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DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
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Topic: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15 (Read 2407 times)
yankeesfan
YaBB God
Posts: 1,153
DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
on:
April 20, 2016, 11:25:14 am »
Clinton 45
Sanders 38
Undecided 17
Trump 55
Kasich 18
Cruz 15
Undecided 12
http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/delaware-polling/
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,038 likely Republican Primary voters and 1,026 likely Democratic Primary voters. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3.0% for Republicans and ± 3.1% for Democrats, all at the 95% confidence level. The poll was conducted from April 17th through the 18th. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology), with the results weighted by relevant voting demographics.
«
Last Edit: April 20, 2016, 11:27:20 am by yankeesfan
»
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Holmes
YaBB God
Posts: 11,620
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #1 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:27:39 am »
Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?
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Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
Posts: 18,204
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #2 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:28:20 am »
LOL Gravis.
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Bob Findley
: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett
: "Just close friends and family,"
Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
Posts: 40,644
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #3 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:29:28 am »
Well, they may very well have gotten Sanders' final percentage right lol
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f
uck nazis
yankeesfan
YaBB God
Posts: 1,153
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #4 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:29:40 am »
Quote from: Holmes on April 20, 2016, 11:27:39 am
Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?
It looks like it's 89% white for the whole sample.
http://www.chartgo.com/share.do?id=8e9c2907aa
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Holmes
YaBB God
Posts: 11,620
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #5 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:32:45 am »
Quote from: yankeesfan on April 20, 2016, 11:29:40 am
Quote from: Holmes on April 20, 2016, 11:27:39 am
Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?
It looks like it's 89% white for the whole sample.
http://www.chartgo.com/share.do?id=8e9c2907aa
And still Clinton +7? Sad.
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Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
Posts: 18,204
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #6 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:35:30 am »
Quote from: yankeesfan on April 20, 2016, 11:29:40 am
Quote from: Holmes on April 20, 2016, 11:27:39 am
Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?
It looks like it's 89% white for the whole sample.
http://www.chartgo.com/share.do?id=8e9c2907aa
Not bad for a state that's 65% white.
Logged
Bob Findley
: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett
: "Just close friends and family,"
Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Ebsy
YaBB God
Posts: 7,708
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #7 on:
April 20, 2016, 12:02:01 pm »
2008 race breakdown:
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Ebsy
YaBB God
Posts: 7,708
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #8 on:
April 20, 2016, 12:07:24 pm »
lmao I guess Gravis thinks that the primary will only be 10% black voters.
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Fubart Solman
YaBB God
Posts: 4,555
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #9 on:
April 20, 2016, 12:32:00 pm »
A Delaware poll? Cool!
It's from Gravis? Oh.
Here's hoping for an RI poll.
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Beto/Duckworth 2020
E: -3.48 S: -7.48
President Johnson
YaBB God
Posts: 7,981
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #10 on:
April 20, 2016, 12:43:30 pm »
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Pragmatic Democrat. Socially liberal, economically/fiscally moderate.
Favorite president: Lyndon B. Johnson
Best president we never had: Nelson Rockefeller
TL:
The liberal Republic
STEVE BULLOCK FOR PRESIDENT 2020!
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
Posts: 15,156
Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #11 on:
April 20, 2016, 12:43:57 pm »
Gravis is... well, Gravis.
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Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
Posts: 30,565
Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #12 on:
April 20, 2016, 01:04:14 pm »
Is Gravis seriously this daft? I will film myself drinking out of a toilet bowl and post it on the Atlas Forum if Delaware's primary electorate is only 10% black.
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PaperKooper
Sr. Member
Posts: 451
Political Matrix
E: 5.23, S: 5.57
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #13 on:
April 20, 2016, 01:07:44 pm »
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side. Kasich is making a big push here, though.
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Scott Walker for President 2024
dspNY
YaBB God
Posts: 2,593
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #14 on:
April 20, 2016, 05:19:32 pm »
5% African American? Did they forget that African Americans live in Delaware? This isn't Idaho
28% of Delaware's Democratic primary voters were African-American in 2008
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Gass3268
YaBB God
Posts: 18,551
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #15 on:
April 20, 2016, 06:11:44 pm »
Quote from: PaperKooper on April 20, 2016, 01:07:44 pm
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side. Kasich is making a big push here, though.
18% is a big push?
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Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:
1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Klobuchar
4. Gillibrand
5. Castro
6. Buttigieg
7. Booker
8. Delaney
9. Gabbard
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
Posts: 5,701
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #16 on:
April 20, 2016, 06:47:31 pm »
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 20, 2016, 06:11:44 pm
Quote from: PaperKooper on April 20, 2016, 01:07:44 pm
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side. Kasich is making a big push here, though.
