CBS/YouGov: Hillary ahead in NY/CA

[Tender Branson]

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-hillary-clinton-keeps-new-york-edge-leads-bernie-sanders-in-california-election-2016

[Tender Branson]

CBS/YouGov are stubbornly ignoring PA again on the DEM side ...

[Landslide Lyndon]

Literally zero change from their previous New York poll.

[Lief 🗽]

Just FYI, I took their NY poll, I was asked which party I IDENTIFY with, not which party I was REGISTERED with. Throw this in the trash.

[Tender Branson]

Just FYI, I took their NY poll, I was asked which party I IDENTIFY with, not which party I was REGISTERED with. Throw this in the trash.

Oh, poor Lief ...

Did you stop the survey after Question 30 (Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?)

because Question 31 was

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Mehmentum]

Interesting how California gives Clinton a better result than her home state does.

Anyway, NY polling is pretty consistent.  Clinton doesn't do worse than a 10 point lead, or better than a 17 point lead. I would expect something in the middle, perhaps 14 points.

[Lief 🗽]

Just FYI, I took their NY poll, I was asked which party I IDENTIFY with, not which party I was REGISTERED with. Throw this in the trash.

Oh, poor Lief ...

Did you stop the survey after Question 30 (Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?)

because Question 31 was

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Er, no, I got to the end of the survey and I was never asked what party I was registered in.

And the "question 30" was like the fifth question I answered.

[Tender Branson]

Just FYI, I took their NY poll, I was asked which party I IDENTIFY with, not which party I was REGISTERED with. Throw this in the trash.

Oh, poor Lief ...

Did you stop the survey after Question 30 (Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?)

because Question 31 was

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Er, no, I got to the end of the survey and I was never asked what party I was registered in.

And the "question 31" was like the fifth question I answered.

Your post makes no sense: If you answered "question 31" (obviously randomized) about party registration - why do you then say "I was never asked what party I was registered in" ?

[madelka]

Sanders will lose here. There is no way he can win in CA if he's losing Whites by 5 and Hispanics by 23 points (57-34).

[Mr. Morden]

New York by race:

whites:
Clinton 49%
Sanders 47%

blacks:
Clinton 60%
Sanders 32%

Hispanics:
Clinton 64%
Sanders 34%

California by race:

whites:
Clinton 49%
Sanders 44%

blacks:
Clinton 65%
Sanders 25%

Hispanics:
Clinton 57%
Sanders 34%

[psychprofessor]

I think she wins by a larger margin in NY than CA.

[IceSpear]

I think she wins by a larger margin in NY than CA.

She will.

[dspNY]

Why is YouGov holding out on Pennsylvania Dems? They've put out 2 Republican PA polls but no Dem polls

[Ebsy]

Clinton is up 57-38 with registered Democrats in New York.

[IceSpear]

Clinton is up 57-38 with registered Democrats in New York.

They seriously polled independents again? lolyougov

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hilary is surging as more Sanders and TRUMP attacks more. As immigrants key to the election and Castro will be key to election outcome in a state like NY & NJ

[IceSpear]

So their margin among registered Democrats was very close to the actual result.

inb4 they include independents in their PA poll