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  MD-WaPo/UoMD: D: Clinton 55% Sanders 40%; R: Trump 41% Kasich 31% Cruz 22%
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Author Topic: MD-WaPo/UoMD: D: Clinton 55% Sanders 40%; R: Trump 41% Kasich 31% Cruz 22%  (Read 2839 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: April 07, 2016, 06:53:31 am »

Washington Post / U. of Maryland poll of Maryland, conducted March 30 - April 3:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/poll-clinton-trump-lead-in-maryland/2016/04/07/f21637c4-fb3b-11e5-9140-e61d062438bb_story.html

http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/washington-post-university-of-maryland-poll-march-30-april-3-2016/2008/

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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #1 on: April 07, 2016, 08:05:23 am »

Clinton is going to win Maryland by much more than 15 points.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: April 07, 2016, 08:12:30 am »

I can live with a floor at 40%.

I know it's completely anecdotal and not representative of the actual state of the race, but here in MoCo I've only seen Sanders volunteers and signs. Only thing I've seen for Clinton is the occasional bumper sticker. If Sanders can do well here, he could keep the margin respectable.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #3 on: April 07, 2016, 08:17:15 am »

The lowest margin in a poll in Maryland so far!
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Torie
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« Reply #4 on: April 07, 2016, 08:18:30 am »

Kasich should bag a couple of CD's with those numbers.
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(CT) The Free North
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« Reply #5 on: April 07, 2016, 08:20:02 am »

As I stated before...MD is much for favorable terrain for Kasich than CT. A larger share of MD suburbanites relative to Connecticut...which is really just one county.

I could see Trump losing in MD quite easily if Cruz voters strategically switch to Kasich there.
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Skye
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« Reply #6 on: April 07, 2016, 08:28:02 am »

I imagine Kasiich is performing well in the counties in the DC metro.
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Dynamite Shovel
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« Reply #7 on: April 07, 2016, 09:18:38 am »

Kasich's problem is the gerrymander.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #8 on: April 07, 2016, 09:20:29 am »

These numbers look about right. On both sides.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: April 07, 2016, 10:15:19 am »

That's a pretty good result for Sanders. Maryland should be his worst state by far on 4/26.
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marty
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« Reply #10 on: April 07, 2016, 10:48:32 am »

trump would likely lose some important delegates if this margin is correct.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: April 07, 2016, 11:07:46 am »

trump would likely lose some important delegates if this margin is correct.

Which delegates are unimportant?  #alldelegatesmatter #delegatesarepeople
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #12 on: April 07, 2016, 11:32:33 am »

The lowest margin in a poll in Maryland so far!

This is what happens when everybody gets a participation trophy folks, smh
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Ebsy
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« Reply #13 on: April 07, 2016, 12:31:12 pm »

Polls have systematically under estimated Clinton's performance in the South.
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Shadows
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« Reply #14 on: April 07, 2016, 12:36:21 pm »

40% in MD - Wow? MD was gonna be a blood-bath it seemed.

If we end up with 45-55 for me that is a huge huge result. I hope we crack 40%
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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: April 07, 2016, 12:55:21 pm »

I'm surprised Clinton isn't up by more, and that Kasich is still quite far behind Trump.
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IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #16 on: April 07, 2016, 01:33:24 pm »

Trump is weak if he's only polling 40 percent in MD.
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love has no home here
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« Reply #17 on: April 07, 2016, 02:31:52 pm »

I could make the argument that Sanders now seems in a position to (possibly) win NY, PA, MD and CA. If he continues his upward rise he is easily within striking distance, although winning them won't bring him to 2026. If you subtract the margin of error, Clinton is below 50% and if you then add the undecideds, Sanders wins all four. What a victory that would be. If he pulls off wins in all states like WI he could win the nomination. This may seem a bit optimistic, but why not keep hope alive?

I am not predicting anything or even guessing anything. However, his chances do seem to be increasing however tiny. Nobody knows anything. Neither do I. I am feeling the Bern.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18 on: April 07, 2016, 02:46:21 pm »

Polls have systematically under estimated Clinton's performance in the South.

Good thing Maryland isn't in the South then.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #19 on: April 07, 2016, 02:56:25 pm »

Polls have systematically under estimated Clinton's performance in the South.

Good thing Maryland isn't in the South then.

That's not what you people were saying a while ago.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #20 on: April 07, 2016, 03:06:30 pm »
« Edited: April 07, 2016, 03:08:34 pm by Castro »

Polls have systematically under estimated Clinton's performance in the South.

Good thing Maryland isn't in the South then.

That's not what you people were saying a while ago.

I think the talk was about Virginia being a southern state, which you disagreed with so I'm assuming you don't consider Maryland southern either.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #21 on: April 07, 2016, 03:12:14 pm »

Wow. Wasn't expecting either of those.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #22 on: April 07, 2016, 03:14:35 pm »

Looks like Western Maryland is voting similar to other rural areas on the Democratic side. On the Republican side it just looks like the wealthy DC suburbs are bolstering Kasich's support; same thing happened in Virginia except with Rubio.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #23 on: April 07, 2016, 03:15:06 pm »

Polls have systematically under estimated Clinton's performance in the South.

Good thing Maryland isn't in the South then.

That's not what you people were saying a while ago.

I never said that. There are qualities of Maryland that are Southern, but the state is definitily Mid-Atlantic now
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marty
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« Reply #24 on: April 07, 2016, 06:00:17 pm »

what would the delegate allocation on R side look like with result like this?
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