18% is a big push?
It is Kasich, so yeah.
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A Dingo in name only
PeteB
YaBB God
Posts: 1,659
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #17 on:
April 20, 2016, 07:46:56 pm »
Quote from: The Unbearable Invicibility of Hillary Clinton on April 20, 2016, 06:47:31 pm
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 20, 2016, 06:11:44 pm
Quote from: PaperKooper on April 20, 2016, 01:07:44 pm
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side. Kasich is making a big push here, though.
18% is a big push?
It is Kasich, so yeah.
According to John Weaver the Kasich campaign has pretty much given up on DE:
Delaware
Delaware will award all 16 of its delegates if a candidate receives a plurality of the vote. We expect Trump to have a strong chance of finishing above 50% and would recommend spending resources on the other April 26th states.
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PaperKooper
Sr. Member
Posts: 451
Political Matrix
E: 5.23, S: 5.57
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #18 on:
April 20, 2016, 08:36:13 pm »
"Big push" probably wasn't the best choice of words. Trump and Kasich are the only candidates with any presence in Delaware, and are probably about even in their (lack of) infrastructure. From what I've heard, Mike Castle will be making phone calls for Kasich, although I believe that has been organized by his SuperPAC which could explain the divergence from his campaign. Trump will be visiting on Friday. Both Trump and Kasich have normal, volunteer canvassers/phonebanks. I am unaware of any activities whatsoever by the Cruz campaign in Delaware. The state convention is next weekend, so we'll see if there are any delegate selection shenanigans.
«
Last Edit: April 20, 2016, 08:50:52 pm by PaperKooper
»
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Scott Walker for President 2024
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
Posts: 5,701
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #19 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:11:28 pm »
Quote from: PeteB on April 20, 2016, 07:46:56 pm
Quote from: The Unbearable Invicibility of Hillary Clinton on April 20, 2016, 06:47:31 pm
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 20, 2016, 06:11:44 pm
Quote from: PaperKooper on April 20, 2016, 01:07:44 pm
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side. Kasich is making a big push here, though.
18% is a big push?
It is Kasich, so yeah.
According to John Weaver the Kasich campaign has pretty much given up on DE:
Delaware
Delaware will award all 16 of its delegates if a candidate receives a plurality of the vote. We expect Trump to have a strong chance of finishing above 50% and would recommend spending resources on the other April 26th states.
It's Kasich, so yeah.
Logged
A Dingo in name only
Ronnie
YaBB God
Posts: 7,841
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #20 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:52:23 pm »
On that note, does anyone else find it strange that Weaver is essentially commanding anti-Trump PACs to spend their money in a certain way?
https://mobile.twitter.com/NewsNetNews/status/722878120508805121/photo/1
«
Last Edit: April 20, 2016, 11:54:44 pm by Ronnie
»
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Born, raised, and currently residing in Southern California
Holmes
YaBB God
Posts: 11,620
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #21 on:
April 21, 2016, 01:35:05 am »
That #NeverTrump memo is just sad. "Trump is at 49% in Connecticut, but Kasich can beat him in 4/5 districts!"
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Gass3268
YaBB God
Posts: 18,551
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #22 on:
April 21, 2016, 01:43:42 am »
Quote from: Holmes on April 21, 2016, 01:35:05 am
That #NeverTrump memo is just sad. "Trump is at 49% in Connecticut, but Kasich can beat him in 4/5 districts!"
MSNBC yesterday said that the Kasich people are PISSED at the #NeverTrump movement for not putting up the level of ad support in New York like they did for Cruz in Wisconsin.
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Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:
1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Klobuchar
4. Gillibrand
5. Castro
6. Buttigieg
7. Booker
8. Delaney
9. Gabbard
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
Posts: 30,565
Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #23 on:
April 21, 2016, 02:00:45 am »
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 21, 2016, 01:43:42 am
Quote from: Holmes on April 21, 2016, 01:35:05 am
That #NeverTrump memo is just sad. "Trump is at 49% in Connecticut, but Kasich can beat him in 4/5 districts!"
MSNBC yesterday said that the Kasich people are PISSED at the #NeverTrump movement for not putting up the level of ad support in New York like they did for Cruz in Wisconsin.
Is he really surprised? Ever since Ohio, #NeverTrump has just been another version of #Cruz2016. They used Kasich for what he was worth then tossed him away.
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sportydude
YaBB God
Posts: 591
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #24 on:
April 23, 2016, 09:13:16 am »
Biden's blue blot on the map has finally vanished!!! 0:)
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