipiac's likely voter screen that tends to underestimate Clinton? And in her home state too.

They are not just pro-Sanders, they are also wildly pro-TRUMP. They showed him tied with Kasich in Ohio just one day before losing by double digits.

What's so unrealistic about Trump at 56% in his home state and in a state where Cruz pretty much bagged on the voters in it with his "New York values" comment. All things being equal, this should be Trump's best state this cycle.

As for the crook and the commie, I am a little shocked that there is a lot of Bern! felt. But then again, Bill Clinton is out of power and can't give away pardons to benefit Hillary! with certain voting blocks this time.
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