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| | | | |-+  MD: PPP: Trump 43, Kasich 29, Cruz 24; Clinton +25
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Author Topic: MD: PPP: Trump 43, Kasich 29, Cruz 24; Clinton +25  (Read 2144 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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« on: April 19, 2016, 02:38:52 pm »

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_MD_41916.pdf

Trump 43
Kasich 29
Cruz 24

Clinton 58
Sanders 33
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RI
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« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2016, 02:44:18 pm »

By region
Baltimore suburbs: Trump 40, Kasich 27, Cruz 25
DC suburbs: Kasich 46, Cruz 27, Trump 24
Eastern shore: Trump 52, Cruz 29, Kasich 19
South: Trump 56, Cruz 29, Kasich 14
West: Trump 60, Kasich 24, Cruz 14

Baltimore City: Clinton 69, Sanders 28
Baltimore suburbs: Clinton 50, Sanders 40
DC suburbs: Clinton 60, Sanders 28
Eastern shore: Clinton 62, Sanders 32
South: Clinton 70, Sanders 21
West: Sanders 60, Clinton 34
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Holmes
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« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2016, 02:49:50 pm »

When Cruz places third in the next 6 primaries.

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« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2016, 02:50:24 pm »

The 'West' is basically appalachia, so this poll bodes well for Trump and Sanders in West Virginia.
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swf541
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« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2016, 02:51:23 pm »

By region
Baltimore suburbs: Trump 40, Kasich 27, Cruz 25
DC suburbs: Kasich 46, Cruz 27, Trump 24
Eastern shore: Trump 52, Cruz 29, Kasich 19
South: Trump 56, Cruz 29, Kasich 14
West: Trump 60, Kasich 24, Cruz 14

Baltimore City: Clinton 69, Sanders 28
Baltimore suburbs: Clinton 50, Sanders 40
DC suburbs: Clinton 60, Sanders 28
Eastern shore: Clinton 62, Sanders 32
South: Clinton 70, Sanders 21
West: Sanders 60, Clinton 34

That western part doesnt suprise me at all, should likely be similar on both sides in west virginia, were pretty similar.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2016, 02:52:10 pm »

Dominating!
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swf541
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« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2016, 02:53:32 pm »

The 'West' is basically appalachia, so this poll bodes well for Trump and Sanders in West Virginia.

Yep as someone who lives in Washington County, Sanders and Trump will dominate hear and in the extreme west
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2016, 02:56:10 pm »

When Cruz places third in the next 6 primaries.



Lol, this is my feeling as well.

Too bad about Sanders but this is an awful state for him, however he might win CD-6 with these numbers.
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Holmes
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« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2016, 02:59:15 pm »

When Cruz places third in the next 6 primaries.



Lol, this is my feeling as well.

Too bad about Sanders but this is an awful state for him, however he might win CD-6 with these numbers.

Maybe, but I expect the Democratic gerrymander to hurt Sanders a bit in MD-06, just like I think it'll help Trump in the districts that have some of the DC suburbs in them.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #9 on: April 19, 2016, 03:02:20 pm »

Looks like Kasich and Trump will win counties (Trump should win all but 2-3). I doubt Cruz will get a county.

Sanders should win some as well, likely out west as others have mentioned.

Kasich should head out to the Baltimore 'Burbs. That seems to be his best area outside of the DC Suburbs.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: April 19, 2016, 03:02:48 pm »

So if Trump is only losing in the DC suburbs, that would mean MD-01, MD-02, MD-03, MD-06, and MD-07 are basically locks for him.  He's probably losing MD-04.  MD-05 (because of Southern MD) and MD-08 (because of the arm into very Trumpy rural Frederick and Carroll) should be narrow Trump wins, with more confidence in MD-05 for Trump.

Only question about MD-04 is that Trump usually does well with Republican voters who live in minority-majority districts, baring a few exceptions (WI-04, NC-01)
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: April 19, 2016, 03:06:02 pm »

When Cruz places third in the next 6 primaries.



Lol, this is my feeling as well.

Too bad about Sanders but this is an awful state for him, however he might win CD-6 with these numbers.

Maybe, but I expect the Democratic gerrymander to hurt Sanders a bit in MD-06, just like I think it'll help Trump in the districts that have some of the DC suburbs in them.

