2017: NJ Gubernatorial/legislative elections

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Of all the big states, NJ was one of Sanders' worst. His endorsement still matters & if he can get his base fired up, Wisnewki will be guaranteed a solid platform & possibly a lot of campaign money. So he can run some sort of insurgent campaign.

Having said it looks very very difficult for him to win, Murphy/Menendez type people will likely run NJ. I don't think he will make a massive dent into the minority & establishment whites & Clinton supporters.

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A few things:

1. Bernie holds off on endorsing Wisniewski, cites the fact that his supporters are split between him and Murphy (I'm guessing the CWA played a part in this). http://www.politico.com/states/new-jersey/story/2017/01/bernie-sanders-not-endorsing-109114

2. Bernie's son Levi endorses Murphy, will campaign with him http://www.politico.com/states/new-jersey/story/2017/01/bernie-sanders-son-endorses-murphy-109110

Then there's no way Murphy is at risk

Jeff Weaver endorses Wisniewski!

Wisniewski is toast IMO but I would prefer him over Menendez in 2018 Senate race!

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Is this even believable given Murphy is getting a lot of Bernie votes (Bernie's son endorsed him while Weaver endorsed Wisniewski) !

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NYT had Murphy @ 55% & Guadagno @ 43.2%. That is around 8% (& not close) with 58% in. And many strong blue areas are yet to come.

I can see Murphy winning by 11-12% atleast. Northam will by 8%, so Murphy @ 12% seems about right !

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Murphy is already leading by 11.6% & is going up & up. Don't know what people are expecting.

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Murphy really shows how poor of a candidate he is by winning by a relatively small margin when you look at Christie's approval ratings.

Christie is not running in 2017. If people are not happy that a 2 time GOP Gov. seat goes to a Dem with a margin of 13.2% (current margin), then they never will be. What did people expect? A 25% win?

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Damn, Turnout kinda sucks.

It is a non-competitive election unlike Virginia where people voting matters. What do you expect?

Murphy @ 56.2%, leading by 14.3% now !

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Damn, Turnout kinda sucks.

It is a non-competitive election unlike Virginia where people voting matters. What do you expect?

Murphy @ 56.2%, leading by 14.3% now !

Murphy was supposed to run up 60% on that Christie clone Guadagno. I wonder if Kim going full Trump on the sanctuary state issue moved the needle at all (though obviously not enough to win the election).

Low turnout + uncharismatic former wall street excutive = generic dem performance.

Murphy was leading by 12% in latest Quinnipiac poll. And in the last Gravis & Monmouth poll more than a week back, he was leading by 14%. He will probably cross 14% with many Hudson, Bergen, Essex county precincts being left.

The Democrats have made big gains in the legislature in NJ as well. If people are making amateurish make-believe Margins, then they will always be disappointed. You can't please children!

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Clinton won by 14% & it is totally unrelated to downballot races & especially Gov races where opposite party can win & NJ had a 2 time GOP Gov.

It looks like Murphy is going to win by 14% odd, 12-14% was the polling result. Pretty good, Dems take NJ from the GOV & make big gains downballot. De Blasio also wins big in NY. Virginia was a very good performance.