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  NY-PPP: Trump +26, Clinton +11
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Author Topic: NY-PPP: Trump +26, Clinton +11  (Read 1711 times)
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« on: April 12, 2016, 02:09:53 pm »

Trump 51
Kasich 25
Cruz 20

Clinton 51
Sanders 40

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/04/new-york-hates-ted-cruz-trump-clinton-lead-big.html
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« Reply #1 on: April 12, 2016, 02:17:11 pm »

NYC: Trump 52, Kasich 37, Cruz 9
Suburbs: Trump 64, Kasich 21, Cruz 11
Upstate: Trump 44, Cruz 27, Kasich 24

Another thing to Trump's advantage in NY- 80% of his voters are solidly committed, to 56% for Cruz, 48% for Kasich.

NY unfavorable terrain for #NeverTrump. Favorability ratings among state's GOP voters, per @ppppolls: Trump 65/29 Kasich 41/38 Cruz 35/50
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #2 on: April 12, 2016, 02:18:04 pm »

B-b-but jfern told me Clinton pays PPP to skew their polls in her favor.
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Joshua
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« Reply #3 on: April 12, 2016, 02:22:04 pm »

Sanders will have to claw and bite his way for every vote past 40%.
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« Reply #4 on: April 12, 2016, 02:28:46 pm »

Sanders will have to claw and bite his way for every vote past 40%.

What makes you say that? He's been within 20 in every recent poll, an 11-point loss would imply that he'd get about 44% of the vote.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: April 12, 2016, 02:29:18 pm »

OK, I think we got the picture when it comes to New York.
How about some Pennsylvania, Connecticut and RI polls now?
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« Reply #6 on: April 12, 2016, 02:32:04 pm »

OK, I think we got the picture when it comes to New York.
How about some Pennsylvania, Connecticut and RI polls now?

Or better yet, an Indiana poll? I know that those practically don't exist, but I'm actually expecting Indiana to be competitive, possibly on both sides.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #7 on: April 12, 2016, 03:02:43 pm »

OK, I think we got the picture when it comes to New York.
How about some Pennsylvania, Connecticut and RI polls now?

Or better yet, an Indiana poll? I know that those practically don't exist, but I'm actually expecting Indiana to be competitive, possibly on both sides.
Too early for Indiana.

RI will be lightly polled. PA will probably be getting a lot of love in the next few weeks. Probably get a few polls out of MD and close to nothing out of DE.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #8 on: April 12, 2016, 03:50:46 pm »

New Poll: New York President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-04-10

Summary:
Clinton:
51%
Sanders:
40%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Joshua
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« Reply #9 on: April 12, 2016, 04:42:47 pm »

Sanders will have to claw and bite his way for every vote past 40%.

What makes you say that? He's been within 20 in every recent poll, an 11-point loss would imply that he'd get about 44% of the vote.

If in politics, dumping tens of millions of dollars, unleashing an army of free campaign labor, campaigning personally constantly for two weeks, forcing the scheduling of a debate, and getting thousands of people out to rallies just to get from 40% to 44% of the vote isn't clawing and biting for every vote, I don't know what is.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #10 on: April 12, 2016, 04:47:48 pm »

Percentage among African Americans: 61% Clinton to 32% Sanders. It looks like he is closing the gap.
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YPestis25
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« Reply #11 on: April 12, 2016, 04:56:03 pm »

Percentage among African Americans: 61% Clinton to 32% Sanders. It looks like he is closing the gap.

Strangely the gap is larger with Hispanics, where Hilldawg leads 66-28. I'm not sure if I put much trust in the cross tabs of this poll, even though the top line looks about right.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #12 on: April 12, 2016, 05:34:24 pm »

OK, I think we got the picture when it comes to New York.
How about some Pennsylvania, Connecticut and RI polls now?

Or better yet, an Indiana poll? I know that those practically don't exist, but I'm actually expecting Indiana to be competitive, possibly on both sides.

Indiana has strict rules against polling, so we might only get one or two total.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #13 on: April 12, 2016, 05:35:08 pm »

Percentage among African Americans: 61% Clinton to 32% Sanders. It looks like he is closing the gap.

Strangely the gap is larger with Hispanics, where Hilldawg leads 66-28. I'm not sure if I put much trust in the cross tabs of this poll, even though the top line looks about right.

PPP also had Bernie winning the black vote in Wisconsin. lol
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #14 on: April 13, 2016, 06:16:49 am »

OK, I think we got the picture when it comes to New York.
How about some Pennsylvania, Connecticut and RI polls now?

Or better yet, an Indiana poll? I know that those practically don't exist, but I'm actually expecting Indiana to be competitive, possibly on both sides.

Indiana has strict rules against polling, so we might only get one or two total.

It's just robopolls (like PPP) they restrict though, right?  Nothing to stop any of the live interview pollsters from polling it.
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