Marist/NBC4 MD Poll: Clinton +22 Trump +12 (user search)
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  Marist/NBC4 MD Poll: Clinton +22 Trump +12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Marist/NBC4 MD Poll: Clinton +22 Trump +12  (Read 5982 times)
Holmes
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Posts: 13,754
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« on: April 13, 2016, 10:35:15 AM »

I can see Sanders getting 36% here. On election night. If he's lucky. NoVA already showed us how PG and Montgomery counties will vote, and we know that Clinton will get at least 75% of the black vote like in every other southern state.

And even if the margin is magically 20%, that's still a poor showing with so few states left to vote afterwards.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,754
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #1 on: April 13, 2016, 10:47:17 AM »

I can see Sanders getting 36% here. On election night. If he's lucky. NoVA already showed us how PG and Montgomery counties will vote, and we know that Clinton will get at least 75% of the black vote like in every other southern state.

Maryland is not a southern state. Period.

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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,754
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #2 on: April 13, 2016, 11:26:49 AM »

Well I said she'll get at least 75% of the black vote in Maryland, I didn't say 90% like in Alabama. Almost all polls have the African-American vote similar to 65-30, but then on election night she consistently gets over 70%.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,754
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #3 on: April 13, 2016, 11:32:49 AM »

Well as you can see, Delaware is already in the US Census designated Southern region, so no need to throw it in there.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,754
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #4 on: April 13, 2016, 01:11:10 PM »

Maryland is also south of the Mason-Dixon line.

This.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,754
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #5 on: April 13, 2016, 01:36:58 PM »

So something happened after 150 years that turned Maryland from a Southern state into a non-Southern one...
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,754
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #6 on: April 13, 2016, 02:16:09 PM »

So something happened after 150 years that turned Maryland from a Southern state into a non-Southern one...

Yep. 150 years ago Maryland was basically the confederacy culturally and even voted for Breckinridge, although it didn't secede. Today, no one would visit Maryland and then visit the deep south and then say "well, these places have a lot in common".

If Georgia began to suddenly vote similarly to Maryland, would it cease being Southern?
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