Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
January 19, 2019, 09:38:46 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  MD-WaPo/UoMD: D: Clinton 55% Sanders 40%; R: Trump 41% Kasich 31% Cruz 22%
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: MD-WaPo/UoMD: D: Clinton 55% Sanders 40%; R: Trump 41% Kasich 31% Cruz 22%  (Read 2409 times)
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 38,218
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 07, 2016, 06:53:31 am »

Washington Post / U. of Maryland poll of Maryland, conducted March 30 - April 3:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/poll-clinton-trump-lead-in-maryland/2016/04/07/f21637c4-fb3b-11e5-9140-e61d062438bb_story.html

http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/washington-post-university-of-maryland-poll-march-30-april-3-2016/2008/




Logged

My magnum opus is now complete.  Read the complete "The Adventures of Hobo Orgy Guy & Blondie" (now in paperback).

What is your opinion of this thread?

Being a moderator is basically like one giant party.  Except you're the one ruining the party and everyone hates you.
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 07, 2016, 08:05:23 am »

Clinton is going to win Maryland by much more than 15 points.
Logged

fuck nazis
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,366
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 07, 2016, 08:12:30 am »

I can live with a floor at 40%.

I know it's completely anecdotal and not representative of the actual state of the race, but here in MoCo I've only seen Sanders volunteers and signs. Only thing I've seen for Clinton is the occasional bumper sticker. If Sanders can do well here, he could keep the margin respectable.
Logged

Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Gillibrand
3. Castro
4. Ojeda
5. Delaney
6. Gabbard
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,658
Canada


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 07, 2016, 08:17:15 am »

The lowest margin in a poll in Maryland so far!
Logged
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 38,168
Samoa


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 07, 2016, 08:18:30 am »

Kasich should bag a couple of CD's with those numbers.
Logged
(CT) The Free North
CTRattlesnake
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,085
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 07, 2016, 08:20:02 am »

As I stated before...MD is much for favorable terrain for Kasich than CT. A larger share of MD suburbanites relative to Connecticut...which is really just one county.

I could see Trump losing in MD quite easily if Cruz voters strategically switch to Kasich there.
Logged

#FeelTheBlorg

yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,713
Venezuela


Political Matrix
E: 3.29, S: -1.30

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 07, 2016, 08:28:02 am »

I imagine Kasiich is performing well in the counties in the DC metro.
Logged
Julian Assange is a Snowflake
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 84,674
Ukraine


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 07, 2016, 09:18:38 am »

Kasich's problem is the gerrymander.
Logged

Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,699
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 07, 2016, 09:20:29 am »

These numbers look about right. On both sides.
Logged

United Arab Emirates Immigrant, naturalized US citizen, resident of wonderful California, devoted liberal Democrat. Any questions?

Endorsements:
- President: Kamala Harris

Congratulations to Governor Gavin Newsom and all other Democrats.



THANK YOU GOVERNOR JERRY BROWN FOR YOUR OUTSTANDING SERVICE TO CALIFORNIA.
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,279
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 07, 2016, 10:15:19 am »

That's a pretty good result for Sanders. Maryland should be his worst state by far on 4/26.
Logged

Update lives again on Atlas After Dark. PM me for info.
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,803


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 07, 2016, 10:48:32 am »

trump would likely lose some important delegates if this margin is correct.
Logged
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 38,218
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 07, 2016, 11:07:46 am »

trump would likely lose some important delegates if this margin is correct.

Which delegates are unimportant?  #alldelegatesmatter #delegatesarepeople
Logged

My magnum opus is now complete.  Read the complete "The Adventures of Hobo Orgy Guy & Blondie" (now in paperback).

What is your opinion of this thread?

Being a moderator is basically like one giant party.  Except you're the one ruining the party and everyone hates you.
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,570
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 07, 2016, 11:32:33 am »

The lowest margin in a poll in Maryland so far!

This is what happens when everybody gets a participation trophy folks, smh
Logged

Fashion. Football. Furniture Shopping.
LIPINSKI * LYNCH * LAMB
Vote for Cuomo not the homo!

One True Passion: the timeline
The Hottest PG-13 Tale Allowed on the Atlas Forum

Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,702
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: April 07, 2016, 12:31:12 pm »

Polls have systematically under estimated Clinton's performance in the South.
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,298
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: April 07, 2016, 12:36:21 pm »

40% in MD - Wow? MD was gonna be a blood-bath it seemed.

If we end up with 45-55 for me that is a huge huge result. I hope we crack 40%
Logged



Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,925
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: April 07, 2016, 12:55:21 pm »

I'm surprised Clinton isn't up by more, and that Kasich is still quite far behind Trump.
Logged

My battleground map for 2020, based on only the highest quality #analysis from Atlas.

IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
Ben Kenobi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,777
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: April 07, 2016, 01:33:24 pm »

Trump is weak if he's only polling 40 percent in MD.
Logged

Economy is the method by which we prepare today to afford the improvements of tomorrow. - Coolidge.
Andromeda
tmcusa2
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,070
Uruguay


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: April 07, 2016, 02:31:52 pm »

I could make the argument that Sanders now seems in a position to (possibly) win NY, PA, MD and CA. If he continues his upward rise he is easily within striking distance, although winning them won't bring him to 2026. If you subtract the margin of error, Clinton is below 50% and if you then add the undecideds, Sanders wins all four. What a victory that would be. If he pulls off wins in all states like WI he could win the nomination. This may seem a bit optimistic, but why not keep hope alive?

I am not predicting anything or even guessing anything. However, his chances do seem to be increasing however tiny. Nobody knows anything. Neither do I. I am feeling the Bern.
Logged

Ignorance means that you don't know. Stupidity means that you don't care and is therefore, the root of all evil.

help with posting:
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=help;page=post#bbc
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,366
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: April 07, 2016, 02:46:21 pm »

Polls have systematically under estimated Clinton's performance in the South.

Good thing Maryland isn't in the South then.
Logged

Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Gillibrand
3. Castro
4. Ojeda
5. Delaney
6. Gabbard
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,910
Greece


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: April 07, 2016, 02:56:25 pm »

Polls have systematically under estimated Clinton's performance in the South.

Good thing Maryland isn't in the South then.

That's not what you people were saying a while ago.
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,771
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: April 07, 2016, 03:06:30 pm »

Polls have systematically under estimated Clinton's performance in the South.

Good thing Maryland isn't in the South then.

That's not what you people were saying a while ago.

I think the talk was about Virginia being a southern state, which you disagreed with so I'm assuming you don't consider Maryland southern either.
« Last Edit: April 07, 2016, 03:08:34 pm by Castro »Logged
/
darthebearnc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,454
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: April 07, 2016, 03:12:14 pm »

Wow. Wasn't expecting either of those.
Logged
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,135
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -1.24

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: April 07, 2016, 03:14:35 pm »

Looks like Western Maryland is voting similar to other rural areas on the Democratic side. On the Republican side it just looks like the wealthy DC suburbs are bolstering Kasich's support; same thing happened in Virginia except with Rubio.
Logged

Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,366
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: April 07, 2016, 03:15:06 pm »

Polls have systematically under estimated Clinton's performance in the South.

Good thing Maryland isn't in the South then.

That's not what you people were saying a while ago.

I never said that. There are qualities of Maryland that are Southern, but the state is definitily Mid-Atlantic now
Logged

Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Gillibrand
3. Castro
4. Ojeda
5. Delaney
6. Gabbard
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,803


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: April 07, 2016, 06:00:17 pm »

what would the delegate allocation on R side look like with result like this?
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines