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| | | | |-+  NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
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Author Topic: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33  (Read 1981 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« on: April 11, 2016, 04:02:57 pm »

Clinton 55%
Sanders 41%



Trump 54%
Kasich 21%
Cruz 18%
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marty
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« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2016, 04:05:15 pm »

Nothing unexpected in these numbers.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2016, 04:05:20 pm »

lel
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ElectionsGuy
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E: 7.87, S: -6.96

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« Reply #3 on: April 11, 2016, 04:06:14 pm »

New York continues to be a terrible state.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: April 11, 2016, 04:07:23 pm »

Trump could get 100% of the delegates here with that number.

Numbers about on par for the Democrats.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #5 on: April 11, 2016, 04:10:53 pm »

14 point win for Hillary nets her about 30 delegates, at least.
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marty
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« Reply #6 on: April 11, 2016, 04:21:40 pm »

Wisconsin is better than NY by every measure except tourism.
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Holmes
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« Reply #7 on: April 11, 2016, 04:27:13 pm »

Wisconsin is better than NY by every measure except tourism.

In other words, even if Wisconsin is better, no one cares and they would prefer to visit New York instead.
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: April 11, 2016, 04:28:03 pm »

Polls are finding a pretty clear consensus for this state.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: April 11, 2016, 04:30:50 pm »

Most number-crunchers agree that based on demographics Clinton should win by a 15 point margin.
Almost every pollster agrees with them.
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Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
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Castro
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« Reply #10 on: April 11, 2016, 04:32:41 pm »

Seems like Clinton has a good base of around 55% with room to grow. Trump looks to be around the same area, though with probably tighter constraints.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #11 on: April 11, 2016, 04:41:46 pm »

New York should be easy to poll - very closed primary with no Independents. I don't think we will have a Michigan like surprise here.
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« Reply #12 on: April 11, 2016, 04:50:08 pm »

Trump could get 100% of the delegates here with that number.

Numbers about on par for the Democrats.

I think 54% is probably a little thin to take every delegate in every CD with 50% being the WTA number in those districts, else a 2/1 split. I probably have it at 5-15 delegates being picked off at that level.
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« Reply #13 on: April 11, 2016, 04:57:26 pm »

Clinton 55%
Sanders 41%



Trump 54%
Kasich 21%
Cruz 18%


Is there a link to that? I only see the Hillary! +12 on their Twitter, with the old poll posted from about a week ago.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #14 on: April 11, 2016, 05:03:08 pm »

Clinton 55%
Sanders 41%



Trump 54%
Kasich 21%
Cruz 18%


Is there a link to that? I only see the Hillary! +12 on their Twitter, with the old poll posted from about a week ago.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/nbc-poll-trump-clinton-hold-sizable-leads-new-york-n554311



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Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Dave Leip
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« Reply #15 on: April 11, 2016, 07:58:22 pm »

New Poll: New York President by Marist College on 2016-04-10

Summary:
Trump:
54%
Kasich:
21%
Cruz:
18%
Other:
2%
Undecided:
5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Dave Leip
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« Reply #16 on: April 11, 2016, 08:00:38 pm »

New Poll: New York President by Marist College on 2016-04-10

Summary:
Clinton:
55%
Sanders:
41%
Other:
1%
Undecided:
3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #17 on: April 11, 2016, 11:28:03 pm »

Both races are significantly closer among the "potential electorates":

GOP:

Donald Trump 48%
John Kasich 23%
Ted Cruz 20%

DEM:

Hillary Clinton 51%
Bernie Sanders 44%


Also, if anyone cares:

Which candidate do you think is the real New Yorker:

Clinton 42%
Sanders 39%
Neither 11%
Unsure 8%
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #18 on: April 12, 2016, 01:13:04 am »

Both races are significantly closer among the "potential electorates":

GOP:

Donald Trump 48%
John Kasich 23%
Ted Cruz 20%

DEM:

Hillary Clinton 51%
Bernie Sanders 44%


Also, if anyone cares:

Which candidate do you think is the real New Yorker:

Clinton 42%
Sanders 39%
Neither 11%
Unsure 8%


Oh Hillary... you should be way more ahead.
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Desroko
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« Reply #19 on: April 12, 2016, 03:39:03 am »

Both races are significantly closer among the "potential electorates":

GOP:

Donald Trump 48%
John Kasich 23%
Ted Cruz 20%

DEM:

Hillary Clinton 51%
Bernie Sanders 44%


Also, if anyone cares:

Which candidate do you think is the real New Yorker:

Clinton 42%
Sanders 39%
Neither 11%
Unsure 8%


Oh Hillary... you should be way more ahead.

Move those goalposts any further and they'll be in the parking lot.
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