PA-Muhlenberg/Morning Call: Trump 41% Kasich 26% Cruz 23%

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Ugh, there's no clear Anti-Trump.

He'd pretty clearly win a 2-way with either, especially with Cruz.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Ugh, there's no clear Anti-Trump.

He'd pretty clearly win a 2-way with either, especially with Cruz.

Not sure about pretty clearly; I think portions of Pennsylvania are Midwestern enough in their culture, as opposed to Northeastern, that Kasich and Cruz voters should prefer each other to _trump. I don't think _trump could win a 1-on-1 here. With either.

Yep, what Gass said, and I'd also add that outside of the literal city limits of Pittsburgh, the only places he struggles are the northeastern suburbs. He's still likely to come out in front in a 3-way there.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Ugh, there's no clear Anti-Trump.

He'd pretty clearly win a 2-way with either, especially with Cruz.

Not sure about pretty clearly; I think portions of Pennsylvania are Midwestern enough in their culture, as opposed to Northeastern, that Kasich and Cruz voters should prefer each other to _trump. I don't think _trump could win a 1-on-1 here. With either.

Yep, what Gass said plus I'd add that the only other place he struggles outside the city limits of Pittsburgh are the northeastern leaning parts of the state, which he has a decent shot at in a 3 way (and as I said, Cruz doesn't have a prayer here, it's Kasich that is stronger than he is as you go north).