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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  Quinnipiac, New York State: all Democrats win
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac, New York State: all Democrats win  (Read 921 times)
pbrower2a
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« on: March 31, 2016, 06:39:47 am »

...as if anyone should be surprised.

Clinton and Trump win the state in the primary, likely finishing off Sanders, Cruz, and Kasich.   

Quote
New York remains solidly blue as either Clinton or Sanders top any Republican in the head-to-head general election matchups, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds, with some margins approaching 2-1. November matchups show:

    Clinton beating Trump 53 - 33 percent;
    Clinton over Cruz 53 - 32 percent;
    Clinton edging Kasich 46 - 41 percent;
    Sanders topping Trump 56 - 32 percent;
    Sanders beating Cruz 56 - 28 percent;
    Sanders besting Kasich 47 - 37 percent.

It's a weak win for Democrats in view of the nature of the state.  Few states are more D than New York -- after DC, it's Hawaii, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, California, Maryland, and New Mexico (96 electoral votes); New York is then roughly electoral votes from 97 to 125.

The Democratic nominee probably is not winning nationwide without getting about 60% of the vote in New York State.
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Young Texan
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« Reply #1 on: March 31, 2016, 08:07:26 am »

Wow Kasich is only down by 5 points against Clinton.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #2 on: March 31, 2016, 08:18:16 am »

New Poll: New York President by Quinnipiac University on 2016-03-29

Summary: D: 53%, R: 33%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: March 31, 2016, 08:29:46 am »

Clinton's lead of only 12% in the primary is pretty surprising.

Trump is up 36%. I don't see that getting competitive.
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(CT) The Free North
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« Reply #4 on: March 31, 2016, 11:31:37 am »

Wow Kasich is only down by 5 points against Clinton.

Yeah that is pretty damn astounding....I have no clue if that would actually hold up, but wow.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #5 on: March 31, 2016, 11:34:17 am »
« Edited: March 31, 2016, 12:38:03 pm by Comrade Funk »

Just goes to show how much people hate her personally that f'n Kasich is so close.
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standwrand
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« Reply #6 on: March 31, 2016, 11:41:21 am »

lol if NY is competitive w/ Kasich, this election would be so much fun
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7 on: March 31, 2016, 12:31:15 pm »

Just goes to show how much people hate personally that f'n Kasich is so close.

Kasich runs a quiet campaign, avoiding offensive and extreme statements that put moderates off against Cruz and Trump.
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NV less likely to flip than FL/WI
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« Reply #8 on: March 31, 2016, 12:32:53 pm »

Kasich is not coming within 5 in NY. This should demonstrate why we should take Kasich's double-digit leads in swing states with a grain of salt. Not that it really matters, though.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #9 on: March 31, 2016, 08:19:29 pm »

Kasich is not coming within 5 in NY. This should demonstrate why we should take Kasich's double-digit leads in swing states with a grain of salt. Not that it really matters, though.

Exactly. I'll be glad to eat my shoe if I'm wrong, but none of these Republican candidates would come even within 15 points of Clinton or Sanders in New York.

Observe:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ny/new_york_mccain_vs_obama-343.html#polls

There are numerous polls showing, in 2008, McCain within single digits of Obama in New York around this very same time. One poll even shows him winning +2.

What actually happened? Obama won the highest winning margin since LBJ's landslide - 62.88%, and 4 years later, actually did even better (63.35%) despite the poor recovery, which saw his winning margins dropping almost everywhere else.
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YaBoyNY
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« Reply #10 on: March 31, 2016, 10:14:17 pm »

lol what a junk poll

up there with competitive CA and KY from a few months back
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