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Author Topic: VA-Christopher Newport University: Clinton +9  (Read 1675 times)
Fargobison
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« on: April 07, 2016, 05:33:02 pm »

Clinton: 44
Trump: 35

http://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf/april%207%202016%20report-final.pdf

Quote
29% of Republican primary voters say they will vote for the other partyís candidate,
vote for a 3rd party candidate or not vote at all. Among Democratic primary voters,
that number is 9%.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1 on: April 07, 2016, 05:44:15 pm »

So much for #BernieorBust.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #2 on: April 07, 2016, 05:51:11 pm »

Way too many undecideds.
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Reginald
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« Reply #3 on: April 07, 2016, 05:58:03 pm »

Quote
29% of Republican primary voters say they will vote for the other party’s candidate,
vote for a 3rd party candidate or not vote at all. Among Democratic primary voters,
that number is 9%.

What's strange about that though is that 13% say they'd vote for the Democrat, but only 7% said so for the actual Clinton/Trump head-to-head question.

68% of Reps voting Trump is on the low side compared to other geographies, but 7% of them voting Clinton is also low. I note that "neither" is twice as high as "undecided"; it was probably a given poll option rather than having to be voluntarily expressed.
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Reginald
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« Reply #4 on: April 07, 2016, 06:01:12 pm »

Another interesting detail:

Quote
Q7. In a brokered convention, the party may bypass the candidate that received the most
votes in the primary elections and award the partyís nomination to a different candidate.
Do you favor or oppose the use of a brokered convention to prevent Donald Trump from
becoming the Republican Partyís nominee for this fallís presidential election?
(Asked of Republicans and Independents who lean Republican, N=523)
Favor
36
Oppose
57
No Opinion
6
DK/ref
1
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Oak Hills
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« Reply #5 on: April 07, 2016, 06:08:39 pm »

Another interesting detail:

Quote
Q7. In a brokered convention, the party may bypass the candidate that received the most
votes in the primary elections and award the partyís nomination to a different candidate.
Do you favor or oppose the use of a brokered convention to prevent Donald Trump from
becoming the Republican Partyís nominee for this fallís presidential election?
(Asked of Republicans and Independents who lean Republican, N=523)
Favor
36
Oppose
57
No Opinion
6
DK/ref
1

Biased question since they didn't point out they can't do that unless no one has a delegate majority.
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ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #6 on: April 07, 2016, 06:10:59 pm »

Any numbers for Clinton against either of the two most likely nominees (Ted Cruz and Paul Ryan)?
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Fargobison
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« Reply #7 on: April 07, 2016, 06:11:59 pm »

Any numbers for Clinton against either of the two most likely nominees (Ted Cruz and Paul Ryan)?

Unfortunately just Donald.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: April 07, 2016, 08:09:08 pm »

So much for #BernieorBust.

Not that I expect the whole #BernieorBust thing to have a big impact but VA wouldn't exactly make a great test case for it anyway.
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« Reply #9 on: April 08, 2016, 01:35:02 am »

Clinton at 44% despite the fact that VA Democrats are inelastic and only 67% of Republicans in the poll said that they would support Trump. Not a terrible poll for the GOP and it certainly doesn't "prove" that VA is solid D.
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bilaps
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« Reply #10 on: April 08, 2016, 06:29:47 am »

So much for #BernieorBust.

he lost that state in the primary with like 30 points
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Young Texan
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« Reply #11 on: April 08, 2016, 09:40:04 am »

I wish they polled Cruz.
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shua
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« Reply #12 on: April 08, 2016, 11:55:08 am »

Way too many undecideds.

It's April and there are 2 unpopular frontrunners. As of now, there's no reason to think it isn't accurate.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #13 on: April 08, 2016, 04:26:34 pm »

Va Lean D state as long as Trump is nominated
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EliteLX
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« Reply #14 on: April 09, 2016, 07:53:15 pm »

Clinton at 44% despite the fact that VA Democrats are inelastic and only 67% of Republicans in the poll said that they would support Trump. Not a terrible poll for the GOP and it certainly doesn't "prove" that VA is solid D.

Normally right along with you TN, but let's just be real here.

You can give Trump the edge with every single possible benefit of the doubt and there is still absoloutely zero way Donald J Trump is receiving more votes cast statewide over Hillary Clinton in a 2016 election in the state of Virginia. Absolutely zero way. None. If HRC plays ball she could literally approach 10% margins here if she really wanted. He will be utterly embarrassed here.
« Last Edit: April 09, 2016, 07:58:06 pm by EliteLX »Logged
olowakandi
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« Reply #15 on: April 09, 2016, 08:43:50 pm »

Dems are obviously looking towards Iowa & CO, but GOP is on the run in Va too. Rubio or Kasich would have nailed down.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #16 on: April 10, 2016, 08:27:44 am »

In other words, Virginia's urban and suburban voters can see through Donald Trump and find something despicable. The savvier that people are about politics, the more they despise Donald Trump.
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indietraveler
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« Reply #17 on: April 10, 2016, 02:39:43 pm »

I won't be surprised if VA isn't even a swing state this fall if it's Trump or Cruz. They will both get destroyed in No. VA. If Romney couldn't turn it 4 years ago it's difficult to see more polarizing figures flip it back this time.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #18 on: April 10, 2016, 07:54:03 pm »

I won't be surprised if VA isn't even a swing state this fall if it's Trump or Cruz. They will both get destroyed in No. VA. If Romney couldn't turn it 4 years ago it's difficult to see more polarizing figures flip it back this time.

Dems are focused on CO and Iowa first, Va has a lot of Vets but it is a battleground state.
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