How will each area of California vote?
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Author Topic: How will each area of California vote?  (Read 828 times)
tallguy23
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« on: April 18, 2016, 03:10:30 PM »
I was going to do each Congressional District but I don't have time right now. Here's my predictions:

Northern California (above SF): Clinton and Trump
Bay Area: Sanders and Cruz
Central California: Clinton and Trump
Central Coast: Clinton and Cruz
Los Angeles County: Clinton and Trump
Inland Empire: Clinton and Trump
Southern California (OC/SD): Clinton and Trump
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Holmes
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« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2016, 03:25:14 PM »
Northern California (above SF): Sanders and Trump
Bay Area: 50/50 (lean Sanders) and Trump
Central California: Clinton and Trump
Central Coast: Clinton and Trump
Los Angeles County: Clinton and Trump
Inland Empire: Clinton and Trump
Southern California (OC/SD): Clinton and Trump (SD), Cruz (OC)
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dax00
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« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2016, 04:07:43 PM »
NoCal: Sanders and Trump
Bay Area: Sanders and Kasich
Central: Clinton and Trump
Central Coast: Sanders and Trump
Los Angeles County: Sanders and Trump
Inland Empire: Clinton and Trump
SoCal: Clinton and Cruz
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #3 on: April 18, 2016, 04:24:00 PM »
NorCal: Sanders and trump
Bay Area: Toss-up (Tilt Clinton because of minorities) and Kasich (East Bay)/trump (The rest)
SJ Valley: Clinton and Cruz
Central Coast: Sanders and trump
LA County: Clinton and trump
SoCal: Clinton and Cruz
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nicholas.slaydon
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« Reply #4 on: April 18, 2016, 07:25:53 PM »
Northern California: Sanders
Bay Area: Sanders
Central Coast: Sanders
LA County: Clinton? (Bernie seems to be winning the yard sign and bumper sticker primary down here.)
Southern California: Clinton
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #5 on: April 18, 2016, 07:44:14 PM »
Quote from: dax00 on April 18, 2016, 04:07:43 PM
NoCal: Sanders and Trump
Bay Area: Sanders and Kasich
Central: Clinton and Trump
Central Coast: Sanders and Trump
Los Angeles County: Sanders and Trump
Inland Empire: Clinton and Trump
SoCal: Clinton and Cruz

This is meant to be a prediction, not a hope-diction.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #6 on: April 18, 2016, 08:17:58 PM »
« Edited: April 18, 2016, 08:21:24 PM by Ronnie »
I think Trump will win practically everywhere except the Central Valley, where Cruz will clean his clock.  Trump also isn't a great fit for LA County Republicans, so I expect Cruz to pull off a narrow win here.

I'm planning on voting for Cruz at UCLA, so I'll hopefully help keep Trump's hands off the delegates in CA-33.
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Vosem
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« Reply #7 on: April 18, 2016, 08:46:54 PM »
Cruz wins the Central Valley, NorCal generally (attracting Donnelly supporters in rural NorCal and in the Bay Area), LA County, where there're lots of Hispanic Republicans, and cleans up among wealthy right-wing Orange County suburbanites. The Central Coast and Inland Empire both vote for trump, as does the San Diego area generally. Kasich collapses. Cruz narrowly edges trump in the popular vote (or possibly vice-versa, actually), but Cruz wins the delegate count fairly decisively.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #8 on: April 18, 2016, 08:54:31 PM »
Kind of interesting, a CA map using facebook data from Patrick Ruffini. Not sure how meaningful it is but cool to look at....

CA:Cruz(red) vs Trump(Orange)


https://twitter.com/PatrickRuffini/status/722238040035475456
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: April 18, 2016, 09:12:54 PM »
Northern California: Sanders and Trump
Bay Area: Sanders and Kasich/Trump
Central California: Clinton and Trump
Central Coast: Sanders and Cruz
Los Angeles County: Clinton and Trump
Inland Empire: Clinton and Trump
Southern California: Clinton and Cruz
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Spark
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« Reply #10 on: April 18, 2016, 09:16:23 PM »
Northern California: Sanders and Cruz
Bay Area: Sanders and Kasich
Central California: Clinton and TRUMP
Central Coast: Sanders and Cruz
LA County: Sanders and TRUMP
Inland Empire: Clinton and TRUMP
Southern California: Clinton and Cruz
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #11 on: April 18, 2016, 09:30:58 PM »
Quote from: Fargobison on April 18, 2016, 08:54:31 PM
Kind of interesting, a CA map using facebook data from Patrick Ruffini. Not sure how meaningful it is but cool to look at....

CA:Cruz(red) vs Trump(Orange)


https://twitter.com/PatrickRuffini/status/722238040035475456

That looks right for everywhere north of the NoCal-SoCal horizontal line and very wrong south of it.

Bernie in parts of the northern interior and along the northern coast and parts of the central coast, Hillary everywhere else; Cruz here and there throughout the Central Valley and Sierras and in OC/SD, Trump everywhere else.
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Bakersfield Uber Alles
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #12 on: April 19, 2016, 02:01:22 AM »
Republicans: Cruz in Blue, Trump in Green, Kasich in Red

I'm assuming that Cruz will win with a margin of 5-10%



Democrats: Bernie in Green, Hillary in Red

Hillary will win by 4-7%
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SillyAmerican
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« Reply #13 on: April 19, 2016, 08:20:39 AM »
Quote from: Holmes on April 18, 2016, 03:25:14 PM
Northern California (above SF): Sanders and Trump
Bay Area: 50/50 (lean Sanders) and Trump
Central California: Clinton and Trump
Central Coast: Clinton and Trump
Los Angeles County: Clinton and Trump
Inland Empire: Clinton and Trump
Southern California (OC/SD): Clinton and Trump (SD), Cruz (OC)

This sounds right. And as the vote draws near, I wouldn't be surprised to see Sanders' support strengthening here in the bay area.
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