2017: NJ Gubernatorial/legislative elections

[Nyvin]

The last time the Republicans won a legislative majority in NJ...they were electing people like Christine Whitman.    Whitman would make Susan Collins look like a hardcore conservative.  

I don't really think it's possible to shift the party that far left from where it is now, especially during the Trump Era.    A GOP Majority in either legislative chamber seems pretty far fetched.

[Nyvin]

Murphy will probably win by around 15%,   not 20%.    That's not a disappointment or anything really.

With Murphy in the gov seat and the expanded Dem majorities in the leg chambers...we're most likely going to be seeing legalized marijuana in NJ in the near future.

[Nyvin]

Most of what's out is still from blue counties. Should pad Murphy's margin enough where this won't be a complete embarrassment.

Is this a complete embarrassment? I mean, he's winning by 13 points now.

Not a surprise at all either, the polling for NJ gov has been remarkably consistent at Murphy +14 or so for most of the past year.   Hardly any polls showed in the +20 range.

[Nyvin]

The final tally in the Senate is a 24-16 D majority; one incumbent from each party lost, so it's a push.

In the Assembly, Democrats have picked up at least two seats with two still too close to call. In both of those seats, the Democrat is in the lead. For the moment it's 54-24 D with those two outstanding. Irrespective of how those two races go, the Democrats have secured a supermajority in the Assembly.

I'm counting 25 seats for Dems in the State Senate on NYT Elections,  I think it's plus one for them there.