CA SurveyUSA: Clinton +14, Trump +8

[Derpist]

I thought California would be a Sanders state.  

Why?

(If you're one of those internet pundits who's convinced that my state is one half Berkeley and one half Marin, feel free not to reply.)

I figured it would have the same demographic of washington and oregon?

Washington and especially Oregon are a lot whiter. California is the most diverse state in the nation, and the Democratic Party there is ridiculously diverse. Large blocs of white liberals (both Hollywood and progressive type), black voters, Latinos, Asians

On the other hand, Sanders has been winning Asian voters in a landslide and doing much better with black voters outside of the South. And his performance among Latino voters...well, it doesn't seem like anyone is that sure.

California's demographics are unique because it's not actually THAT black (only 6%). However, it is heavily heavily Latino (40%) and Asian (15%). In contrast, Nevada is only 27% Latino.

San Francisco isn't Seattle though. It's a corporatist yuppie hellhole filled with the banksters who would vote Hillary. If Sanders wins the Bay Area, it will probably be off a huge margin among Asian voters. I expect him to sweep the Bay Area but probably lose (overwhelmingly white and rich) Marin County.

I still view California as a genuine tossup.