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NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
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Topic: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33 (Read 1958 times)
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
Posts: 18,199
NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
on:
April 11, 2016, 04:02:57 pm »
Clinton 55%
Sanders 41%
Trump 54%
Kasich 21%
Cruz 18%
Logged
Bob Findley
: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett
: "Just close friends and family,"
Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
Posts: 2,842
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #1 on:
April 11, 2016, 04:05:15 pm »
Nothing unexpected in these numbers.
Logged
/
darthebearnc
YaBB God
Posts: 7,454
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #2 on:
April 11, 2016, 04:05:20 pm »
lel
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ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
Posts: 16,136
Political Matrix
E: 7.87, S: -6.96
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #3 on:
April 11, 2016, 04:06:14 pm »
New York continues to be a terrible state.
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Gass3268
YaBB God
Posts: 18,548
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #4 on:
April 11, 2016, 04:07:23 pm »
Trump could get 100% of the delegates here with that number.
Numbers about on par for the Democrats.
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Wiz in Wis
YaBB God
Posts: 2,508
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #5 on:
April 11, 2016, 04:10:53 pm »
14 point win for Hillary nets her about 30 delegates, at least.
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marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
Posts: 2,842
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #6 on:
April 11, 2016, 04:21:40 pm »
Wisconsin is better than NY by every measure except tourism.
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Holmes
YaBB God
Posts: 11,619
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #7 on:
April 11, 2016, 04:27:13 pm »
Quote from: marty on April 11, 2016, 04:21:40 pm
Wisconsin is better than NY by every measure except tourism.
In other words, even if Wisconsin is better, no one cares and they would prefer to visit New York instead.
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Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
Posts: 15,148
Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #8 on:
April 11, 2016, 04:28:03 pm »
Polls are finding a pretty clear consensus for this state.
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Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
Posts: 18,199
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #9 on:
April 11, 2016, 04:30:50 pm »
Most number-crunchers agree that based on demographics Clinton should win by a 15 point margin.
Almost every pollster agrees with them.
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Bob Findley
: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett
: "Just close friends and family,"
Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
Posts: 10,773
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #10 on:
April 11, 2016, 04:32:41 pm »
Seems like Clinton has a good base of around 55% with room to grow. Trump looks to be around the same area, though with probably tighter constraints.
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psychprofessor
YaBB God
Posts: 1,078
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #11 on:
April 11, 2016, 04:41:46 pm »
New York should be easy to poll - very closed primary with no Independents. I don't think we will have a Michigan like surprise here.
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Seriously?
YaBB God
Posts: 3,036
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #12 on:
April 11, 2016, 04:50:08 pm »
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 11, 2016, 04:07:23 pm
Trump could get 100% of the delegates here with that number.
Numbers about on par for the Democrats.
I think 54% is probably a little thin to take every delegate in every CD with 50% being the WTA number in those districts, else a 2/1 split. I probably have it at 5-15 delegates being picked off at that level.
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Seriously?
YaBB God
Posts: 3,036
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #13 on:
April 11, 2016, 04:57:26 pm »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on April 11, 2016, 04:02:57 pm
Clinton 55%
Sanders 41%
Trump 54%
Kasich 21%
Cruz 18%
Is there a link to that? I only see the Hillary! +12 on their Twitter, with the old poll posted from about a week ago.
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Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
Posts: 18,199
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #14 on:
April 11, 2016, 05:03:08 pm »
Quote from: Seriously? on April 11, 2016, 04:57:26 pm
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on April 11, 2016, 04:02:57 pm
Clinton 55%
Sanders 41%
Trump 54%
Kasich 21%
Cruz 18%
Is there a link to that? I only see the Hillary! +12 on their Twitter, with the old poll posted from about a week ago.
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/nbc-poll-trump-clinton-hold-sizable-leads-new-york-n554311
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Bob Findley
: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett
: "Just close friends and family,"
Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
Posts: 3,280
NY PrimR: Marist College: Trump with Substantial Lead in New York
«
Reply #15 on:
April 11, 2016, 07:58:22 pm »
New Poll:
New York President by Marist College on 2016-04-10
Summary:
Trump:
54%
Kasich:
21%
Cruz:
18%
Other:
2%
Undecided:
5%
Poll Source URL:
Full Poll Details
Logged
Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
Posts: 3,280
NY PrimD: Marist College: Clinton with Lead in New York
«
Reply #16 on:
April 11, 2016, 08:00:38 pm »
New Poll:
New York President by Marist College on 2016-04-10
Summary:
Clinton:
55%
Sanders:
41%
Other:
1%
Undecided:
3%
Poll Source URL:
Full Poll Details
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
Posts: 42,278
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #17 on:
April 11, 2016, 11:28:03 pm »
Both races are significantly closer among the "potential electorates":
GOP:
Donald Trump 48%
John Kasich 23%
Ted Cruz 20%
DEM:
Hillary Clinton 51%
Bernie Sanders 44%
Also, if anyone cares:
Which candidate do you think is the real New Yorker:
Clinton 42%
Sanders 39%
Neither 11%
Unsure 8%
Logged
Update lives again on Atlas After Dark. PM me for info.
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
Posts: 3,671
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #18 on:
April 12, 2016, 01:13:04 am »
Quote from: Eraserhead on April 11, 2016, 11:28:03 pm
Both races are significantly closer among the "potential electorates":
GOP:
Donald Trump 48%
John Kasich 23%
Ted Cruz 20%
DEM:
Hillary Clinton 51%
Bernie Sanders 44%
Also, if anyone cares:
Which candidate do you think is the real New Yorker:
Clinton 42%
Sanders 39%
Neither 11%
Unsure 8%
Oh Hillary... you should be way more ahead.
Logged
Desroko
Sr. Member
Posts: 351
Re: NY- Marist: Clinton +14, TRUMP +33
«
Reply #19 on:
April 12, 2016, 03:39:03 am »
Quote from: ProgressiveCanadian on April 12, 2016, 01:13:04 am
Quote from: Eraserhead on April 11, 2016, 11:28:03 pm
Both races are significantly closer among the "potential electorates":
GOP:
Donald Trump 48%
John Kasich 23%
Ted Cruz 20%
DEM:
Hillary Clinton 51%
Bernie Sanders 44%
Also, if anyone cares:
Which candidate do you think is the real New Yorker:
Clinton 42%
Sanders 39%
Neither 11%
Unsure 8%
Oh Hillary... you should be way more ahead.
Move those goalposts any further and they'll be in the parking lot.
Logged
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