Yeah, that's why I was hesitant. It would depend on how well Sanders does in Upper County MoCo.
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standwrand
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« Reply #12 on: April 19, 2016, 03:06:15 pm »

The real question here is what did O'Malley do to offend MD so much? He was the governor and has 49% unfavorables. I don't remember hearing that he did anything absolutely horrible as gov
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« Reply #13 on: April 19, 2016, 03:08:59 pm »

At least we have two weeks here of awful results for Cruz. That should make everyone happy! Cheesy
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« Reply #14 on: April 19, 2016, 03:14:45 pm »

The real question here is what did O'Malley do to offend MD so much? He was the governor and has 49% unfavorables. I don't remember hearing that he did anything absolutely horrible as gov

Failed presidential runs usually hurt your reputation at home. Look at Dodd, Bachmann, Walker, Graham...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: April 19, 2016, 03:16:14 pm »

The real question here is what did O'Malley do to offend MD so much? He was the governor and has 49% unfavorables. I don't remember hearing that he did anything absolutely horrible as gov

Failed presidential runs usually hurt your reputation at home. Look at Dodd, Bachmann, Walker, Graham...

The "rain tax" attack against Brown really worked and were essentially attacks on O'Malley by proxy.
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swf541
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« Reply #16 on: April 19, 2016, 03:16:50 pm »

The real question here is what did O'Malley do to offend MD so much? He was the governor and has 49% unfavorables. I don't remember hearing that he did anything absolutely horrible as gov

O'Malley became quite unpopular as he is retroactively blamed for the Baltimore mess and many of his tax hikes and fee hikes went to far even in Maryland.  That and as others noted his presidential campaign hurt him a good bit here, he should have ran for Senate

The real question here is what did O'Malley do to offend MD so much? He was the governor and has 49% unfavorables. I don't remember hearing that he did anything absolutely horrible as gov

Failed presidential runs usually hurt your reputation at home. Look at Dodd, Bachmann, Walker, Graham...

The "rain tax" attack against Brown really worked and were essentially attacks on O'Malley by proxy.

This, even a lot of democrats in western maryland voted for Hogan (i did not, if he didnt break his one campaign promise day one I would vote to re-elect him though)
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: April 19, 2016, 03:17:35 pm »

Another thought about those Western MD numbers, could be a good sign for Sanders in Western PA.
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swf541
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« Reply #18 on: April 19, 2016, 03:18:29 pm »

Another thought about those Western MD numbers, could be a good sign for Sanders in Western PA.

Agreed, western and South Central PA.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #19 on: April 20, 2016, 09:24:30 am »

New Poll: Maryland President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-04-17

Summary:
Clinton:
58%
Sanders:
33%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #20 on: April 22, 2016, 05:13:00 am »

2nd choice:
Kasich 27%
Cruz 22%
Trump 13%

2-way matchups:

Trump 54%
Cruz 34%

Trump 53%
Kasich 41%

Kasich 46%
Cruz 36%

fav/unfav % among their own party:

Clinton 65/25% for +40%
Sanders 62/29% for +33%

Trump 57/37% for +20%
Kasich 48/35% for +13%
Cruz 33/50% for -17% (lol)

Cruz supporters have a net positive opinion of Kasich.  However, every other pair of Republican candidates has the supporters of one candidate disliking the other candidate.  Even though Trump is +20 overall, thatís only because his own supporters like him.  Heís -30 among Cruz supporters and -43 among Kasich supporters.
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« Reply #21 on: April 22, 2016, 05:14:18 am »

When Cruz places third in the next 6 primaries.



Looking forward to the gif when Cruz wins Indiana tho
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« Reply #22 on: April 22, 2016, 07:01:42 am »

When Cruz places third in the next 6 primaries.



Looking forward to the gif when Cruz wins Indiana tho

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swf541
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« Reply #23 on: April 22, 2016, 08:21:52 am »

When Cruz places third in the next 6 primaries.



Looking forward to the gif when Cruz wins Indiana tho

I look forward to seeing it if Trump wins Indiana.....

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« Reply #24 on: April 22, 2016, 06:05:30 pm »

Neither Clinton or Sanders are on the air in the DC market (I checked the FCC website and clicked on the big DC stations) so it lends credence to the polling showing Hillary up huge.

They are both on the air in Baltimore though but they are not heavy ad buys like the other 4 states
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