2017: NJ Gubernatorial/legislative elections

[BudgieForce]

Theres no excitement around here in Bergen County. I dont expect this race to get much attention, especially since it'll get called early in the night.

[BudgieForce]

Theres no excitement around here in Bergen County. I dont expect this race to get much attention, especially since it'll get called early in the night.

Pretty low turnout so far, right? Probably benefits Murphy.

I voted about 8 o'clock but my mother just voted about an hour ago. She told me there were no lines. Strangely enough, my polling station only ever has 1 polling booth but they have two today. Maybe they thought it would be higher turnout.

[BudgieForce]

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lol

Funny how both parties in NJ used Italian women as their sacrificial candidate when it was clear they couldn't win. One could read alot into that. 

[BudgieForce]

Trump approval: 32/66 (-34)

If this is true (big if), Democrats will definitely outperform their polling average here.

For me atleast, it seemed pretty obvious pollsters were underestimating Murphy. Still too early to be sure, but logic would dictate an unpopular republican president and governor would sink a republican candidate.

[BudgieForce]

Lol.

[BudgieForce]

Hes not the most photogenic man, thats for sure...

[BudgieForce]

WTF NJ? Are you usually this slow when counting votes?

[BudgieForce]

Why the hell is this still so close in NJ?

Because most of the blue area is still out. The Bergen county numbers probably mean Murphy will outperform his polls.

[BudgieForce]

NYT had Murphy @ 55% & Guadagno @ 43.2%. That is around 8% (& not close) with 58% in. And many strong blue areas are yet to come.

I can see Murphy winning by 11-12% atleast. Northam will by 8%, so Murphy @ 12% seems about right !

Murphy's win will be closer to 20%.

[BudgieForce]

Seriously, give it time. Murphy will get close to 60%.

[BudgieForce]

Murphy really shows how poor of a candidate he is by winning by a relatively small margin when you look at Christie's approval ratings.

There are still huge chunks of blue counties out.

[BudgieForce]

Damn, Turnout kinda sucks.

[BudgieForce]

Damn, Turnout kinda sucks.

It is a non-competitive election unlike Virginia where people voting matters. What do you expect?

Murphy @ 56.2%, leading by 14.3% now !

Yeah, but I gave a whole presentation at Bergen Community College about the importance of voting. Kinda hurts a ton of people can't be bothered to vote.

Also, this is probably close to a 60-40 split for Murphy.

[BudgieForce]

I haven't been following NJ much at all, but this is from DK:

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So Democrats will have comfortable supermajorities? Seems like pretty big gains!

Since democrats already have majorities and Christie is out of the way, it honestly didn't seem that big in comparison to VA.

[BudgieForce]

Damn, Turnout kinda sucks.

It is a non-competitive election unlike Virginia where people voting matters. What do you expect?

Murphy @ 56.2%, leading by 14.3% now !

Murphy was supposed to run up 60% on that Christie clone Guadagno. I wonder if Kim going full Trump on the sanctuary state issue moved the needle at all (though obviously not enough to win the election).

Low turnout + uncharismatic former wall street excutive = generic dem performance.

[BudgieForce]

Most of what's out is still from blue counties. Should pad Murphy's margin enough where this won't be a complete embarrassment.

[BudgieForce]

Most of what's out is still from blue counties. Should pad Murphy's margin enough where this won't be a complete embarrassment.

Is this a complete embarrassment? I mean, he's winning by 13 points now.

I'm projecting a bit. This is my last election living in the Garden State and was really hoping for something better than Generic D performance. Christie and Trump are despised here so it seems embarrassing NJ can't rebuke republicans better.

[BudgieForce]

Turnout is probably going to be down to its lowest point in 20 years. Come on NJ, do better.

[BudgieForce]

Guadagno managed to do better in NJ than Trump did in 2016 lmao

Two words: Low Turnout.

Lower turnout than the last 4 governors races.

[BudgieForce]

Pretty disappointing that Murphy could only match Clinton's margin in this environment and with Christie's 15% approval rating.

Its pretty disappointing that Turnout is going to be well under 40%.