PA-Quinnipiac: D: Clinton 50% Sanders 44%; R: Trump 39% Cruz 30% Kasich 24%

[Mr. Morden]

Quinnipiac poll of Pennsylvania:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=2341

Dems

Clinton 50%
Sanders 44%

GOP

Trump 39%
Cruz 30%
Kasich 24%

[Mr. Morden]

Who leads among…?

very liberal: Sanders +30
somewhat liberal: Clinton +8
moderate: Clinton +17
men: Sanders +13
women: Clinton +18
college degree: Clinton +15
no college degree: tie
age 18-44: Sanders +40
age 45-64: Clinton +15
age 65+: Clinton +38

Tea Party: Cruz +21 over Trump
white born again Evangelical: Cruz +20 over Trump
very conservative: Cruz +21 over Trump
somewhat conservative: Trump +21 over Cruz/Kasich
moderate: Trump +10 over Kasich
men: Trump +13 over Cruz
women: Trump +3 over Kasich
college degree: Kasich +1 over Cruz
no college degree: Trump +16 over Cruz

fav/unfav % among their own party:

Sanders 78/10% for +68%
Clinton 73/21% for +52%

Kasich 61/13% for +48%
Cruz 54/29% for +25%
Trump 54/36% for +18%

[yeah_93]

Is this the first poll that shows Sanders above 40%?

[Eraserhead]

Nice, I want to see it this close from someone other than Quinnipiac though.

[ExtremeConservative]

Could there potentially be enough strategic voting to put Cruz over the top?

[Elizabeth Warren 2020]

Could there potentially be enough strategic voting to put Cruz over the top?

National GOP leaders around the country are going to have to coalesce behind Cruz the way the Wisconsin GOP did, to make it clear to the voters.

[Lief 🐋]

LOL! Quinnipiac becomes junkier and junkier by the day.

[Xing]

Great, another state where pollsters aren't reaching a consensus...

[IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi]

women: Trump +3 over Kasich

Uh... Ok.

[Dave Leip]

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Quinnipiac University on 2016-04-04

Summary:

Trump:	39%
Cruz:	30%
Kasich:	24%
Other:	0%
Undecided:	7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Dave Leip]

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Quinnipiac University on 2016-04-04

Summary:

Clinton:	50%
Sanders:	44%
Other:	0%
Undecided:	6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Crosstabs actually look pretty reasonable. HERE COMES BERNIE!!

[Maxwell]

R.I.P. Kasich

[Tender Branson]

It's possible.

[Buh her emails!]

Junk poll. Quinnipiac is junk.

[Mehmentum]

Eh, wouldn't be surprised by this result.  It would be about in line with other Midwestern states.

[Comrade Funk]

Eh, wouldn't be surprised by this result.  It would be about in line with other Midwestern states.

Uh most of the PA population is definitely not ""Midwestern"

[Ebsy]

Ohio is Midwestern, Pennsylvania is definitely not.

[DemPGH]

Yeah, and western PA has much more in common with WV - basically, deep Appalachia - than Missouri or Kansas or prairie or frozen tundra.

I speak anecdotally, but Trump has support from all ages and walks of life from people I hear and talk to. And up I-79 it's just an extension of WV. Just out of curiosity I pulled up 1988 on our elections results page and interestingly see that the I-79 corridor voted with WV for Dukakis. Does not shock me.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Yeah, and western PA has much more in common with WV - basically, deep Appalachia - than Missouri or Kansas or prairie or frozen tundra.

I speak anecdotally, but Trump has support from all ages and walks of life from people I hear and talk to. And up I-79 it's just an extension of WV. Just out of curiosity I pulled up 1988 on our elections results page and interestingly see that the I-79 corridor voted with WV for Dukakis. Does not shock me.

I even have a yak screenshot of people over here having a mass lovefest over Trump and I was not one of them (though I did upvote). This is supposed to be his worst county (DelCo/MontCo). Admittedly Kasich should just edge him out here, but Trump has many wealthy supporters in the suburbs, which people cannot bring themselves to acknowledge.

As for his success with women, Ann Coulter tweeted that we needed to hold off on repealing the 19th amendment after there were no signs of a serious gender gap in Wisconsin, which I thought was a very fair proposal.